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Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 129-103
34-36 34-19 29-28 32-20
Position#18
Record24-32
FormWLLWL
Points / game105.5
Allowed / game108.1
vs
Position#4
Record40-16
FormWWWWW
Points / game111.7
Allowed / game106.0
USANBA· Little Caesars Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Detroit Pistons v Denver Nuggets
30 Nov 2026
DET v DEN
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
DET124
DEN121
28 Feb 2025
DET119
DEN134
20 Nov 2023
DET103
DEN107
16 Mar 2023
DET100
DEN119
25 Jan 2022
DET105
DEN110
14 May 2021
DET91
DEN104
02 Feb 2020
DET128
DEN123
04 Feb 2019
DET129
DEN103
12 Dec 2017
DET84
DEN103
05 Nov 2016
DET103
DEN86
10 Feb 2016
DET92
DEN103
06 Feb 2015
DET98
DEN88
08 Feb 2014
DET126
DEN109
11 Dec 2012
DET94
DEN101
26 Jan 2011
DET100
DEN109
10 Dec 2009
DET101
DEN99
03 Mar 2009
DET100
DEN95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Detroit Pistons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Detroit PistonsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#8
L
94-100
94
100
-6
A15/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
W
120-115 OT
120
115
+5
H17/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
98-93
98
93
+5
H19/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
101-103
101
103
-2
H20/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
L
87-101
87
101
-14
A21/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
98-94
98
94
+4
A24/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
101-106
101
106
-5
A26/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
105-115
105
115
-10
H30/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
93-89
93
89
+4
H01/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
L
101-111
101
111
-10
H02/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-27
28-26
15-22
20-25
26-34
32-29
32-21
19-25
30-17
23-22
12-30
33-24
30-26
27-25
25-23
19-29
17-29
17-21
30-31
23-20
31-28
26-19
22-23
19-24
28-23
26-39
31-26
16-18
22-30
27-32
28-27
28-26
19-21
26-28
18-21
30-19
40-22
25-25
22-29
14-35
202.5Avg total
99.8Scored
102.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)105.5108.1213.6-2.643%
Season at home (29)106.5107.2213.7-0.748%
Season away (27)104.4109.1213.4-4.737%
Last 10 (10)99.8102.7202.5-2.940%
Last 5 (5)99.6103.0202.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)101.2113.0214.2-11.810%
vs Similar (19)103.2105.4208.6-2.242%
vs Weaker (1)95.098.0193.0-3.00%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#3
L
111-142
111
142
-31
H16/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
135-105
135
105
+30
H18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
124-102
124
102
+22
H20/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
108-114
108
114
-6
A24/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
132-95
132
95
+37
H26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
126-110
126
110
+16
H27/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
W
95-92
95
92
+3
A29/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
105-99
105
99
+6
A31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
136-122
136
122
+14
H02/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
107-106
107
106
+1
A03/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-51
22-28
23-33
28-30
28-30
33-17
42-26
32-32
37-25
33-21
31-30
23-26
24-30
34-35
22-23
28-26
37-32
33-23
28-26
34-14
41-37
36-31
30-28
19-14
16-30
25-30
19-17
35-15
29-26
24-30
33-19
19-24
35-43
48-28
30-24
23-27
29-38
32-26
28-24
18-18
226.6Avg total
117.9Scored
108.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)111.7106.0217.7+5.771%
Season at home (27)116.5104.5221.0+12.085%
Season away (29)107.2107.5214.7-0.259%
Last 10 (10)117.9108.7226.6+9.280%
Last 5 (5)113.8105.8219.6+8.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)112.3111.5223.7+0.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)113.6105.7219.3+7.980%
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +3.3+3.3
Detroit PistonsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Detroit PistonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#8
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A15/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
L
58-63
58
63
-5
H17/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H19/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H20/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A21/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A24/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A26/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
49-62
49
62
-13
H30/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H01/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
W
65-47
65
47
+18
H02/02
NBA
105.4Avg total
53.1Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.955.4107.3-3.530%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.353.8107.1-0.543%-
Last 30 away (16)50.756.8107.4-6.119%-
Last 10 (10)53.152.3105.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)54.053.4107.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)51.856.8108.6-5.040%-
vs Similar (19)52.454.5106.9-2.126%-
