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Real Madrid vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 94-78
28-23 26-23 18-17 22-15
Position#3
Record14-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game75.6
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
Olympiacos
Position#6
Record11-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game76.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 18
European cup2018
Meetings · Real Madrid v Olympiacos
07 Jan 2027
MAD v OLY
upcoming
02 Oct 2025
MAD89
OLY77
01 May 2025
MAD84
OLY86
29 Apr 2025
MAD80
OLY72
16 Jan 2025
MAD86
OLY96
24 May 2024
MAD87
OLY76
25 Jan 2024
MAD90
OLY85
19 Oct 2022
MAD87
OLY89
02 Feb 2022
MAD75
OLY67
02 Apr 2021
MAD72
OLY63
10 Jan 2019
MAD94
OLY78
09 Feb 2018
MAD79
OLY80
12 Oct 2016
MAD83
OLY65
28 Jan 2016
MAD84
OLY72
17 May 2015
MAD78
OLY59
25 Apr 2014
MAD83
OLY69
17 Apr 2014
MAD82
OLY77
15 Apr 2014
MAD88
OLY71
25 Nov 2010
MAD82
OLY68
02 Apr 2009
MAD75
OLY78
31 Mar 2009
MAD71
OLY63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
92-65
92
65
+27
120avg 118
H13/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#18
L
71-84
71
84
-13
100avg 118
A16/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
89-68
89
68
+21
122avg 118
H19/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
W
82-72
82
72
+10
109avg 118
A21/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
W
80-74
80
74
+6
106avg 118
H23/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
L
63-65
63
65
-2
88avg 118
A28/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
91-74
91
74
+17
127avg 118
A30/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
91-79
91
79
+12
122avg 118
H03/01
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#16
L
88-93
88
93
-5
no box
A06/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#14
W
75-67
75
67
+8
99avg 118
A08/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
31-13
16-20
23-15
21-20
13-25
13-25
24-14
23-10
20-21
20-24
26-13
27-16
19-15
19-28
17-13
18-8
24-22
16-26
22-18
12-22
20-10
12-16
19-17
26-12
21-23
27-13
17-26
21-19
23-25
25-18
22-17
25-25
24-21
15-20
24-27
16-15
11-19
25-22
23-11
156.3Avg total
82.2Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.975.6162.6+11.382%
Season at home (9)91.475.8167.2+15.789%
Season away (8)81.975.5157.4+6.475%
Last 10 (10)82.274.1156.3+8.170%
Last 5 (5)81.675.6157.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)79.080.0159.0-1.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)89.276.8166.0+12.484%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
122avg 108
H13/12
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
86-67
86
67
+19
no box
A15/12
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
W
69-60
69
60
+9
96avg 108
A18/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
W
98-77
98
77
+21
no box
H20/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#4
W
92-69
92
69
+23
no box
H23/12
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
L
75-79
75
79
-4
104avg 108
A27/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
78-68
78
68
+10
no box
A30/12
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#7
W
79-65
79
65
+14
111avg 108
H04/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
101-75
101
75
+26
no box
H06/01
Basket League
Baskonia
#8
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
no box
H08/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-12
23-34
17-22
23-13
19-15
21-14
20-17
26-21
17-14
15-16
23-18
14-12
20-14
32-19
21-21
25-23
16-21
26-27
32-10
18-11
12-24
19-18
22-18
22-19
16-19
25-16
14-19
23-14
16-14
25-11
18-15
20-25
25-21
27-18
22-17
27-19
20-22
23-25
12-15
25-18
158.5Avg total
85.7Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.176.9158.0+4.265%
Season at home (9)85.779.4165.1+6.278%
Season away (8)76.074.0150.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)85.772.8158.5+12.990%
Last 5 (5)84.874.8159.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)76.677.0153.6-0.440%
vs Similar (9)79.378.8158.1+0.667%
vs Weaker (16)87.167.6154.6+19.594%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +4.8+4.8
Real MadridOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H13/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#18
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A16/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H19/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A21/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H23/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A28/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A30/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H03/01
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#16
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A06/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#14
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A08/01
Euroleague
77.5Avg total
