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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 112-96
22-23 28-31 32-24 30-18
Position#10
Record51-34
FormWWLWW
Points / game117.8
Allowed / game114.4
vs
Position#6
Record55-30
FormWWWLL
Points / game121.6
Allowed / game116.8
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
108-113
108
113
-5
96avg 109
A02/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
103-115
103
115
-12
81avg 109
A03/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
108-122
108
122
-14
99avg 109
H05/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
124-104
124
104
+20
118avg 109
A07/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
120-132
120
132
-12
106avg 109
A08/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
136-132
136
132
+4
123avg 109
A11/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
132-126
132
126
+6
128avg 109
H13/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
105-116
105
116
-11
94avg 109
A18/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
119-114
119
114
+5
114avg 109
A21/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
113-96
113
96
+17
112avg 109
H24/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-30
23-24
26-25
28-34
17-19
30-22
24-42
32-32
21-29
39-26
19-34
29-33
35-27
28-26
39-24
22-27
32-34
21-29
30-38
37-31
37-36
32-37
34-33
33-26
34-24
39-35
24-31
35-36
33-23
29-39
17-29
26-25
25-39
39-25
26-29
29-21
25-11
36-28
27-29
25-28
233.8Avg total
116.8Scored
117.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (85)117.8114.4232.2+3.460%
Season at home (42)114.7110.7225.5+4.064%
Season away (43)120.8118.0238.8+2.756%
Last 10 (10)116.8117.0233.8-0.250%
Last 5 (5)121.0116.8237.8+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)100.0107.5207.5-7.525%
vs Similar ◀ (20)113.9116.2230.1-2.355%
vs Weaker (6)127.7109.3237.0+18.3100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
116-93
116
93
+23
114avg 114
H30/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
130-117
130
117
+13
129avg 114
A02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
136-134 OT
136
134
+2
130avg 114
H04/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
137-132 OT
137
132
+5
134avg 114
H07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
136-119
136
119
+17
140avg 114
H09/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
127-107
127
107
+20
124avg 114
H11/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
128-118
128
118
+10
126avg 114
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
116-105
116
105
+11
112avg 114
H18/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
114-119
114
119
-5
107avg 114
H21/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
96-113
96
113
-17
75avg 114
A24/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
23-25
40-21
30-19
39-28
29-26
29-36
33-27
36-43
29-29
27-24
32-28
31-35
27-37
29-29
38-24
37-33
31-39
39-22
29-25
34-27
25-24
31-34
37-22
37-34
33-22
31-35
27-27
23-33
39-29
29-17
25-26
39-25
25-39
29-26
21-29
11-25
28-36
29-27
28-25
239.3Avg total
123.6Scored
115.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (85)121.6116.8238.4+4.865%
Season at home (43)120.5115.1235.6+5.567%
Season away (42)122.7118.5241.2+4.262%
Last 10 (10)123.6115.7239.3+7.980%
Last 5 (5)116.2112.4228.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)124.7121.0245.7+3.733%
vs Similar ◀ (15)118.3116.6234.9+1.760%
vs Weaker (12)130.7117.8248.5+12.883%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +4.8+4.8
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#3
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A02/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A03/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H05/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A07/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A08/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A11/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H13/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A18/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
D
64-64
64
64
+0
A21/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H24/04
NBA
116.9Avg total
60.6Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.954.9112.8+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.156.1115.2+2.964%-
Last 30 away (16)56.953.8110.8+3.156%-
Last 10 (10)60.656.3116.9+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)65.859.4125.2+6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.548.598.0+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)57.555.9113.4+1.655%-
vs Weaker (6)65.055.8120.8+9.283%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H30/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
68-54
68
54
+14
A02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H04/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
58-72
58
72
-14
