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Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 124-121
32-27 37-23 24-30 31-41
Position#3
Record36-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game117.3
Allowed / game109.7
vs
Position#6
Record33-17
FormWLWWL
Points / game119.9
Allowed / game115.7
USANBA· Little Caesars Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Detroit Pistons v Denver Nuggets
30 Nov 2026
DET v DEN
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
DET124
DEN121
28 Feb 2025
DET119
DEN134
20 Nov 2023
DET103
DEN107
16 Mar 2023
DET100
DEN119
25 Jan 2022
DET105
DEN110
14 May 2021
DET91
DEN104
02 Feb 2020
DET128
DEN123
04 Feb 2019
DET129
DEN103
12 Dec 2017
DET84
DEN103
05 Nov 2016
DET103
DEN86
10 Feb 2016
DET92
DEN103
06 Feb 2015
DET98
DEN88
08 Feb 2014
DET126
DEN109
11 Dec 2012
DET94
DEN101
26 Jan 2011
DET100
DEN109
10 Dec 2009
DET101
DEN99
03 Mar 2009
DET100
DEN95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Detroit Pistons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Detroit PistonsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistons
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
108-105
108
105
+3
105avg 110
H16/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
121-78
121
78
+43
120avg 110
H18/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
104-103
104
103
+1
92avg 110
H20/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
112-104
112
104
+8
106avg 110
A22/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
104-111
104
111
-7
91avg 110
H24/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
139-116
139
116
+23
136avg 110
H25/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
109-107
109
107
+2
97avg 110
A28/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
96-114
96
114
-18
85avg 110
A30/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
131-124
131
124
+7
116avg 110
A31/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
130-77
130
77
+53
132avg 110
H01/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
33-31
33-27
19-15
31-11
28-14
33-28
29-25
26-29
33-22
25-31
20-21
34-30
34-32
21-22
23-20
20-28
32-24
20-34
32-25
35-35
43-30
35-28
26-23
31-18
21-28
30-26
27-35
31-35
25-37
25-21
15-21
45-37
32-27
31-31
23-29
33-24
34-20
33-18
30-15
219.3Avg total
115.4Scored
103.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)117.3109.7227.0+7.675%
Season at home (25)117.4106.0223.4+11.380%
Season away (23)117.3113.7231.0+3.670%
Last 10 (10)115.4103.9219.3+11.580%
Last 5 (5)121.0107.6228.6+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)110.3100.3210.7+10.083%
vs Weaker (24)117.6109.7227.2+7.967%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
118-109
118
109
+9
108avg 112
A15/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
121-115
121
115
+6
118avg 112
H18/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
87-110
87
110
-23
72avg 112
H19/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
107-115
107
115
-8
94avg 112
H21/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
107-97
107
97
+10
101avg 112
A23/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
102-100
102
100
+2
96avg 112
A24/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
107-109
107
109
-2
102avg 112
H28/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
107-103
107
103
+4
101avg 112
H30/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
122-109
122
109
+13
127avg 112
H31/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
111-121
111
121
-10
108avg 112
H02/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
34-23
25-32
30-31
36-29
26-34
21-23
38-29
18-33
16-27
23-27
30-23
37-28
34-29
17-29
19-29
27-23
21-23
33-29
26-22
21-21
27-21
30-21
24-37
18-31
28-21
26-30
35-27
30-26
34-23
15-27
28-27
35-27
24-23
33-30
30-29
26-32
29-30
30-39
26-20
217.7Avg total
108.9Scored
108.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)119.9115.7235.7+4.266%
Season at home (24)118.7115.3234.0+3.458%
Season away (26)121.1116.1237.2+5.073%
Last 10 (10)108.9108.8217.7+0.160%
Last 5 (5)109.8108.4218.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)111.0121.0232.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)112.9117.4230.3-4.450%
vs Weaker (15)120.9113.7234.5+7.280%
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
Detroit PistonsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Detroit PistonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H16/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
59-25
59
25
+34
H18/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H20/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A22/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H24/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H25/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A28/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A30/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A31/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
67-44
67
44
+23
H01/02
NBA
116.8Avg total
62.4Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.755.6116.3+5.273%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.652.2111.8+7.475%-
Last 30 away (14)62.059.4121.4+2.671%-
Last 10 (10)62.454.4116.8+8.070%-
Last 5 (5)66.058.2124.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)55.850.8106.7+5.067%-
