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Real Madrid vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 96-91
25-22 24-27 25-20 22-22
Position#2
Record7-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#10
Record4-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game82.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 11
European cup2016
Meetings · Real Madrid v Zalgiris Kaunas
25 Nov 2026
MAD v ZAL
upcoming
20 Nov 2025
MAD100
ZAL99
12 Dec 2024
MAD83
ZAL92
17 Oct 2023
MAD93
ZAL79
23 Feb 2023
MAD96
ZAL69
12 Nov 2021
MAD95
ZAL82
25 Feb 2021
MAD70
ZAL58
04 Apr 2019
MAD86
ZAL93
22 Mar 2018
MAD88
ZAL81
08 Dec 2016
MAD96
ZAL91
15 Jan 2016
MAD92
ZAL86
10 Apr 2015
MAD99
ZAL83
17 Oct 2014
MAD80
ZAL71
21 Feb 2014
MAD108
ZAL72
22 Nov 2013
MAD95
ZAL67
11 Jan 2013
MAD75
ZAL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
no box
A06/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
90-91
90
91
-1
120avg 119
A11/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
86-59
86
59
+27
no box
H13/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
W
87-84
87
84
+3
112avg 119
H16/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#11
W
102-63
102
63
+39
137avg 119
A18/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
76-68
76
68
+8
no box
A20/11
ACB
Unics Kazan
#15
W
89-75
89
75
+14
124avg 119
H24/11
Euroleague
Manresa
#17
W
96-70
96
70
+26
no box
H27/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#3
L
77-78
77
78
-1
112avg 119
A01/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#12
W
92-76
92
76
+16
no box
H04/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
18-29
20-18
22-18
26-17
12-32
30-24
22-18
23-19
23-13
20-14
20-13
21-23
32-27
19-18
15-16
29-17
25-14
21-15
27-17
21-17
16-22
18-17
21-12
25-17
15-20
22-18
27-20
25-17
16-19
33-15
22-19
19-23
21-16
17-18
20-21
23-12
24-20
24-19
21-25
161.9Avg total
87.0Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.580.0169.5+9.570%
Season at home (5)87.279.2166.4+8.080%
Season away (5)91.880.8172.6+11.060%
Last 10 (10)87.074.9161.9+12.170%
Last 5 (5)86.073.4159.4+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)86.577.2163.7+9.464%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)92.179.3171.4+12.789%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
W
90-66
90
66
+24
no box
A06/11
LKL
Barcelona
#11
L
86-92
86
92
-6
116avg 110
A10/11
Euroleague
Skycop
#6
W
63-55
63
55
+8
no box
A13/11
LKL
Galatasaray
#12
W
87-75
87
75
+12
120avg 110
H16/11
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
86-95
86
95
-9
112avg 110
A18/11
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
98-84
98
84
+14
no box
H21/11
LKL
Bamberg
#13
W
86-72
86
72
+14
115avg 110
H24/11
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
84-68
84
68
+16
no box
H27/11
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
88-79
88
79
+9
122avg 110
A02/12
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
94-61
94
61
+33
no box
A05/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
28-22
20-18
22-9
12-16
23-20
24-29
27-27
14-15
25-14
11-17
13-9
20-20
29-17
20-14
18-24
21-19
20-21
28-27
17-28
29-24
21-17
22-21
26-22
18-22
29-17
24-16
15-17
26-14
25-16
15-24
18-14
24-16
18-28
24-22
22-13
31-12
23-8
19-26
21-15
160.9Avg total
86.2Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.982.2163.1-1.340%
Season at home (5)81.078.0159.0+3.060%
Season away (5)80.886.4167.2-5.620%
Last 10 (10)86.274.7160.9+11.580%
Last 5 (5)90.072.8162.8+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)77.088.5165.5-11.50%
vs Similar (7)83.079.7162.7+3.357%
vs Weaker (21)81.968.2150.1+13.686%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.1+2.1
Real MadridZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#4
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A06/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A11/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H13/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H16/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#11
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A18/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A20/11
ACB
Unics Kazan
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H24/11
Euroleague
Manresa
#17
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H27/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A01/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H04/12
