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Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 22:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record5-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game113.6
Allowed / game112.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#13
Record6-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game110.6
Allowed / game102.3
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v New York Knicks
02 Jan 2027
DEN v NYK
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
DEN103
NYK142
25 Nov 2024
DEN118
NYK145
21 Mar 2024
DEN113
NYK100
16 Nov 2022
DEN103
NYK106
08 Feb 2022
DEN132
NYK115
05 May 2021
DEN113
NYK97
15 Dec 2019
DEN111
NYK105
01 Jan 2019
DEN115
NYK108
25 Jan 2018
DEN130
NYK118
17 Dec 2016
DEN127
NYK114
08 Mar 2016
DEN110
NYK94
09 Mar 2015
DEN106
NYK78
29 Nov 2013
DEN97
NYK95
13 Mar 2013
DEN117
NYK94
16 Nov 2010
DEN120
NYK118
27 Nov 2009
DEN128
NYK125
31 Mar 2009
DEN111
NYK104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
New York Knicks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
98-110
98
110
-12
90avg 111
A01/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
84-96
84
96
-12
62avg 111
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
113avg 111
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#6
L
114-134
114
134
-20
92avg 111
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
104-91
104
91
+13
93avg 111
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
127-120
127
120
+7
120avg 111
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
110-118
110
118
-8
96avg 111
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#16
W
128-109
128
109
+19
134avg 111
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
114-102
114
102
+12
109avg 111
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
100-110
100
110
-10
87avg 111
A10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-29
20-28
24-25
24-28
27-24
21-20
16-26
20-26
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
31-19
35-39
21-27
23-33
33-35
31-32
39-15
25-27
27-19
37-22
26-37
24-24
24-32
16-22
28-23
32-33
224.5Avg total
112.0Scored
112.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)113.6112.8226.3+0.856%
Season at home (4)123.2124.0247.2-0.850%
Season away (5)105.8103.8209.6+2.060%
Last 10 (10)112.0112.5224.5-0.550%
Last 5 (5)115.8111.8227.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)107.0113.0220.0-6.020%
vs Similar (12)117.3116.5233.8+0.858%
vs Weaker (13)127.1115.8242.9+11.292%
This opponent (New York Knicks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New York KnicksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKnicks
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
100-106
100
106
-6
86avg 108
H20/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
103-107
103
107
-4
100avg 108
A23/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
L
102-111
102
111
-9
90avg 108
H25/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
W
111-97
111
97
+14
107avg 108
H28/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
133-127
133
127
+6
124avg 108
A29/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
93-98
93
98
-5
84avg 108
A30/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
103-90
103
90
+13
99avg 108
H03/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
135-105
135
105
+30
136avg 108
H05/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
109-97
109
97
+12
101avg 108
A08/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
117-85
117
85
+32
116avg 108
H11/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
33-31
18-29
24-23
27-26
22-24
24-33
30-24
28-21
24-27
23-23
27-40
25-38
26-12
37-13
23-34
34-33
22-29
34-34
43-31
21-29
23-24
24-24
25-21
27-21
24-23
24-35
28-11
43-21
41-31
29-27
22-26
26-27
37-26
25-17
21-27
26-21
32-13
27-38
32-13
212.9Avg total
110.6Scored
102.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)110.6102.3212.9+8.360%
Season at home (6)111.399.0210.3+12.367%
Season away (4)109.5107.2216.8+2.250%
Last 10 (10)110.6102.3212.9+8.360%
Last 5 (5)111.495.0206.4+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)104.0103.0207.0+1.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)116.9101.2218.1+15.677%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.5+2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.5+2.5
Denver NuggetsNew York Knicks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A01/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#6
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#16
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A10/11
NBA
113.9Avg total
57.3Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.958.2118.1+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)62.361.1123.4+1.241%-
Last 30 away (13)56.854.4111.2+2.462%-
Last 10 (10)57.356.6113.9+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)61.057.4118.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)53.853.4107.2+0.460%-
vs Similar (12)58.559.2117.8-0.842%-
vs Weaker (13)63.559.0122.5+4.554%-
