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Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Dec 2009
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 114-96
25-22 33-20 34-26 22-28
Position#6
Record13-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game110.6
Allowed / game102.9
vs
Position#13
Record10-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game96.1
Allowed / game95.4
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat
14 Mar 2027
DEN v MIA
upcoming
05 Nov 2025
DEN122
MIA112
08 Nov 2024
DEN135
MIA122
29 Feb 2024
DEN103
MIA97
12 Jun 2023
DEN94
MIA89
04 Jun 2023
DEN108
MIA111
01 Jun 2023
DEN104
MIA93
30 Dec 2022
DEN124
MIA119
08 Nov 2021
DEN113
MIA96
14 Apr 2021
DEN123
MIA106
01 Aug 2020
DEN105
MIA125
05 Nov 2019
DEN109
MIA89
11 Feb 2019
DEN103
MIA87
03 Nov 2017
DEN95
MIA94
30 Nov 2016
DEN98
MIA106
15 Jan 2016
DEN95
MIA98
10 Dec 2014
DEN102
MIA82
30 Dec 2013
DEN94
MIA97
15 Nov 2012
DEN93
MIA98
13 Jan 2012
DEN117
MIA104
13 Jan 2011
DEN130
MIA102
03 Dec 2009
DEN114
MIA96
07 Jan 2009
DEN108
MIA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
102-108
102
108
-6
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#3
W
105-79
105
79
+26
H14/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
130-112
130
112
+18
H18/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
99-106
99
106
-7
A21/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
112-93
112
93
+19
H22/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
101-87
101
87
+14
H25/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
124-111
124
111
+13
A26/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
128-125
128
125
+3
H28/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
L
100-106
100
106
-6
H30/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
135-107
135
107
+28
H02/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
20-26
25-28
30-27
26-28
32-28
29-8
18-15
28-29
36-35
33-25
33-23
26-21
20-35
27-32
26-18
14-27
35-25
26-19
37-22
27-19
28-24
25-18
21-26
29-18
33-24
40-37
22-32
26-30
35-30
31-27
36-38
40-25
24-25
12-31
24-25
25-28
44-27
38-29
28-23
217.0Avg total
113.6Scored
103.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)110.6102.9213.6+7.772%
Season at home (9)117.6104.1221.7+13.489%
Season away (9)103.7101.8205.4+1.956%
Last 10 (10)113.6103.4217.0+10.270%
Last 5 (5)117.6107.2224.8+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)105.4104.4209.8+0.953%
vs Weaker (13)114.8102.5217.2+12.385%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
104-111
104
111
-7
H13/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H15/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
87-100
87
100
-13
H18/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
90-105
90
105
-15
A19/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
113-120
113
120
-7
A21/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
102-101
102
101
+1
H22/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#2
W
99-98
99
98
+1
A26/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
L
84-94
84
94
-10
H28/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
85-92
85
92
-7
H29/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
W
107-100
107
100
+7
A02/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-35
24-27
27-30
20-19
17-19
23-19
18-19
23-23
17-25
25-20
17-29
28-26
23-26
20-34
29-19
18-26
24-26
25-43
34-20
30-31
30-25
29-27
27-31
16-18
26-24
17-20
23-27
33-27
24-26
18-25
22-16
20-27
31-29
17-26
17-12
20-25
32-28
28-22
28-22
19-28
195.3Avg total
95.2Scored
100.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)96.195.4191.4+0.759%
Season at home (11)94.193.3187.4+0.855%
Season away (6)99.799.2198.8+0.567%
Last 10 (10)95.2100.1195.3-4.940%
Last 5 (5)95.497.0192.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)100.3104.7205.0-4.333%
vs Similar ◀ (19)93.593.8187.3-0.342%
vs Weaker (8)97.490.0187.4+7.488%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.3-2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.3-2.3
Denver NuggetsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#3
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H14/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
D
64-64
64
64
+0
H18/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A21/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H22/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H25/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
62-42
62
42
+20
