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Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 107-123
31-31 16-35 27-32 33-25
Position#22
Record9-22
FormWLWWL
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game100.0
Dallas Mavericks
USA
vs
Houston Rockets 🏆
USA
Position#3
Record23-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game113.5
Allowed / game106.4
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Houston Rockets
31 Jan 2027
DAL v HOU
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
DAL116
HOU111
03 Jan 2026
DAL110
HOU104
06 Dec 2025
DAL122
HOU109
08 Feb 2025
DAL116
HOU105
31 Oct 2024
DAL102
HOU108
07 Apr 2024
DAL147
HOU136
28 Nov 2023
DAL121
HOU115
29 Dec 2022
DAL129
HOU114
16 Nov 2022
DAL92
HOU101
23 Mar 2022
DAL110
HOU91
26 Oct 2021
DAL116
HOU106
23 Jan 2021
DAL108
HOU133
31 Jul 2020
DAL149
HOU153
07 Apr 2020
DAL v HOU
upcoming
10 Mar 2019
DAL93
HOU94
08 Dec 2018
DAL107
HOU104
11 Mar 2018
DAL82
HOU105
24 Jan 2018
DAL97
HOU104
27 Dec 2016
DAL107
HOU123
28 Oct 2016
DAL98
HOU106
06 Apr 2016
DAL88
HOU86
04 Dec 2015
DAL96
HOU100
26 Apr 2015
DAL121
HOU109
24 Apr 2015
DAL128
HOU130
02 Apr 2015
DAL101
HOU108
20 Feb 2015
DAL111
HOU100
29 Jan 2014
DAL115
HOU117
20 Nov 2013
DAL123
HOU120
06 Mar 2013
DAL112
HOU108
16 Jan 2013
DAL105
HOU100
18 Apr 2012
DAL117
HOU110
27 Mar 2012
DAL90
HOU81
27 Jan 2011
DAL111
HOU106
29 Nov 2010
DAL101
HOU91
18 Dec 2009
DAL108
HOU116
10 Nov 2009
DAL121
HOU103
15 Apr 2009
DAL95
HOU84
30 Oct 2008
DAL102
HOU112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
111-103
111
103
+8
101avg 88
H10/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
87-109
87
109
-22
72avg 88
A11/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
112-92
112
92
+20
108avg 88
H13/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
85-95
85
95
-10
70avg 88
H15/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
100-103
100
103
-3
85avg 88
A17/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
99-79
99
79
+20
93avg 88
H18/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
107-117
107
117
-10
97avg 88
A20/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
96-95
96
95
+1
79avg 88
A22/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
90-88
90
88
+2
77avg 88
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
104-111
104
111
-7
99avg 88
A27/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
29-25
31-25
26-26
27-36
22-24
20-26
18-23
27-19
38-24
27-24
20-25
20-17
23-26
21-17
21-35
29-33
29-31
19-26
23-13
28-21
27-23
21-14
23-21
31-28
27-32
27-33
22-24
30-20
32-18
19-33
15-24
21-24
29-27
18-21
22-16
20-25
33-30
24-30
27-26
198.3Avg total
99.1Scored
99.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)94.4100.0194.4-5.629%
Season at home (14)94.996.1191.0-1.143%
Season away (17)93.9103.2197.2-9.318%
Last 10 (10)99.199.2198.3-0.150%
Last 5 (5)99.298.0197.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)91.5103.7195.2-12.28%
vs Similar (18)94.895.9190.7-1.144%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
102-99
102
99
+3
92avg 101
A10/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
109-87
109
87
+22
115avg 101
H11/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
122-118
122
118
+4
105avg 101
H13/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
132-98
132
98
+34
142avg 101
H15/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
122-100
122
100
+22
118avg 101
H17/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
111-109 OT
111
109
+2
99avg 101
A18/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
100-102
100
102
-2
89avg 101
H21/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
125-111
125
111
+14
118avg 101
A22/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
109-115
109
115
-6
100avg 101
A24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
131-115
131
115
+16
126avg 101
H27/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
30-26
31-28
16-22
36-27
24-22
26-20
23-18
29-24
24-19
37-42
32-33
36-25
28-18
38-24
30-31
35-24
37-26
25-29
25-21
28-24
16-33
23-23
28-15
24-26
21-26
33-19
22-31
30-26
31-29
30-29
34-27
31-25
18-29
26-23
34-38
39-23
30-20
38-37
24-35
221.7Avg total
116.3Scored
105.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)113.5106.4219.9+7.172%
Season at home (14)114.6102.4216.9+12.279%
Season away (18)112.6109.6222.2+3.167%
Last 10 (10)116.3105.4221.7+10.980%
Last 5 (5)115.2110.4225.6+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)132.0127.0259.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (9)106.2109.3215.6-3.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)116.2103.8219.9+12.485%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
Dallas MavericksHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H10/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A11/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
65-43
65
43
+22
H13/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H15/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A17/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H18/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A20/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
62-38
62
38
+24
A22/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A27/12
NBA
105.7Avg total
54.7Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.950.197.9-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.847.696.4+1.250%-
Last 30 away (16)47.152.299.3-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)54.751.0105.7+3.740%-
Last 5 (5)55.649.6105.2+6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)44.355.7100.0-11.38%-
