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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 117-107
28-31 32-27 33-27 24-22
Position#16
Record15-20
FormLWLWW
Points / game106.7
Allowed / game108.1
vs
Position#24
Record9-25
FormLWLLW
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game100.3
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
21 Oct 2016
DEN101
DAL75
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#13
L
98-106
98
106
-8
H01/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
110-128
110
128
-18
H03/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
98-105
98
105
-7
A04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
106-98
106
98
+8
A06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
111-116
111
116
-5
A08/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A09/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
121-113
121
113
+8
A11/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
92-112
92
112
-20
A13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
132-120
132
120
+12
H16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
127-114
127
114
+13
H18/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-28
17-24
33-23
18-31
33-42
30-31
21-26
26-29
21-24
26-25
16-33
35-23
18-27
33-26
23-17
32-28
23-36
29-32
27-28
32-20
29-18
23-29
21-28
12-17
32-29
33-29
27-37
29-18
19-27
24-38
24-27
25-20
38-28
36-28
26-29
32-35
33-22
29-32
34-26
31-34
218.4Avg total
108.0Scored
110.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)106.7108.1214.8-1.543%
Season at home (14)112.9111.8224.6+1.143%
Season away (21)102.5105.7208.2-3.243%
Last 10 (10)108.0110.4218.4-2.440%
Last 5 (5)111.4110.2221.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)105.5126.5232.0-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (23)104.5105.5210.0-1.039%
vs Weaker (5)115.6109.0224.6+6.680%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
87-97
87
97
-10
A02/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
W
107-82
107
82
+25
H04/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
101-109
101
109
-8
H06/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
89-120
89
120
-31
H08/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
111-103
111
103
+8
H10/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
87-109
87
109
-22
A11/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
112-92
112
92
+20
H13/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
85-95
85
95
-10
H15/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
100-103
100
103
-3
A17/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
99-79
99
79
+20
H18/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
27-21
19-24
27-29
29-18
28-27
25-21
25-16
23-23
27-25
28-27
23-34
23-26
29-30
12-29
25-35
25-27
29-25
31-25
26-26
27-36
22-24
20-26
18-23
27-19
38-24
27-24
20-25
20-17
23-26
21-17
21-35
29-33
29-31
19-26
23-13
28-21
27-23
21-14
23-21
196.7Avg total
97.8Scored
98.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)93.7100.3194.0-6.526%
Season at home (17)95.896.9192.8-1.147%
Season away (17)91.6103.6195.2-11.96%
Last 10 (10)97.898.9196.7-1.140%
Last 5 (5)96.695.6192.2+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)91.6105.2196.8-13.60%
vs Similar ◀ (18)94.697.0191.6-2.439%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.6-2.6
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#13
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H01/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H03/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
52-68
52
68
-16
A08/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A09/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A11/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
43-65
43
65
-22
A13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H18/12
NBA
113.1Avg total
55.6Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.454.6110.0+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.354.6111.9+2.754%-
Last 30 away (17)54.054.5108.5-0.541%-
Last 10 (10)55.657.5113.1-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)59.256.0115.2+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.069.0126.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)54.753.7108.3+1.048%-
vs Weaker (5)58.453.0111.4+5.460%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A02/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H04/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H06/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H08/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H10/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A11/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
65-43
65
43
+22