H07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H09/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H11/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
70-56
70
56
+14
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
D
62-62
62
62
+0
H18/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
D
64-64
64
64
+0
H21/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A24/04
NBA
121.6Avg total
59.9Scored
61.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.559.2119.7+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (17)60.158.9119.0+1.241%-
Last 30 away (13)61.059.6120.6+1.446%-
Last 10 (10)59.961.7121.6-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)58.858.8117.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.355.7115.0+3.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)56.358.1114.5-1.840%-
vs Weaker (12)66.061.4127.4+4.642%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 116.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.929.3
56.5%
54.8%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.713.5
35.8%
35.8%40.5
🏀 Free throws23.617.7
75.0%
78.1%17.7
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 123.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.629.7
55.4%
54.8%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.114.5
38.1%
35.8%43.5
🏀 Free throws24.820.7
83.5%
78.1%20.7
They take 91.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWLWWLWLLL
Denver Nuggets
LLWWWWWWWW
#10
League position
#6
-0.2
Net rating
+7.5
112.8
Offensive rating
117.8
113.0
Defensive rating
110.3
55.3%
Effective FG%
56.1%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
12.6%
Turnover %
10.8%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.8%
3-point %
38.1%
59.8%
Assist %
65.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 117.8Defence113.0 · 110.3Shooting55.3% · 56.1%3-point %35.8% · 38.1%Ball care12.6% · 10.8%Off. rebounds23.7% · 28.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/26HDenver Nuggets113-96
21/04/26ADenver Nuggets119-114
18/04/26ADenver Nuggets105-116
13/04/26HNew Orleans Pelicans132-126
11/04/26AHouston Rockets136-132
08/04/26AOrlando Magic120-132
07/04/26AIndiana Pacers124-104
05/04/26HCharlotte Hornets108-122
03/04/26APhiladelphia 76ers103-115
02/04/26ADetroit Pistons108-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/26AMinnesota Timberwolves96-113
21/04/26HMinnesota Timberwolves114-119
18/04/26HMinnesota Timberwolves116-105
13/04/26ASan Antonio Spurs128-118
11/04/26HOklahoma City Thunder127-107
09/04/26HMemphis Grizzlies136-119
07/04/26HPortland Trail Blazers137-132 OT
04/04/26HSan Antonio Spurs136-134 OT
02/04/26AUtah Jazz130-117
30/03/26HGolden State Warriors116-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW60%
HomeWLLWW64%
AwayWLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games854243
Win %60%64%56%
Points / game117.8114.7120.8
Allowed / game114.4110.7118.0
Point differential+3.4+4.0+2.7
Avg total232.2225.5238.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%38%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (24)58% (12)42% (12)
Overtime %5%2%7%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL65%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games854342
Win %65%67%62%
Points / game121.6120.5122.7
Allowed / game116.8115.1118.5
Point differential+4.8+5.5+4.2
Avg total238.4235.6241.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%37%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (29)50% (12)53% (17)
Overtime %11%9%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder83661780%119.0107.8+11.2
2 San Antonio Spurs83622175%119.5111.2+8.3
3 Detroit Pistons85612472%117.2109.4+7.8
4 Boston Celtics85582768%114.7106.9+7.7
5 Los Angeles Lakers84562867%116.0113.9+2.1
6 Denver Nuggets85553065%121.6116.8+4.8
7 Cleveland Cavaliers85543164%119.4115.4+4.0
8 New York Knicks84533163%116.0109.8+6.1
9 Houston Rockets85523361%114.7109.9+4.8
10 Minnesota Timberwolves85513460%117.8114.4+3.4
11 Toronto Raptors84473756%114.8111.9+2.9
12 Atlanta Hawks86483856%117.8115.8+2.0
13 Orlando Magic85473855%115.1114.1+0.9
14 Philadelphia 76ers86473955%115.3115.6-0.3
15 Charlotte Hornets84453954%115.8111.5+4.4
16 Phoenix Suns86464053%112.4111.0+1.4
17 Miami Heat82433952%121.1118.7+2.4
18 Portland Trail Blazers86444251%115.1115.5-0.5
19 Los Angeles Clippers83424151%113.9112.8+1.1
20 Golden State Warriors84384645%114.5115.2-0.7
21 Milwaukee Bucks82325039%110.6116.8-6.2
22 Chicago Bulls82315138%116.3121.5-5.2
23 New Orleans Pelicans82265632%115.5120.0-4.5
24 Dallas Mavericks82265632%114.1119.6-5.5
25 Memphis Grizzlies82255730%114.7120.7-6.0
26 Utah Jazz82226027%117.6126.0-8.4
27 Sacramento Kings82226027%111.0121.0-10.0
28 Brooklyn Nets82206224%105.9115.9-10.0
29 Indiana Pacers82196323%112.4120.4-8.0
30 Washington Wizards82176521%112.9124.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves22283230112
Denver Nuggets2331241896
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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