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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 113-96
25-11 36-28 27-29 25-28
Position#10
Record51-38
FormLWWLW
Points / game117.8
Allowed / game115.0
vs
Position#6
Record58-31
FormWWWWL
Points / game121.2
Allowed / game116.3
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
17 Oct 2024
MIN126
DEN132
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
08 Jul 2022
MIN85
DEN78
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
06 Jul 2018
MIN69
DEN70
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
12 Oct 2016
MIN105
DEN88
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
12 Oct 2010
MIN122
DEN108
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
19 Oct 2008
MIN111
DEN107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#23
W
124-94
124
94
+30
A31/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
108-113
108
113
-5
A02/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
103-115
103
115
-12
A03/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
108-122
108
122
-14
H05/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
124-104
124
104
+20
A07/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#12
L
120-132
120
132
-12
A08/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
W
136-132
136
132
+4
A11/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
132-126
132
126
+6
H13/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
105-116
105
116
-11
A18/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
119-114
119
114
+5
A21/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-23
21-23
38-25
30-23
31-30
23-24
26-25
28-34
17-19
30-22
24-42
32-32
21-29
39-26
19-34
29-33
35-27
28-26
39-24
22-27
32-34
21-29
30-38
37-31
37-36
32-37
34-33
33-26
34-24
39-35
24-31
35-36
33-23
29-39
17-29
26-25
25-39
39-25
26-29
29-21
234.7Avg total
117.9Scored
116.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (89)117.8115.0232.8+2.857%
Season at home (42)115.2111.7226.9+3.662%
Season away (47)120.1118.0238.1+2.153%
Last 10 (10)117.9116.8234.7+1.150%
Last 5 (5)122.4124.0246.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)100.0107.5207.5-7.525%
vs Similar ◀ (20)115.2117.2232.4-2.055%
vs Weaker (6)127.7109.3237.0+18.3100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#26
W
135-129
135
129
+6
H28/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
116-93
116
93
+23
H30/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
130-117
130
117
+13
A02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
136-134 OT
136
134
+2
H04/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
137-132 OT
137
132
+5
H07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
136-119
136
119
+17
H09/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
127-107
127
107
+20
H11/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
128-118
128
118
+10
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
116-105
116
105
+11
H18/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
114-119
114
119
-5
H21/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-26
25-36
36-43
37-24
23-28
23-25
40-21
30-19
39-28
29-26
29-36
33-27
36-43
29-29
27-24
32-28
31-35
27-37
29-29
38-24
37-33
31-39
39-22
29-25
34-27
25-24
31-34
37-22
37-34
33-22
31-35
27-27
23-33
39-29
29-17
25-26
39-25
25-39
29-26
21-29
244.8Avg total
127.5Scored
117.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (89)121.2116.3237.5+4.965%
Season at home (45)120.5115.4235.9+5.267%
Season away (44)121.9117.3239.1+4.664%
Last 10 (10)127.5117.3244.8+10.290%
Last 5 (5)124.2113.6237.8+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)129.0124.3253.3+4.767%
vs Similar ◀ (11)116.2113.9230.1+2.355%
vs Weaker (13)130.0117.7247.7+12.385%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +5.8+5.8
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#23
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A31/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A02/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A03/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H05/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A07/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#12
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A08/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A11/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H13/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A18/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
D
64-64
64
64
+0
A21/04
NBA
117.1Avg total
60.1Scored
57.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.655.5114.1+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.557.4117.9+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)56.953.8110.8+3.156%-
Last 10 (10)60.157.0117.1+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)64.264.2128.4+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.548.598.0+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)58.556.8115.2+1.855%-
vs Weaker (6)65.055.8120.8+9.283%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#26
D
62-62
62
62
+0
H28/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H30/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