A26/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H28/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
64-50
64
50
+14
H30/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
69-55
69
55
+14
H02/12
NBA
110.6Avg total
57.5Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.151.8105.9+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.053.3110.3+3.769%-
Last 30 away (14)50.850.1100.9+0.736%-
Last 10 (10)57.553.1110.6+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)62.250.0112.2+12.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)52.152.0104.1+0.147%-
vs Weaker (13)56.751.5108.2+5.262%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H13/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H15/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H18/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A19/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
49-69
49
69
-20
A21/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H22/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A26/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H28/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H29/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A02/12
NBA
100.9Avg total
48.3Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.548.696.1-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.146.694.7+1.553%-
Last 30 away (13)46.651.397.9-4.738%-
Last 10 (10)48.352.6100.9-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)50.450.4100.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.053.3102.3-4.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)46.248.594.7-2.342%-
vs Weaker (8)49.947.197.0+2.875%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Denver Nuggets wins
1
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/09HGolden State Warriors135-107
30/11/09HMinnesota Timberwolves100-106
28/11/09HNew York Knicks128-125
26/11/09AMinnesota Timberwolves124-111
25/11/09HBrooklyn Nets101-87
22/11/09HChicago Bulls112-93
21/11/09ALos Angeles Clippers99-106
18/11/09HToronto Raptors130-112
14/11/09HLos Angeles Lakers105-79
12/11/09AMilwaukee Bucks102-108
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/09APortland Trail Blazers107-100
29/11/09HBoston Celtics85-92
28/11/09HWashington Wizards84-94
26/11/09AOrlando Magic99-98
22/11/09HNew Orleans Pelicans102-101
21/11/09AToronto Raptors113-120
19/11/09AAtlanta Hawks90-105
18/11/09HOklahoma City Thunder87-100
15/11/09HBrooklyn Nets81-80
13/11/09HCleveland Cavaliers104-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW72%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayLWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %72%89%56%
Points / game110.6117.6103.7
Allowed / game102.9104.1101.8
Point differential+7.7+13.4+1.9
Avg total213.6221.7205.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW59%
HomeWLWLL55%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %59%55%67%
Points / game96.194.199.7
Allowed / game95.493.399.2
Point differential+0.7+0.8+0.5
Avg total191.4187.4198.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%18%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1714382%104.296.1+8.1
2 Boston Celtics1915479%99.890.8+9.0
3 Orlando Magic1915479%100.894.2+6.6
4 Dallas Mavericks1914574%104.197.5+6.6
5 Phoenix Suns1914574%110.2105.8+4.4
6 Denver Nuggets1813572%110.6102.9+7.7
7 Atlanta Hawks1813572%104.898.4+6.4
8 Cleveland Cavaliers1813572%99.594.3+5.2
9 Portland Trail Blazers2012860%96.791.3+5.4
10 Utah Jazz1710759%101.597.9+3.6
11 Miami Heat1710759%96.195.4+0.7
12 San Antonio Spurs169756%100.096.1+3.9
13 Oklahoma City Thunder1810856%97.994.9+3.0
14 Houston Rockets1810856%102.1100.4+1.7
15 Milwaukee Bucks179853%99.197.8+1.4
16 Sacramento Kings179853%104.9104.3+0.6
17 Chicago Bulls167944%91.496.8-5.4
18 Los Angeles Clippers1981142%95.298.3-3.2
19 Charlotte Hornets1771041%88.389.1-0.8
20 Washington Wizards1771041%96.2100.1-3.8
21 New Orleans Pelicans1871139%99.4103.8-4.4
22 Indiana Pacers1661038%99.2102.9-3.7
23 Memphis Grizzlies1971237%100.7106.2-5.5
24 Golden State Warriors1761135%109.4113.7-4.3
25 Toronto Raptors2071335%105.3111.0-5.7
26 Detroit Pistons1861233%92.194.8-2.7
27 Philadelphia 76ers1951426%97.2102.4-5.2
28 New York Knicks1941521%103.3109.1-5.8
29 Minnesota Timberwolves1821611%91.6104.4-12.8
30 Brooklyn Nets180180%86.697.9-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets25333422114
Miami Heat2220262896
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