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Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 108-99
29-29 30-19 32-21 17-30
Position#1
Record28-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game117.3
Allowed / game104.5
Golden State Warriors 🏆
USA
vs
Dallas Mavericks
USA
Position#22
Record10-23
FormWWLLW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game100.4
USANBA· ORACLE Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Dallas Mavericks
25 Feb 2027
GSW v DAL
upcoming
22 Dec 2026
GSW v DAL
upcoming
25 Dec 2025
GSW126
DAL116
23 Feb 2025
GSW126
DAL102
15 Dec 2024
GSW133
DAL143
12 Nov 2024
GSW120
DAL117
02 Apr 2024
GSW104
DAL100
30 Dec 2023
GSW122
DAL132
04 Feb 2023
GSW119
DAL113
26 May 2022
GSW120
DAL110
20 May 2022
GSW126
DAL117
18 May 2022
GSW112
DAL87
27 Feb 2022
GSW101
DAL107
25 Jan 2022
GSW130
DAL92
27 Apr 2021
GSW103
DAL133
14 Jan 2020
GSW97
DAL124
28 Dec 2019
GSW121
DAL141
23 Mar 2019
GSW91
DAL126
22 Dec 2018
GSW120
DAL116
08 Feb 2018
GSW121
DAL103
14 Dec 2017
GSW112
DAL97
30 Dec 2016
GSW108
DAL99
09 Nov 2016
GSW116
DAL95
25 Mar 2016
GSW128
DAL120
27 Jan 2016
GSW127
DAL107
06 Mar 2015
GSW104
DAL89
04 Feb 2015
GSW128
DAL114
11 Mar 2014
GSW108
DAL85
11 Dec 2013
GSW95
DAL93
31 Jan 2013
GSW100
DAL97
12 Apr 2012
GSW103
DAL112
10 Mar 2012
GSW111
DAL87
02 Apr 2011
GSW99
DAL92
16 Mar 2011
GSW106
DAL112
27 Mar 2010
GSW90
DAL111
08 Feb 2010
GSW117
DAL127
13 Mar 2009
GSW119
DAL110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
89-110
89
110
-21
77avg 111
A11/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
116-108
116
108
+8
111avg 111
A12/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
113-109
113
109
+4
105avg 111
A14/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
103-90
103
90
+13
109avg 111
H16/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
135-90
135
90
+45
145avg 111
H18/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
104-74
104
74
+30
98avg 111
H21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
117-101
117
101
+16
108avg 111
A23/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
119-113
119
113
+6
126avg 111
A24/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
108-109
108
109
-1
106avg 111
A25/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
121-111
121
111
+10
130avg 111
H29/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-31
22-30
27-26
24-23
30-27
30-31
18-30
38-20
29-35
29-30
37-29
18-15
32-25
27-20
29-21
15-24
39-21
31-24
38-27
27-18
19-15
36-18
27-21
22-20
33-34
16-31
39-19
29-17
33-32
24-27
31-25
31-29
27-25
28-27
32-28
21-29
42-17
30-38
32-32
17-24
214.0Avg total
112.5Scored
101.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)117.3104.5221.7+12.885%
Season at home (15)121.7104.4226.1+17.387%
Season away (18)113.6104.5218.1+9.183%
Last 10 (10)112.5101.5214.0+11.080%
Last 5 (5)113.8101.6215.4+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)118.1103.5221.5+14.687%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
112-92
112
92
+20
108avg 88
H13/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
85-95
85
95
-10
70avg 88
H15/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
100-103
100
103
-3
85avg 88
A17/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
99-79
99
79
+20
93avg 88
H18/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
107-117
107
117
-10
97avg 88
A20/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
96-95
96
95
+1
79avg 88
A22/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
90-88
90
88
+2
77avg 88
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
104-111
104
111
-7
99avg 88
A27/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
107-123
107
123
-16
93avg 88
H28/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
101-89
101
89
+12
99avg 88
A30/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
38-24
27-24
20-25
20-17
23-26
21-17
21-35
29-33
29-31
19-26
23-13
28-21
27-23
21-14
23-21
31-28
27-32
27-33
22-24
30-20
32-18
19-33
15-24
21-24
29-27
18-21
22-16
20-25
33-30
24-30
27-26
31-31
16-35
27-32
33-25
26-27
24-30
31-13
20-19
199.3Avg total
100.1Scored
99.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)95.0100.4195.3-5.430%
Season at home (15)95.797.9193.6-2.140%
Season away (18)94.3102.4196.8-8.122%
Last 10 (10)100.199.2199.3+0.950%
Last 5 (5)99.6101.2200.8-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)92.3106.2198.5-13.99%
vs Similar (19)95.295.5190.7-0.447%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
Golden State WarriorsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
38-61
38
61
-23
A11/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A12/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A14/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H16/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
70-45
70
45
+25
H18/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A23/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A24/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A25/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H29/12
NBA
111.1Avg total
57.3Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.952.1113.0+8.977%-
Last 30 at home (14)64.849.0113.8+15.886%-
Last 30 away (16)57.654.8112.3+2.869%-
Last 10 (10)57.353.8111.1+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)57.652.8110.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)60.952.1113.0+8.977%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
65-43
65
43
+22