vs Similar (18)50.246.396.6+3.961%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A10/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H11/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H13/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
64-43
64
43
+21
H15/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H17/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A18/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H21/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A22/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
69-43
69
43
+26
H27/12
NBA
106.7Avg total
57.2Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.753.5112.2+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.049.8107.8+8.271%-
Last 30 away (16)59.256.8116.0+2.562%-
Last 10 (10)57.249.5106.7+7.770%-
Last 5 (5)53.652.2105.8+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)64.059.0123.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (9)51.753.2104.9-1.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)61.553.4114.9+8.275%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 99.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.825.7
51.6%
50.2%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.511.2
38.0%
35.7%33.6
🏀 Free throws17.814.1
79.2%
77.0%14.1
They take 79.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 116.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers50.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.424.2
54.5%
50.2%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.716.9
37.8%
35.7%50.7
🏀 Free throws24.117.2
71.4%
77.0%17.2
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LWWLWLLWLW
Houston Rockets
WLWLWWWWWW
#22
League position
#3
-0.1
Net rating
+10.7
110.3
Offensive rating
113.7
110.4
Defensive rating
103.0
53.6%
Effective FG%
55.6%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
10.9%
Turnover %
14.6%
16.9%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.0%
3-point %
37.8%
55.0%
Assist %
67.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 113.7Defence110.4 · 103.0Shooting53.6% · 55.6%3-point %38.0% · 37.8%Ball care10.9% · 14.6%Off. rebounds16.9% · 26.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Dallas Mavericks wins
7
Houston Rockets wins
DateGameScore
11/12/16Houston Rockets v Dallas Mavericks109-87
31/10/16Houston Rockets v Dallas Mavericks93-92
29/10/16Dallas Mavericks v Houston Rockets98-106
07/04/16Dallas Mavericks v Houston Rockets88-86
24/01/16Houston Rockets v Dallas Mavericks115-104
05/12/15Dallas Mavericks v Houston Rockets96-100
15/11/15Houston Rockets v Dallas Mavericks98-110
29/04/15Houston Rockets v Dallas Mavericks103-94
27/04/15Dallas Mavericks v Houston Rockets121-109
24/04/15Dallas Mavericks v Houston Rockets128-130
Dallas Maverickslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/16ANew Orleans Pelicans104-111
24/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers90-88
22/12/16APortland Trail Blazers96-95
20/12/16ADenver Nuggets107-117
18/12/16HSacramento Kings99-79
17/12/16AUtah Jazz100-103
15/12/16HDetroit Pistons85-95
13/12/16HDenver Nuggets112-92
11/12/16AHouston Rockets87-109
10/12/16HIndiana Pacers111-103
Houston Rocketslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/16HPhoenix Suns131-115
24/12/16AMemphis Grizzlies109-115
22/12/16APhoenix Suns125-111
21/12/16HSan Antonio Spurs100-102
18/12/16AMinnesota Timberwolves111-109 OT
17/12/16HNew Orleans Pelicans122-100
15/12/16HSacramento Kings132-98
13/12/16HBrooklyn Nets122-118
11/12/16HDallas Mavericks109-87
10/12/16AOklahoma City Thunder102-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL29%
HomeLWWLW43%
AwayLLWWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %29%43%18%
Points / game94.494.993.9
Allowed / game100.096.1103.2
Point differential-5.6-1.1-9.3
Avg total194.4191.0197.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%36%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)-40% (5)
Overtime %6%7%6%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW72%
HomeWWWLW79%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321418
Win %72%79%67%
Points / game113.5114.6112.6
Allowed / game106.4102.4109.6
Point differential+7.1+12.2+3.1
Avg total219.9216.9222.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)75% (4)83% (6)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3227584%117.2104.2+12.9
2 San Antonio Spurs3125681%104.697.9+6.6
3 Cleveland Cavaliers3023777%110.1103.0+7.2
4 Toronto Raptors3022873%111.4102.4+9.0
5 Houston Rockets3223972%113.5106.4+7.1
6 Los Angeles Clippers33221167%108.7101.6+7.0
7 Oklahoma City Thunder32201262%107.0104.8+2.2
8 Boston Celtics32191359%105.4103.3+2.1
9 Memphis Grizzlies34201459%97.798.1-0.4
10 Utah Jazz31181358%99.195.2+3.9
11 Charlotte Hornets31171455%104.7102.7+2.0
12 New York Knicks30161453%105.6107.9-2.3
13 Chicago Bulls31151648%100.699.8+0.8
14 Atlanta Hawks31151648%101.8104.1-2.2
15 Milwaukee Bucks29141548%104.5102.7+1.8
16 Indiana Pacers32151747%103.8105.8-2.0
17 Washington Wizards30141647%105.1106.5-1.5
18 Detroit Pistons33151845%98.797.9+0.8
19 Orlando Magic33151845%98.7102.5-3.8
20 Sacramento Kings31141745%102.3104.1-1.8
21 Denver Nuggets31131842%107.5109.4-1.9
22 Portland Trail Blazers33132039%108.2112.2-4.0
23 New Orleans Pelicans33122136%102.8106.6-3.8
24 Los Angeles Lakers34122235%104.5110.6-6.1
25 Minnesota Timberwolves31102132%103.8105.9-2.1
26 Miami Heat32102231%98.4101.6-3.1
27 Dallas Mavericks3192229%94.4100.0-5.6
28 Phoenix Suns3192229%107.3114.2-6.8
29 Brooklyn Nets3082227%106.6114.8-8.2
30 Philadelphia 76ers3072323%98.7106.2-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks31162733107
Houston Rockets31353225123
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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