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Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 103-86
29-12 22-32 26-23 26-19
Position#19
Record6-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game91.8
vs
Position#16
Record6-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game104.8
Allowed / game104.2
USANBA· Palace of Auburn Hills
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Detroit Pistons v Denver Nuggets
30 Nov 2026
DET v DEN
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
DET124
DEN121
28 Feb 2025
DET119
DEN134
20 Nov 2023
DET103
DEN107
16 Mar 2023
DET100
DEN119
25 Jan 2022
DET105
DEN110
14 May 2021
DET91
DEN104
02 Feb 2020
DET128
DEN123
04 Feb 2019
DET129
DEN103
12 Dec 2017
DET84
DEN103
05 Nov 2016
DET103
DEN86
10 Feb 2016
DET92
DEN103
06 Feb 2015
DET98
DEN88
08 Feb 2014
DET126
DEN109
11 Dec 2012
DET94
DEN101
26 Jan 2011
DET100
DEN109
10 Dec 2009
DET101
DEN99
03 Mar 2009
DET100
DEN95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Detroit Pistons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Detroit PistonsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H10/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
99-94
99
94
+5
A13/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
97-76
97
76
+21
A15/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
102-78
102
78
+24
H17/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
92-103
92
103
-11
H19/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
91-109
91
109
-18
A26/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
108-82
108
82
+26
H28/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
98-83
98
83
+15
H30/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
102-89
102
89
+13
H01/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
101-109
101
109
-8
A02/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
14-25
19-14
24-23
19-33
24-17
36-23
20-21
22-16
24-17
26-19
25-24
16-26
24-22
36-17
26-13
22-31
24-30
22-20
24-22
23-33
23-25
25-28
20-23
24-22
30-9
32-20
22-31
24-21
26-18
25-26
23-18
32-29
32-26
22-24
16-10
30-38
25-33
26-21
20-17
188.0Avg total
97.1Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)96.891.8188.6+5.055%
Season at home (6)97.286.8184.0+10.367%
Season away (5)96.497.8194.2-1.440%
Last 10 (10)97.190.9188.0+6.260%
Last 5 (5)100.094.4194.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)94.498.9193.3-4.429%
vs Similar ◀ (15)96.595.2191.7+1.360%
vs Weaker (8)89.881.0170.8+8.862%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
115-124
115
124
-9
A10/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
88-105
88
105
-17
A13/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
128-129 OT
128
129
-1
H15/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
106-97
106
97
+9
A17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
87-97
87
97
-10
A19/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
101-75
101
75
+26
H22/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
107-102
107
102
+5
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
113-115 OT
113
115
-2
H30/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
102-105
102
105
-3
A31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
102-99
102
99
+3
A04/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
30-21
32-32
30-39
26-26
22-26
16-29
24-24
31-34
28-20
30-31
23-27
26-34
33-18
22-21
25-24
28-32
13-27
21-23
25-15
24-17
27-16
26-16
24-26
30-24
30-24
25-29
22-25
28-33
26-29
34-19
16-23
24-33
25-29
35-26
18-17
25-37
30-24
33-14
14-24
209.7Avg total
104.9Scored
104.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)104.8104.2209.1+0.650%
Season at home (3)114.0106.3220.3+7.733%
Season away (9)101.8103.6205.3-1.856%
Last 10 (10)104.9104.8209.7+0.140%
Last 5 (5)105.099.2204.2+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)99.7110.4210.1-10.729%
vs Similar ◀ (14)100.8101.9202.6-1.143%
vs Weaker (9)96.989.7186.6+7.267%
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
Detroit PistonsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Detroit PistonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H10/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A13/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A15/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H17/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H19/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A26/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H28/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H30/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H01/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A02/11
NBA
97.7Avg total
48.2Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.747.995.6-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.447.696.0+0.944%-
Last 30 away (14)46.948.395.2-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)48.249.597.7-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)53.850.8104.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)51.150.9102.0+0.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)47.649.997.5-2.340%-