H13/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H15/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A17/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H18/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A20/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
62-38
62
38
+24
A22/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A27/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
47-66
47
66
-19
H28/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A30/12
NBA
106.2Avg total
54.1Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.750.398.0-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.648.697.1+0.050%-
Last 30 away (16)46.951.998.8-5.031%-
Last 10 (10)54.152.1106.2+2.030%-
Last 5 (5)52.453.4105.8-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)43.356.399.5-13.09%-
vs Similar (19)50.246.997.1+3.358%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 112.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.430.9
53.8%
50.2%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.4
38.9%
35.7%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.516.5
80.5%
77.0%16.5
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 100.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.025.7
51.4%
50.2%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.5
38.6%
35.7%34.5
🏀 Free throws17.914.2
79.3%
77.0%14.2
They take 79.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WLWWWWWWWL
Dallas Mavericks
WLLWWLWLLW
#1
League position
#22
+10.8
Net rating
+1.0
110.3
Offensive rating
111.0
99.5
Defensive rating
110.0
55.4%
Effective FG%
53.8%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
15.4%
Turnover %
11.7%
21.1%
Off. rebound %
19.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.22
38.9%
3-point %
38.6%
70.4%
Assist %
55.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 111.0Defence99.5 · 110.0Shooting55.4% · 53.8%3-point %38.9% · 38.6%Ball care15.4% · 11.7%Off. rebounds21.1% · 19.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Golden State Warriors wins
1
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateGameScore
10/11/16Golden State Warriors v Dallas Mavericks116-95
26/03/16Golden State Warriors v Dallas Mavericks128-120
19/03/16Dallas Mavericks v Golden State Warriors112-130
28/01/16Golden State Warriors v Dallas Mavericks127-107
31/12/15Dallas Mavericks v Golden State Warriors114-91
05/04/15Dallas Mavericks v Golden State Warriors110-123
07/03/15Golden State Warriors v Dallas Mavericks104-89
05/02/15Golden State Warriors v Dallas Mavericks128-114
13/12/14Dallas Mavericks v Golden State Warriors98-105
02/04/14Dallas Mavericks v Golden State Warriors120-122 OT
Golden State Warriorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/16HToronto Raptors121-111
25/12/16ACleveland Cavaliers108-109
24/12/16ADetroit Pistons119-113
23/12/16ABrooklyn Nets117-101
21/12/16HUtah Jazz104-74
18/12/16HPortland Trail Blazers135-90
16/12/16HNew York Knicks103-90
14/12/16ANew Orleans Pelicans113-109
12/12/16AMinnesota Timberwolves116-108
11/12/16AMemphis Grizzlies89-110
Dallas Maverickslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/16ALos Angeles Lakers101-89
28/12/16HHouston Rockets107-123
27/12/16ANew Orleans Pelicans104-111
24/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers90-88
22/12/16APortland Trail Blazers96-95
20/12/16ADenver Nuggets107-117
18/12/16HSacramento Kings99-79
17/12/16AUtah Jazz100-103
15/12/16HDetroit Pistons85-95
13/12/16HDenver Nuggets112-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW85%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331518
Win %85%87%83%
Points / game117.3121.7113.6
Allowed / game104.5104.4104.5
Point differential+12.8+17.3+9.1
Avg total221.7226.1218.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%80%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW30%
HomeWWLWL40%
AwayLWWLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331518
Win %30%40%22%
Points / game95.095.794.3
Allowed / game100.497.9102.4
Point differential-5.4-2.1-8.1
Avg total195.3193.6196.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)-40% (5)
Overtime %6%7%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3328585%117.3104.5+12.8
2 San Antonio Spurs3327682%105.297.8+7.4
3 Cleveland Cavaliers3124777%110.6103.5+7.1
4 Houston Rockets3425974%114.5106.7+7.8
5 Toronto Raptors32221069%110.8102.9+7.9
6 Los Angeles Clippers35221363%108.6102.7+5.8
7 Utah Jazz33201361%99.295.0+4.2
8 Oklahoma City Thunder33201361%106.2105.1+1.1
9 Memphis Grizzlies35211460%98.297.6+0.5
10 Boston Celtics34201459%106.1104.3+1.9
11 Charlotte Hornets33191458%104.8102.0+2.8
12 Atlanta Hawks33171652%101.9103.7-1.8
13 Washington Wizards32161650%105.7106.1-0.5
14 New York Knicks32161650%104.9107.6-2.7
15 Chicago Bulls33161748%100.7100.2+0.5
16 Milwaukee Bucks31151648%104.8102.8+1.9
17 Indiana Pacers34161847%104.1105.8-1.7
18 Orlando Magic34151944%98.8103.0-4.2
19 Sacramento Kings32141844%101.9104.0-2.2
20 Detroit Pistons35152043%98.598.7-0.2
21 Denver Nuggets33141942%107.8109.7-1.8
22 New Orleans Pelicans35142140%102.9105.9-3.1
23 Portland Trail Blazers35142140%107.6111.5-3.9
24 Minnesota Timberwolves33112233%104.2105.6-1.5
25 Los Angeles Lakers36122433%103.9110.1-6.1
26 Dallas Mavericks33102330%95.0100.4-5.4
27 Phoenix Suns33102330%106.8113.6-6.8
28 Miami Heat34102429%98.4101.7-3.3
29 Philadelphia 76ers3282425%99.0106.5-7.5
30 Brooklyn Nets3282425%106.0114.4-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors29303217108
Dallas Mavericks2919213099
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