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Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 130-108
42-16 31-27 28-33 29-32
Position#17
Record24-21
FormWLLWL
Points / game115.3
Allowed / game112.0
vs
Position#29
Record6-38
FormLLLLL
Points / game107.8
Allowed / game122.1
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Washington Wizards
11 Mar 2027
DAL v WAS
upcoming
24 Oct 2025
DAL107
WAS117
27 Jan 2025
DAL130
WAS108
12 Feb 2024
DAL112
WAS104
24 Jan 2023
DAL126
WAS127
27 Nov 2021
DAL114
WAS120
01 May 2021
DAL125
WAS124
23 Oct 2019
DAL108
WAS100
06 Nov 2018
DAL119
WAS100
22 Jan 2018
DAL98
WAS75
03 Jan 2017
DAL113
WAS105
12 Dec 2015
DAL111
WAS114
30 Dec 2014
DAL114
WAS87
12 Nov 2013
DAL105
WAS95
14 Nov 2012
DAL107
WAS101
13 Mar 2012
DAL107
WAS98
31 Jan 2011
DAL102
WAS92
27 Oct 2009
DAL91
WAS102
07 Mar 2009
DAL119
WAS103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
118-97
118
97
+21
116avg 106
H08/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
117-111
117
111
+6
115avg 106
H10/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
101-112
101
112
-11
90avg 106
H12/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
99-118
99
118
-19
82avg 106
H15/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
116-119
116
119
-3
109avg 106
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
106-98
106
98
+8
105avg 106
H18/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
105-110
105
110
-5
96avg 106
A20/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
114-115
114
115
-1
104avg 106
H23/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
121-115
121
115
+6
121avg 106
A24/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
107-122
107
122
-15
95avg 106
H25/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
31-23
34-26
29-21
20-28
33-30
28-31
36-22
32-17
29-41
28-21
12-33
21-36
24-35
22-20
32-27
27-33
34-30
30-24
25-32
22-26
41-17
14-33
29-22
27-24
28-31
28-27
22-28
22-17
31-38
29-31
32-29
33-34
27-28
31-21
30-32
29-25
20-34
27-37
31-26
222.1Avg total
110.4Scored
111.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)115.3112.0227.4+3.353%
Season at home (23)113.7108.7222.3+5.057%
Season away (22)117.1115.5232.6+1.650%
Last 10 (10)110.4111.7222.1-1.340%
Last 5 (5)110.6112.0222.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)110.8113.6224.4-2.842%
vs Similar (13)118.4115.0233.4+3.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)116.0106.0222.0+10.050%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
103-109
103
109
-6
96avg 100
A09/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
105-138
105
138
-33
91avg 100
A11/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
95-136
95
136
-41
80avg 100
H12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
106-120
106
120
-14
92avg 100
H14/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
123-130
123
130
-7
116avg 100
H17/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-122
114
122
-8
105avg 100
A19/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
100-123
100
123
-23
84avg 100
A20/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
88-111
88
111
-23
74avg 100
A22/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
93-110
93
110
-17
80avg 100
A24/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
109-119
109
119
-10
100avg 100
A26/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-32
23-27
26-29
29-21
26-36
32-32
24-41
23-29
25-37
18-30
26-37
26-32
20-25
27-26
32-31
27-38
21-34
34-35
28-35
40-26
29-25
31-28
27-36
27-33
26-32
22-30
29-28
23-33
23-29
26-30
28-30
11-22
20-30
21-33
31-26
21-21
24-35
29-33
32-28
24-23
225.4Avg total
103.6Scored
121.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)107.8122.1229.9-14.414%
Season at home (23)110.0122.9232.9-12.822%
Season away (21)105.3121.3226.6-16.05%
Last 10 (10)103.6121.8225.4-18.20%
Last 5 (5)100.8117.0217.8-16.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)106.3122.3228.5-16.08%
vs Similar (4)113.5116.5230.0-3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -7.6-7.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -7.6-7.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
Dallas MavericksWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H08/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H10/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H12/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
45-71
45
71
-26
H15/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H18/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A20/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H23/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A24/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H25/01
NBA
112.9Avg total
55.5Scored
57.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.256.1113.3+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.154.1108.2-0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)59.957.9117.8+2.144%-
Last 10 (10)55.557.4112.9-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)56.054.8110.8+1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)54.053.9107.9+0.133%-