ACB
82.3Avg total
42.9Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.240.284.4+4.070%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.140.285.3+4.876%-
Last 30 away (13)43.140.283.3+2.862%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.482.3+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.677.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)42.641.083.6+1.664%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.939.484.3+5.672%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A06/11
LKL
Barcelona
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A10/11
Euroleague
Skycop
#6
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A13/11
LKL
Galatasaray
#12
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H16/11
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A18/11
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H21/11
LKL
Bamberg
#13
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H24/11
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H27/11
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A02/12
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
54-20
54
20
+34
A05/12
LKL
81.1Avg total
45.6Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.435.576.9+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.933.576.4+9.387%-
Last 30 away (15)39.937.477.3+2.547%-
Last 10 (10)45.635.581.1+10.180%-
Last 5 (5)48.834.883.6+14.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)39.042.081.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (7)38.937.075.9+1.943%-
vs Weaker (21)42.534.376.8+8.176%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.5
54.0%
50.7%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.4
36.2%
37.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.815.3
77.3%
75.6%15.3
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.1
50.0%
50.7%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.3
36.7%
37.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.714.8
79.1%
75.6%14.8
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLWWWWWWLL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWLWWLW
#2
League position
#10
+12.4
Net rating
-1.8
115.9
Offensive rating
110.1
103.4
Defensive rating
111.9
54.1%
Effective FG%
51.8%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
14.0%
Turnover %
19.1%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
39.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.2%
3-point %
36.7%
63.0%
Assist %
67.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 110.1Defence103.4 · 111.9Shooting54.1% · 51.8%3-point %36.2% · 36.7%Ball care14.0% · 19.1%Off. rebounds30.4% · 39.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/16HFuenlabrada92-76
01/12/16AFenerbahce77-78
27/11/16HManresa96-70
24/11/16HUnics Kazan89-75
20/11/16AGran Canaria76-68
18/11/16ABarcelona102-63
16/11/16HPanathinaikos87-84
13/11/16HTenerife86-59
11/11/16ACSKA Moscow90-91
06/11/16ABarcelona75-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/16AAlytaus Dzukija94-61
02/12/16ACrvena zvezda88-79
27/11/16HRytas84-68
24/11/16HBamberg86-72
21/11/16HPieno Zvaigzdes98-84
18/11/16ACSKA Moscow86-95
16/11/16HGalatasaray87-75
13/11/16ASkycop63-55
10/11/16ABarcelona86-92
06/11/16AJuventus90-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL70%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game89.587.291.8
Allowed / game80.079.280.8
Point differential+9.5+8.0+11.0
Avg total169.5166.4172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW40%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game80.981.080.8
Allowed / game82.278.086.4
Point differential-1.3+3.0-5.6
Avg total163.1159.0167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1110191%92.082.4+9.6
2 Fenerbahce118373%78.176.9+1.2
3 Real Madrid107370%89.580.0+9.5
4 Olympiacos106460%79.177.0+2.1
5 Baskonia106460%80.579.5+1.0
6 Panathinaikos105550%78.578.3+0.2
7 Darussafaka105550%80.480.3+0.1
8 Anadolu Efes105550%87.487.8-0.4
9 Barcelona105550%70.673.7-3.1
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv115645%81.582.7-1.3
11 Zalgiris Kaunas104640%80.982.2-1.3
12 Crvena zvezda114736%73.477.2-3.8
13 Olimpia Milano114736%84.589.5-5.0
14 Unics Kazan103730%80.983.1-2.2
15 Galatasaray103730%81.687.3-5.7
16 Bamberg113827%80.581.4-0.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2524252296
Zalgiris Kaunas2227202291
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