vs Weaker (1)43.057.0100.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#3
L
60-79
60
79
-19
H16/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
70-46
70
46
+24
H20/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A24/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H27/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A29/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H02/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A03/02
NBA
124.5Avg total
63.4Scored
61.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.957.9116.8+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)63.157.1120.2+5.973%-
Last 30 away (15)54.758.7113.4-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)63.461.1124.5+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)63.063.8126.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)59.859.3119.1+0.547%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)57.956.6114.5+1.353%-
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Detroit Pistonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Detroit Pistons: 99.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.424.2
48.0%
51.7%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.112.0
34.2%
35.4%36.0
🏀 Free throws20.115.4
76.6%
76.6%15.4
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.832.7
57.6%
51.7%65.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.812.4
37.8%
35.4%37.2
🏀 Free throws19.515.3
78.5%
76.6%15.3
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Detroit Pistons
LWLLWLLWWL
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWWLWWL
#18
League position
#4
-3.0
Net rating
+9.5
102.7
Offensive rating
121.2
105.7
Defensive rating
111.7
49.4%
Effective FG%
57.3%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
12.2%
Turnover %
10.7%
21.2%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.2%
3-point %
37.8%
62.2%
Assist %
63.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 121.2Defence105.7 · 111.7Shooting49.4% · 57.3%3-point %34.2% · 37.8%Ball care12.2% · 10.7%Off. rebounds21.2% · 27.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Detroit Pistons   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Detroit Pistons wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/19HLos Angeles Clippers101-111
01/02/19HDallas Mavericks93-89
30/01/19HMilwaukee Bucks105-115
26/01/19ADallas Mavericks101-106
24/01/19ANew Orleans Pelicans98-94
21/01/19AWashington Wizards87-101
20/01/19HSacramento Kings101-103
19/01/19HMiami Heat98-93
17/01/19HOrlando Magic120-115 OT
15/01/19AUtah Jazz94-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/19AMinnesota Timberwolves107-106
02/02/19HHouston Rockets136-122
31/01/19ANew Orleans Pelicans105-99
29/01/19AMemphis Grizzlies95-92
27/01/19HPhiladelphia 76ers126-110
26/01/19HPhoenix Suns132-95
24/01/19AUtah Jazz108-114
20/01/19HCleveland Cavaliers124-102
18/01/19HChicago Bulls135-105
16/01/19HGolden State Warriors111-142

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Detroit Pistons
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeWLLWL48%
AwayWLLWL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562927
Win %43%48%37%
Points / game105.5106.5104.4
Allowed / game108.1107.2109.1
Point differential-2.6-0.7-4.7
Avg total213.6213.7213.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (23)46% (13)40% (10)
Overtime %12%17%7%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLLWWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562729
Win %71%85%59%
Points / game111.7116.5107.2
Allowed / game106.0104.5107.5
Point differential+5.7+12.0-0.2
Avg total217.7221.0214.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%52%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (17)80% (5)92% (12)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks55411475%117.8107.4+10.4
2 Denver Nuggets56401671%111.7106.0+5.7
3 Toronto Raptors58411771%114.0108.3+5.7
4 Golden State Warriors57381967%118.1111.8+6.3
5 Oklahoma City Thunder56362064%114.4109.2+5.2
6 Philadelphia 76ers56362064%115.6112.1+3.5
7 Indiana Pacers56352162%107.6103.6+3.9
8 Boston Celtics57352261%112.1106.1+6.0
9 Portland Trail Blazers57352261%113.1109.8+3.3
10 San Antonio Spurs59352459%112.3109.4+2.9
11 Houston Rockets56332359%112.9110.7+2.2
12 Utah Jazz57332458%109.4105.7+3.7
13 Los Angeles Clippers57322556%113.9112.7+1.2
14 Charlotte Hornets57302753%111.7111.0+0.7
15 Brooklyn Nets58302852%110.9111.3-0.4
16 Los Angeles Lakers59302951%112.2112.3-0.1
17 Sacramento Kings57282949%112.8115.4-2.6
18 Miami Heat57273047%105.8106.3-0.6
19 Minnesota Timberwolves57263146%111.1112.3-1.2
20 Dallas Mavericks55253045%109.6109.2+0.5
21 Washington Wizards56253145%112.8115.1-2.3
22 Detroit Pistons56243243%105.5108.1-2.6
23 Orlando Magic57233440%103.7106.8-3.1
24 New Orleans Pelicans58233540%115.9115.8+0.2
25 Memphis Grizzlies59233639%100.8104.2-3.4
26 Atlanta Hawks57193833%110.6117.8-7.2
27 Chicago Bulls58144424%101.8110.6-8.8
28 New York Knicks57134423%105.9114.1-8.2
29 Cleveland Cavaliers57134423%102.8113.0-10.2
30 Phoenix Suns58124621%105.7115.4-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Detroit Pistons34342932129
Denver Nuggets36192820103
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