vs Weaker (8)45.041.586.5+3.562%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A10/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A13/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H15/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A19/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H22/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H30/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A04/11
NBA
106.5Avg total
52.9Scored
53.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.650.4102.0+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (12)49.548.898.3+0.750%-
Last 30 away (18)52.951.4104.4+1.544%-
Last 10 (10)52.953.6106.5-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)53.853.2107.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)51.653.0104.6-1.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)53.653.5107.1+0.143%-
vs Weaker (9)48.343.691.9+4.867%-
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Detroit Pistonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Detroit Pistons: 97.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.430.9
48.7%
50.2%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.8
33.0%
35.7%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.014.9
74.5%
77.0%14.9
They take 84.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 104.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.930.2
48.8%
50.2%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.2
30.1%
35.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws31.222.9
73.4%
77.0%22.9
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Detroit Pistons
LWWWLLWWWL
Denver Nuggets
WLLWWLWLLL
#19
League position
#16
+6.4
Net rating
+0.1
100.5
Offensive rating
100.3
94.1
Defensive rating
100.2
48.9%
Effective FG%
47.8%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
14.3%
Turnover %
16.9%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.0%
3-point %
30.1%
56.5%
Assist %
54.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 100.3Defence94.1 · 100.2Shooting48.9% · 47.8%3-point %33.0% · 30.1%Ball care14.3% · 16.9%Off. rebounds22.5% · 27.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Detroit Pistons   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Detroit Pistons wins
8
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/16ABrooklyn Nets101-109
01/11/16HNew York Knicks102-89
30/10/16HMilwaukee Bucks98-83
28/10/16HOrlando Magic108-82
26/10/16AToronto Raptors91-109
19/10/16HToronto Raptors92-103
17/10/16HMilwaukee Bucks102-78
15/10/16APhiladelphia 76ers97-76
13/10/16AAtlanta Hawks99-94
10/10/16HSan Antonio Spurs81-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/16AMinnesota Timberwolves102-99
31/10/16AToronto Raptors102-105
30/10/16HPortland Trail Blazers113-115 OT
27/10/16ANew Orleans Pelicans107-102
22/10/16HDallas Mavericks101-75
19/10/16AOklahoma City Thunder87-97
17/10/16APortland Trail Blazers106-97
15/10/16HGolden State Warriors128-129 OT
13/10/16AMinnesota Timberwolves88-105
10/10/16ALos Angeles Lakers115-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Detroit Pistons
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL55%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game96.897.296.4
Allowed / game91.886.897.8
Point differential+5.0+10.3-1.4
Avg total188.6184.0194.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1239
Win %50%33%56%
Points / game104.8114.0101.8
Allowed / game104.2106.3103.6
Point differential+0.6+7.7-1.8
Avg total209.1220.3205.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)0% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %17%67%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors1310377%112.5105.5+7.1
2 San Antonio Spurs129375%100.893.6+7.2
3 Oklahoma City Thunder107370%103.4100.5+2.9
4 Atlanta Hawks128467%101.594.1+7.4
5 Boston Celtics128467%107.4103.5+3.9
6 Houston Rockets117464%113.6109.1+4.5
7 Toronto Raptors117464%101.798.8+2.9
8 Cleveland Cavaliers117464%107.5105.4+2.2
9 Los Angeles Clippers117464%95.697.0-1.4
10 Memphis Grizzlies127558%101.6101.8-0.2
11 Charlotte Hornets127558%96.097.7-1.7
12 Detroit Pistons116555%96.891.8+5.0
13 New York Knicks116555%105.2107.9-2.7
14 Milwaukee Bucks116555%97.3101.0-3.7
15 Portland Trail Blazers137654%105.3106.3-1.0
16 Chicago Bulls126650%106.2102.0+4.2
17 Minnesota Timberwolves126650%101.197.0+4.1
18 Utah Jazz126650%95.994.2+1.8
19 Denver Nuggets126650%104.8104.2+0.6
20 Phoenix Suns126650%104.4107.5-3.1
21 Miami Heat136746%102.298.6+3.6
22 Washington Wizards115645%103.8102.0+1.8
23 Indiana Pacers115645%108.2109.8-1.6
24 Sacramento Kings114736%100.6103.5-2.8
25 Los Angeles Lakers145936%107.1107.8-0.6
26 Orlando Magic124833%97.8104.9-7.2
27 Brooklyn Nets123925%102.2109.2-7.1
28 Philadelphia 76ers112918%94.4106.3-11.9
29 Dallas Mavericks1221017%95.4104.2-8.8
30 New Orleans Pelicans121118%102.9109.1-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Detroit Pistons29222626103
Denver Nuggets1232231986
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