H13/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H15/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A17/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H18/12
NBA
102.3Avg total
52.4Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.450.596.9-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.147.595.6+0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)44.853.498.2-8.627%-
Last 10 (10)52.449.9102.3+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)54.050.8104.8+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)43.355.398.7-12.08%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)48.547.295.7+1.356%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 108.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.030.7
51.2%
50.2%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.7
35.3%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws24.017.5
72.9%
77.0%17.5
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 97.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.224.2
48.2%
50.2%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.611.6
37.9%
35.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws18.314.6
79.8%
77.0%14.6
They take 80.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWLLWLLL
Dallas Mavericks
WLLWLWLLWL
#16
League position
#24
-2.4
Net rating
-1.2
109.0
Offensive rating
107.3
111.4
Defensive rating
108.5
51.7%
Effective FG%
51.5%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
16.4%
Turnover %
11.2%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
18.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.3%
3-point %
37.9%
55.7%
Assist %
58.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 107.3Defence111.4 · 108.5Shooting51.7% · 51.5%3-point %35.3% · 37.9%Ball care16.4% · 11.2%Off. rebounds32.1% · 18.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/16HNew York Knicks127-114
16/12/16HPortland Trail Blazers132-120
13/12/16ADallas Mavericks92-112
11/12/16AOrlando Magic121-113
09/12/16AWashington Wizards85-92
08/12/16ABrooklyn Nets111-116
06/12/16APhiladelphia 76ers106-98
04/12/16AUtah Jazz98-105
03/12/16HHouston Rockets110-128
01/12/16HMiami Heat98-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/16HSacramento Kings99-79
17/12/16AUtah Jazz100-103
15/12/16HDetroit Pistons85-95
13/12/16HDenver Nuggets112-92
11/12/16AHouston Rockets87-109
10/12/16HIndiana Pacers111-103
08/12/16HSacramento Kings89-120
06/12/16HCharlotte Hornets101-109
04/12/16HChicago Bulls107-82
02/12/16ACharlotte Hornets87-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW43%
HomeLLLWW43%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351421
Win %43%43%43%
Points / game106.7112.9102.5
Allowed / game108.1111.8105.7
Point differential-1.5+1.1-3.2
Avg total214.8224.6208.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%36%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)20% (5)57% (7)
Overtime %11%29%0%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW26%
HomeLWWLW47%
AwayLLLLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %26%47%6%
Points / game93.795.891.6
Allowed / game100.396.9103.6
Point differential-6.5-1.1-11.9
Avg total194.0192.8195.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)100% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3530586%116.9104.3+12.6
2 San Antonio Spurs3326779%102.896.9+5.9
3 Houston Rockets3425974%113.7106.6+7.1
4 Cleveland Cavaliers31211068%108.7103.4+5.3
5 Los Angeles Clippers34231168%106.5101.7+4.8
6 Toronto Raptors33221167%110.1102.7+7.4
7 Memphis Grizzlies35221363%98.397.6+0.6
8 Utah Jazz34211362%99.894.6+5.2
9 Boston Celtics34201459%104.2101.6+2.6
10 Oklahoma City Thunder32181456%105.6104.5+1.1
11 New York Knicks33181555%105.5107.7-2.2
12 Atlanta Hawks35191654%101.7101.9-0.2
13 Milwaukee Bucks31161552%101.1100.8+0.3
14 Charlotte Hornets35181751%101.4101.5-0.1
15 Indiana Pacers35181751%104.8105.8-1.0
16 Chicago Bulls34171750%102.199.8+2.3
17 Detroit Pistons36171947%97.796.1+1.5
18 Portland Trail Blazers36171947%107.9110.8-2.8
19 Washington Wizards34161847%105.4104.9+0.6
20 Denver Nuggets35152043%106.7108.1-1.5
21 Orlando Magic36142239%97.1102.7-5.6
22 Minnesota Timberwolves34132138%103.6104.4-0.8
23 Sacramento Kings32122038%101.5104.1-2.6
24 Miami Heat36132336%98.9100.0-1.1
25 Phoenix Suns34122235%105.9111.3-5.4
26 Los Angeles Lakers38132534%104.7109.8-5.1
27 New Orleans Pelicans35102529%103.1107.9-4.9
28 Dallas Mavericks3492526%93.7100.3-6.5
29 Philadelphia 76ers3492526%97.9106.0-8.1
30 Brooklyn Nets3282425%105.6113.8-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets28323324117
Dallas Mavericks31272722107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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