vs Weaker (24)62.056.8118.7+5.275%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A15/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H18/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
34-60
34
60
-26
H19/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H21/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A23/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A24/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H28/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H30/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H31/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H02/02
NBA
107.7Avg total
55.0Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.355.4113.7+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.154.4111.6+2.757%-
Last 30 away (16)59.456.2115.6+3.144%-
Last 10 (10)55.052.7107.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)54.451.0105.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)55.062.0117.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)55.357.4112.7-2.136%-
vs Weaker (15)61.453.1114.5+8.367%-
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Detroit Pistonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Detroit Pistons: 112.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.331.3
56.6%
54.8%62.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.210.0
31.1%
35.8%30.0
🏀 Free throws26.519.9
75.1%
78.1%19.9
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.925.8
52.8%
54.8%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.312.9
38.7%
35.8%38.7
🏀 Free throws23.518.6
79.1%
78.1%18.6
They take 82.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Detroit Pistons
WWLWWLWWWW
Denver Nuggets
LWWLWWLLWW
#3
League position
#6
+6.5
Net rating
+0.1
111.1
Offensive rating
114.2
104.6
Defensive rating
114.1
52.9%
Effective FG%
54.9%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
13.3%
Turnover %
10.7%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
19.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.1%
3-point %
38.7%
63.7%
Assist %
65.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 114.2Defence104.6 · 114.1Shooting52.9% · 54.9%3-point %31.1% · 38.7%Ball care13.3% · 10.7%Off. rebounds25.0% · 19.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Detroit Pistons   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Detroit Pistons wins
8
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26HBrooklyn Nets130-77
31/01/26AGolden State Warriors131-124
30/01/26APhoenix Suns96-114
28/01/26ADenver Nuggets109-107
25/01/26HSacramento Kings139-116
24/01/26HHouston Rockets104-111
22/01/26ANew Orleans Pelicans112-104
20/01/26HBoston Celtics104-103
18/01/26HIndiana Pacers121-78
16/01/26HPhoenix Suns108-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/26HOklahoma City Thunder111-121
31/01/26HLos Angeles Clippers122-109
30/01/26HBrooklyn Nets107-103
28/01/26HDetroit Pistons107-109
24/01/26AMilwaukee Bucks102-100
23/01/26AWashington Wizards107-97
21/01/26HLos Angeles Lakers107-115
19/01/26HCharlotte Hornets87-110
18/01/26HWashington Wizards121-115
15/01/26ADallas Mavericks118-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Detroit Pistons
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWWWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482523
Win %75%80%70%
Points / game117.3117.4117.3
Allowed / game109.7106.0113.7
Point differential+7.6+11.3+3.6
Avg total227.0223.4231.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%52%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (16)80% (5)55% (11)
Overtime %4%4%4%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL66%
HomeLLWWL58%
AwayWWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502426
Win %66%58%73%
Points / game119.9118.7121.1
Allowed / game115.7115.3116.1
Point differential+4.2+3.4+5.0
Avg total235.7234.0237.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%33%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (18)50% (8)60% (10)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder48381079%120.2108.4+11.8
2 Detroit Pistons48361275%117.3109.7+7.6
3 Denver Nuggets50331766%119.9115.7+4.2
4 San Antonio Spurs47311666%116.7111.8+4.9
5 Houston Rockets48311765%116.0110.0+6.0
6 Boston Celtics49311863%116.1109.1+7.0
7 New York Knicks47291862%117.3112.1+5.2
8 Los Angeles Lakers47291862%116.1116.0+0.1
9 Phoenix Suns49301961%114.3110.8+3.5
10 Minnesota Timberwolves51312061%119.5114.5+4.9
11 Toronto Raptors50302060%113.8112.1+1.7
12 Cleveland Cavaliers51302159%119.3116.2+3.1
13 Philadelphia 76ers49282157%116.9115.7+1.2
14 Golden State Warriors50272354%116.7114.0+2.7
15 Miami Heat50272354%120.2117.9+2.4
16 Orlando Magic46242252%115.3115.4-0.1
17 Chicago Bulls50242648%117.2119.9-2.7
18 Atlanta Hawks51242747%117.2118.3-1.1
19 Los Angeles Clippers49232647%112.7112.9-0.2
20 Portland Trail Blazers50232746%115.1117.9-2.8
21 Charlotte Hornets51232845%116.0114.2+1.8
22 Memphis Grizzlies48192940%115.0116.8-1.8
23 Dallas Mavericks49193039%114.1116.6-2.5
24 Milwaukee Bucks47182938%111.1115.6-4.5
25 Utah Jazz50153530%118.0127.0-9.0
26 Brooklyn Nets48133527%107.1114.7-7.6
27 Washington Wizards48133527%112.3122.5-10.2
28 Indiana Pacers50133726%110.7118.4-7.7
29 New Orleans Pelicans52133925%114.0120.6-6.5
30 Sacramento Kings51123924%110.2120.4-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Detroit Pistons32372431124
Denver Nuggets27233041121
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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