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Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Dec 2009
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 101-99
23-24 29-26 28-23 21-26
Position#25
Record9-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game94.4
vs
Position#6
Record16-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game101.7
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Detroit Pistons v Denver Nuggets
30 Nov 2026
DET v DEN
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
DET124
DEN121
28 Feb 2025
DET119
DEN134
20 Nov 2023
DET103
DEN107
16 Mar 2023
DET100
DEN119
25 Jan 2022
DET105
DEN110
14 May 2021
DET91
DEN104
02 Feb 2020
DET128
DEN123
04 Feb 2019
DET129
DEN103
12 Dec 2017
DET84
DEN103
05 Nov 2016
DET103
DEN86
10 Feb 2016
DET92
DEN103
06 Feb 2015
DET98
DEN88
08 Feb 2014
DET126
DEN109
11 Dec 2012
DET94
DEN101
26 Jan 2011
DET100
DEN109
10 Dec 2009
DET101
DEN99
03 Mar 2009
DET100
DEN95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Detroit Pistons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Detroit PistonsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A19/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
L
97-100 OT
97
100
-3
A22/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
91-117
91
117
-26
A23/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
88-98
88
98
-10
H26/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
96-104
96
104
-8
H28/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H29/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A03/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
105-96
105
96
+9
H05/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
98-94
98
94
+4
H06/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
90-86
90
86
+4
A10/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
21-27
12-22
31-17
24-27
22-15
22-22
22-26
26-29
16-29
21-26
28-33
19-28
23-32
24-20
22-18
27-27
27-20
21-27
21-30
27-25
28-22
12-18
27-23
10-24
28-24
19-26
28-18
34-23
29-32
20-17
22-24
24-19
28-30
19-20
27-25
18-16
24-26
25-21
23-23
188.7Avg total
92.5Scored
96.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)92.994.4187.3-1.543%
Season at home (10)92.590.2182.7+2.360%
Season away (11)93.398.3191.5-5.027%
Last 10 (10)92.596.2188.7-3.740%
Last 5 (5)94.491.2185.6+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)88.594.9183.4-6.424%
vs Similar (13)96.794.0190.7+2.754%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
112-93
112
93
+19
H22/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
101-87
101
87
+14
H25/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
124-111
124
111
+13
A26/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
128-125
128
125
+3
H28/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
L
100-106
100
106
-6
H30/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
135-107
135
107
+28
H02/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
114-96
114
96
+18
H04/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
106-99
106
99
+7
A06/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A08/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
L
95-107
95
107
-12
A09/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
35-25
26-19
37-22
27-19
28-24
25-18
21-26
29-18
33-24
40-37
22-32
26-30
35-30
31-27
36-38
40-25
24-25
12-31
24-25
25-28
44-27
38-29
28-23
25-22
33-20
34-26
22-28
23-30
30-29
22-17
31-23
20-26
21-18
22-21
30-18
26-29
23-25
26-24
20-29
212.2Avg total
110.8Scored
101.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)109.0101.7210.8+7.373%
Season at home (10)117.2103.3220.5+13.990%
Season away (12)102.2100.4202.7+1.858%
Last 10 (10)110.8101.4212.2+9.480%
Last 5 (5)108.698.4207.0+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)104.4104.2208.6+0.147%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)113.7102.2215.9+11.585%
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
Detroit PistonsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Detroit PistonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A19/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A22/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A23/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
42-60
42
60
-18
H26/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H28/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H29/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A03/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H05/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H06/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A10/12
NBA
96.8Avg total
47.2Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.147.494.5-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.545.493.9+3.171%-
Last 30 away (16)45.949.295.1-3.331%-
Last 10 (10)47.249.696.8-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)50.048.298.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)44.548.392.8-3.841%-
vs Similar (13)50.546.396.8+4.262%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H22/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H25/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
62-42
62
42
+20
A26/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H28/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
64-50
64
50
+14
H30/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
69-55
69
55
+14
H02/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H04/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A06/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A08/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A09/12
NBA
106.2Avg total
56.1Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.951.9105.8+2.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.053.1111.1+4.971%-
Last 30 away (16)50.450.8101.2-0.425%-
Last 10 (10)56.150.1106.2+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)54.050.8104.8+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)52.352.5104.8-0.235%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)56.151.2107.2+4.962%-
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Detroit Pistons wins
0
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/09APhiladelphia 76ers90-86
06/12/09HWashington Wizards98-94
05/12/09HMilwaukee Bucks105-96
03/12/09AChicago Bulls85-92
29/11/09HAtlanta Hawks94-88
28/11/09HLos Angeles Clippers96-104
26/11/09HCleveland Cavaliers88-98
23/11/09APhoenix Suns91-117
22/11/09AUtah Jazz97-100 OT
19/11/09APortland Trail Blazers81-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/09ACharlotte Hornets95-107
08/12/09APhiladelphia 76ers93-83
06/12/09ASan Antonio Spurs106-99
04/12/09HMiami Heat114-96
02/12/09HGolden State Warriors135-107
30/11/09HMinnesota Timberwolves100-106
28/11/09HNew York Knicks128-125
26/11/09AMinnesota Timberwolves124-111
25/11/09HBrooklyn Nets101-87
22/11/09HChicago Bulls112-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Detroit Pistons
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW43%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%60%27%
Points / game92.992.593.3
Allowed / game94.490.298.3
Point differential-1.5+2.3-5.0
Avg total187.3182.7191.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWLWW90%
AwayLWWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %73%90%58%
Points / game109.0117.2102.2
Allowed / game101.7103.3100.4
Point differential+7.3+13.9+1.8
Avg total210.8220.5202.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%70%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers2017385%104.495.3+9.1
2 Boston Celtics2117481%100.090.5+9.4
3 Orlando Magic2117481%101.895.0+6.9
4 Denver Nuggets2216673%109.0101.7+7.3
5 Atlanta Hawks2115671%104.497.3+7.0
6 Cleveland Cavaliers2215768%99.494.4+5.0
7 Dallas Mavericks2215768%101.796.9+4.8
8 Phoenix Suns2215768%109.0105.8+3.2
9 Portland Trail Blazers2314961%96.191.3+4.8
10 Utah Jazz2112957%100.298.2+2.0
11 Houston Rockets2112957%101.599.6+2.0
12 Oklahoma City Thunder2011955%97.795.0+2.6
13 Miami Heat2011955%97.597.2+0.3
14 San Antonio Spurs1910953%100.997.5+3.4
15 Milwaukee Bucks21101148%98.798.1+0.6
16 New Orleans Pelicans21101148%99.0102.2-3.2
17 Charlotte Hornets2091145%90.290.6-0.3
18 Sacramento Kings2191243%104.4105.6-1.2
19 Detroit Pistons2191243%92.994.4-1.5
20 Los Angeles Clippers2191243%94.497.0-2.6
21 Memphis Grizzlies2191243%101.0105.2-4.1
22 Toronto Raptors24101442%104.8108.7-4.0
23 Washington Wizards1971237%96.7100.4-3.7
24 Chicago Bulls2071335%90.699.0-8.4
25 Golden State Warriors2171433%108.6112.5-4.0
26 New York Knicks2271532%103.4107.3-3.9
27 Indiana Pacers1961332%96.7101.7-5.0
28 Philadelphia 76ers2251723%96.4101.6-5.2
29 Minnesota Timberwolves2231914%92.2103.1-10.9
30 Brooklyn Nets222209%88.498.4-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Detroit Pistons23292821101
Denver Nuggets2426232699
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