This opponent (New York Knicks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New York KnicksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H20/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A23/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H25/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H28/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A29/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A30/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H03/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
84-52
84
52
+32
H05/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A08/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H11/11
NBA
106.6Avg total
56.6Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.051.9109.9+6.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.952.4110.4+5.575%-
Last 30 away (14)58.151.2109.3+6.957%-
Last 10 (10)56.650.0106.6+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)60.047.2107.2+12.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)49.854.9104.6-5.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)61.050.8111.8+10.277%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.029.7
55.0%
54.0%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.89.5
30.8%
35.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws27.321.7
79.5%
76.8%21.7
They take 84.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New York Knickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New York Knicks: 106.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.422.7
46.0%
54.0%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.314.2
37.1%
35.0%42.6
🏀 Free throws24.818.9
76.2%
76.8%18.9
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWLWWLWLL
New York Knicks
WWWWLWWLLL
#15
League position
#13
-3.7
Net rating
+1.6
107.0
Offensive rating
108.2
110.7
Defensive rating
106.5
51.8%
Effective FG%
50.2%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
11.7%
Turnover %
13.8%
15.0%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.8%
3-point %
37.1%
63.8%
Assist %
65.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 108.2Defence110.7 · 106.5Shooting51.8% · 50.2%3-point %30.8% · 37.1%Ball care11.7% · 13.8%Off. rebounds15.0% · 28.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ New York Knicks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Denver Nuggets wins
7
New York Knicks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26AHouston Rockets100-110
07/11/26AIndiana Pacers114-102
05/11/26HToronto Raptors128-109
03/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers110-118
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT
23/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder84-96
01/05/26AMinnesota Timberwolves98-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks117-85
08/11/26ACleveland Cavaliers109-97
05/11/26HChicago Bulls135-105
03/11/26HBrooklyn Nets103-90
30/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers93-98
29/10/26AChicago Bulls133-127
28/10/26HDetroit Pistons111-97
25/10/26HOrlando Magic102-111
23/10/26ABoston Celtics103-107
20/10/26HPhiladelphia 76ers100-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL56%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game113.6123.2105.8
Allowed / game112.8124.0103.8
Point differential+0.8-0.8+2.0
Avg total226.3247.2209.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %11%25%0%
New York Knicks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW60%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game110.6111.3109.5
Allowed / game102.399.0107.2
Point differential+8.3+12.3+2.2
Avg total212.9210.3216.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1210283%122.1114.4+7.7
2 Boston Celtics119282%115.7104.0+11.7
3 San Antonio Spurs119282%118.7107.0+11.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
5 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
6 Golden State Warriors118373%120.4111.2+9.2
7 Houston Rockets118373%115.5106.4+9.1
8 Oklahoma City Thunder118373%111.4105.9+5.5
9 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
10 Memphis Grizzlies107370%117.9110.8+7.1
11 Portland Trail Blazers107370%119.7112.7+7.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 New York Knicks106460%110.6102.3+8.3
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 Denver Nuggets95456%113.6112.8+0.8
16 Toronto Raptors105550%116.6113.3+3.3
17 Cleveland Cavaliers115645%116.5115.0+1.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 New Orleans Pelicans114736%117.5122.4-4.9
21 Washington Wizards114736%108.1113.4-5.3
22 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
23 Orlando Magic103730%107.0114.6-7.6
24 Indiana Pacers113827%111.4115.2-3.8
25 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
26 Brooklyn Nets102820%106.7115.7-9.0
27 Chicago Bulls91811%112.7129.3-16.7
28 Utah Jazz111109%106.5117.6-11.2
29 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
30 Milwaukee Bucks111109%106.3121.2-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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