vs Similar (13)59.558.7118.2+0.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)60.054.2114.2+5.850%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A09/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A11/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
43-67
43
67
-24
H12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H14/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
55-69
55
69
-14
H17/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
60-53
60
53
+7
A19/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
48-62
48
62
-14
A20/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A22/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
41-63
41
63
-22
A24/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A26/01
NBA
112.1Avg total
50.2Scored
61.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.861.1114.9-7.323%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.960.8114.6-6.925%-
Last 30 away (14)53.661.5115.1-7.921%-
Last 10 (10)50.261.9112.1-11.710%-
Last 5 (5)50.261.0111.2-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)52.861.5114.3-8.715%-
vs Similar (4)60.258.5118.8+1.875%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 110.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.028.6
54.0%
54.3%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.411.3
34.9%
35.9%33.9
🏀 Free throws24.719.3
78.1%
77.8%19.3
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 103.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.223.1
47.0%
54.3%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.014.2
33.8%
35.9%42.6
🏀 Free throws19.514.8
75.9%
77.8%14.8
They take 91.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LWLLWLLLWW
Washington Wizards
LLLLLLLLLL
#17
League position
#29
-1.3
Net rating
-17.8
110.8
Offensive rating
101.4
112.1
Defensive rating
119.2
53.3%
Effective FG%
48.7%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
13.9%
Turnover %
13.2%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.21
34.9%
3-point %
33.8%
61.9%
Assist %
66.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 101.4Defence112.1 · 119.2Shooting53.3% · 48.7%3-point %34.9% · 33.8%Ball care13.9% · 13.2%Off. rebounds23.8% · 21.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 0%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HBoston Celtics107-122
24/01/25AOklahoma City Thunder121-115
23/01/25HMinnesota Timberwolves114-115
20/01/25ACharlotte Hornets105-110
18/01/25HOklahoma City Thunder106-98
16/01/25ANew Orleans Pelicans116-119
15/01/25HDenver Nuggets99-118
12/01/25HDenver Nuggets101-112
10/01/25HPortland Trail Blazers117-111
08/01/25HLos Angeles Lakers118-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25APhoenix Suns109-119
24/01/25ALos Angeles Clippers93-110
22/01/25ALos Angeles Lakers88-111
20/01/25ASacramento Kings100-123
19/01/25AGolden State Warriors114-122
17/01/25HPhoenix Suns123-130
14/01/25HMinnesota Timberwolves106-120
12/01/25HOklahoma City Thunder95-136
11/01/25AChicago Bulls105-138
09/01/25APhiladelphia 76ers103-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL53%
HomeLLWLL57%
AwayLLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452322
Win %53%57%50%
Points / game115.3113.7117.1
Allowed / game112.0108.7115.5
Point differential+3.3+5.0+1.6
Avg total227.4222.3232.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%39%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (12)33% (3)22% (9)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL22%
AwayLLLLL5%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442321
Win %14%22%5%
Points / game107.8110.0105.3
Allowed / game122.1122.9121.3
Point differential-14.4-12.8-16.0
Avg total229.9232.9226.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4335881%116.7104.5+12.1
2 Cleveland Cavaliers4637980%121.8112.1+9.7
3 Houston Rockets43301370%115.1108.8+6.3
4 Boston Celtics47321568%117.2108.5+8.7
5 New York Knicks46311567%118.2110.8+7.3
6 Memphis Grizzlies47311666%123.3115.6+7.7
7 Denver Nuggets46281861%120.6116.2+4.3
8 Los Angeles Lakers44261859%111.5112.6-1.0
9 Los Angeles Clippers45261958%110.0106.8+3.2
10 Milwaukee Bucks41231856%114.4111.4+3.1
11 Indiana Pacers45252056%115.5114.8+0.8
12 Minnesota Timberwolves46252154%110.4107.7+2.7
13 Dallas Mavericks45242153%115.3112.0+3.3
14 Phoenix Suns44232152%112.7113.6-0.9
15 Sacramento Kings46242252%116.9114.6+2.3
16 Miami Heat45232251%111.0110.4+0.6
17 Orlando Magic47242351%104.0104.7-0.8
18 Golden State Warriors44222250%111.8111.9-0.2
19 Detroit Pistons46232350%111.8113.0-1.3
20 Atlanta Hawks44212348%116.2119.1-2.9
21 San Antonio Spurs43202347%112.0113.5-1.5
22 Chicago Bulls47202743%116.7120.0-3.3
23 Philadelphia 76ers44172739%108.1112.4-4.3
24 Portland Trail Blazers46172937%107.8115.3-7.5
25 Toronto Raptors46143230%111.3117.1-5.8
26 Brooklyn Nets47143330%105.5113.3-7.9
27 Charlotte Hornets43123128%107.5112.2-4.7
28 New Orleans Pelicans47123526%109.1117.7-8.6
29 Utah Jazz43103323%111.3118.5-7.2
30 Washington Wizards4463814%107.8122.1-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks42312829130
Washington Wizards16273332108
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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