68-54
68
54
+14
A02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H04/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
58-72
58
72
-14
H07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H09/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H11/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
70-56
70
56
+14
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
D
62-62
62
62
+0
H18/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
D
64-64
64
64
+0
H21/04
NBA
124.0Avg total
62.2Scored
61.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.259.0120.2+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (18)60.158.6118.7+1.544%-
Last 30 away (12)62.859.5122.3+3.350%-
Last 10 (10)62.261.8124.0+0.430%-
Last 5 (5)64.661.0125.6+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)61.060.7121.7+0.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)56.255.8112.0+0.445%-
vs Weaker (13)65.560.8126.4+4.746%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 117.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.629.5
56.1%
54.8%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.414.0
37.4%
35.8%42.0
🏀 Free throws22.716.9
74.4%
78.1%16.9
They take 90.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 127.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.330.3
56.8%
54.8%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.715.6
39.3%
35.8%46.8
🏀 Free throws24.020.1
83.8%
78.1%20.1
They take 93.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWWLWLLLW
Denver Nuggets
LWWWWWWWWW
#10
League position
#6
+1.1
Net rating
+9.7
112.7
Offensive rating
121.0
111.7
Defensive rating
111.3
56.1%
Effective FG%
57.7%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
12.5%
Turnover %
11.1%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.4%
3-point %
39.3%
59.3%
Assist %
67.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 121.0Defence111.7 · 111.3Shooting56.1% · 57.7%3-point %37.4% · 39.3%Ball care12.5% · 11.1%Off. rebounds24.6% · 31.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/26ADenver Nuggets119-114
18/04/26ADenver Nuggets105-116
13/04/26HNew Orleans Pelicans132-126
11/04/26AHouston Rockets136-132
08/04/26AOrlando Magic120-132
07/04/26AIndiana Pacers124-104
05/04/26HCharlotte Hornets108-122
03/04/26APhiladelphia 76ers103-115
02/04/26ADetroit Pistons108-113
31/03/26ADallas Mavericks124-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/26HMinnesota Timberwolves114-119
18/04/26HMinnesota Timberwolves116-105
13/04/26ASan Antonio Spurs128-118
11/04/26HOklahoma City Thunder127-107
09/04/26HMemphis Grizzlies136-119
07/04/26HPortland Trail Blazers137-132 OT
04/04/26HSan Antonio Spurs136-134 OT
02/04/26AUtah Jazz130-117
30/03/26HGolden State Warriors116-93
28/03/26HUtah Jazz135-129

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeLWLLW62%
AwayWLWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games894247
Win %57%62%53%
Points / game117.8115.2120.1
Allowed / game115.0111.7118.0
Point differential+2.8+3.6+2.1
Avg total232.8226.9238.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%36%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (26)54% (13)38% (13)
Overtime %7%5%9%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL65%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games894544
Win %65%67%64%
Points / game121.2120.5121.9
Allowed / game116.3115.4117.3
Point differential+4.9+5.2+4.6
Avg total237.5235.9239.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%36%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (31)50% (12)53% (19)
Overtime %10%9%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder88691978%118.3107.9+10.4
2 San Antonio Spurs86652176%119.8111.3+8.5
3 Detroit Pistons88632572%117.2109.4+7.8
4 Boston Celtics88602868%114.9107.0+7.9
5 Denver Nuggets89583165%121.2116.3+4.9
6 New York Knicks88563264%115.4109.5+5.9
7 Houston Rockets88563264%115.5110.4+5.2
8 Los Angeles Lakers89563363%115.2113.9+1.3
9 Cleveland Cavaliers89553462%119.1115.5+3.6
10 Minnesota Timberwolves89513857%117.8115.0+2.8
11 Orlando Magic88503857%115.6114.1+1.5
12 Toronto Raptors90513957%114.8111.9+2.9
13 Atlanta Hawks89503956%118.0116.1+1.9
14 Phoenix Suns89494055%112.5110.6+1.9
15 Philadelphia 76ers89484154%114.9115.6-0.7
16 Charlotte Hornets89474253%116.1112.0+4.1
17 Los Angeles Clippers86444251%113.5112.3+1.2
18 Portland Trail Blazers89454451%115.4115.9-0.5
19 Miami Heat88434549%120.4118.8+1.6
20 Golden State Warriors89414846%114.6115.1-0.5
21 Milwaukee Bucks86355141%110.8116.5-5.7
22 Chicago Bulls87345339%116.5121.4-4.9
23 Dallas Mavericks86295734%114.1118.8-4.6
24 New Orleans Pelicans84265831%115.8120.3-4.5
25 Memphis Grizzlies87266130%114.8121.1-6.3
26 Utah Jazz86236327%117.8126.2-8.3
27 Sacramento Kings86236327%111.1120.9-9.8
28 Brooklyn Nets85216425%106.3116.1-9.7
29 Indiana Pacers86216524%112.6120.5-8.0
30 Washington Wizards85186721%112.8124.4-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves25362725113
Denver Nuggets1128292896
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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