41.7Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.338.682.9+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.837.284.0+9.588%-
Last 30 away (14)41.540.181.6+1.443%-
Last 10 (10)41.735.877.5+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.278.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)40.239.279.4+1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)45.138.583.6+6.672%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H13/12
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A15/12
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A18/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H20/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H23/12
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A27/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A30/12
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#7
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H04/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H06/01
Basket League
Baskonia
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H08/01
Euroleague
79.6Avg total
42.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.235.778.9+7.580%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.137.183.2+9.176%-
Last 30 away (13)39.433.873.2+5.585%-
Last 10 (10)42.237.479.6+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.679.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.637.878.4+2.860%-
vs Similar (9)42.136.778.8+5.478%-
vs Weaker (16)44.634.479.1+10.288%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.3
55.8%
52.7%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.4
38.0%
37.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws15.711.4
72.6%
76.7%11.4
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.5
51.3%
52.7%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.39.1
39.1%
37.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.213.7
75.3%
76.7%13.7
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLWWLWWWLW
Olympiacos
WWWWLWWWWW
#3
League position
#6
+11.0
Net rating
+11.1
113.5
Offensive rating
112.8
102.5
Defensive rating
101.6
56.3%
Effective FG%
54.1%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
16.8%
Turnover %
17.7%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.0%
3-point %
39.1%
61.6%
Assist %
65.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 112.8Defence102.5 · 101.6Shooting56.3% · 54.1%3-point %38.0% · 39.1%Ball care16.8% · 17.7%Off. rebounds29.2% · 34.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Real Madrid wins
5
Olympiacos wins
DateGameScore
22/11/18Olympiacos v Real Madrid88-83
09/02/18Real Madrid v Olympiacos79-80
08/12/17Olympiacos v Real Madrid92-83 OT
24/03/17Olympiacos v Real Madrid73-79
12/10/16Real Madrid v Olympiacos83-65
25/03/16Olympiacos v Real Madrid99-84
28/01/16Real Madrid v Olympiacos84-72
17/05/15Real Madrid v Olympiacos78-59
25/04/14Real Madrid v Olympiacos83-69
23/04/14Olympiacos v Real Madrid71-62
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/19AGran Canaria75-67
06/01/19AEstudiantes88-93
03/01/19HMaccabi Tel Aviv91-79
30/12/18ABaskonia91-74
28/12/18AFenerbahce63-65
23/12/18HMurcia80-74
21/12/18ABayern82-72
19/12/18HPanathinaikos89-68
16/12/18ABreogan71-84
13/12/18HBarcelona92-65
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/19HBaskonia91-87 OT
06/01/19HAEK Athens101-75
04/01/19HPanathinaikos79-65
30/12/18APAOK78-68
27/12/18ADarussafaka75-79
23/12/18HPeristeri92-69
20/12/18HGran Canaria98-77
18/12/18ABarcelona69-60
15/12/18AKolossos Rhodes86-67
13/12/18HAnadolu Efes88-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW82%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayLWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %82%89%75%
Points / game86.991.481.9
Allowed / game75.675.875.5
Point differential+11.3+15.7+6.4
Avg total162.6167.2157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%78%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olympiacos
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW65%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%78%50%
Points / game81.185.776.0
Allowed / game76.979.474.0
Point differential+4.2+6.2+2.0
Avg total158.0165.1150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1816289%83.775.1+8.6
2 Real Madrid1714382%86.975.6+11.3
3 CSKA Moscow1713476%87.781.6+6.1
4 Anadolu Efes1812667%85.880.2+5.6
5 Olympiacos1711665%81.176.9+4.2
6 Barcelona1710759%78.276.6+1.6
7 Olimpia Milano178947%87.486.4+0.9
8 Panathinaikos178947%78.579.3-0.8
9 Bayern178947%79.581.2-1.8
10 Baskonia1771041%81.582.2-0.6
11 Khimki M.1871139%78.980.1-1.2
12 Zalgiris Kaunas1871139%78.880.6-1.8
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv1761135%78.280.5-2.2
14 Gran Canaria1761135%79.787.8-8.1
15 Buducnost1731418%74.085.6-11.6
16 Darussafaka1721512%74.685.5-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2826182294
Olympiacos2323171578
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