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Donar Groningen vs Leiden Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 08 May 2027
Tip-off: 18:30
Scheduled
Position#11
Record2-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Position#9
Record2-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game73.0
EuropeBNXT League· MartiniPlaza
Other2026-27
Meetings · Donar Groningen v Leiden
08 May 2027
DGR v LEI
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
DGR75
LEI65
21 Mar 2025
DGR77
LEI69
12 Mar 2025
DGR65
LEI74
28 Nov 2023
DGR70
LEI72
27 May 2023
DGR45
LEI68
23 May 2023
DGR65
LEI68
20 Jan 2023
DGR68
LEI63
06 Dec 2022
DGR62
LEI70
09 Jun 2022
DGR72
LEI75
19 Dec 2021
DGR63
LEI92
10 Apr 2021
DGR72
LEI96
15 Nov 2020
DGR v LEI
upcoming
09 Apr 2020
DGR v LEI
upcoming
21 Mar 2020
DGR v LEI
upcoming
11 May 2019
DGR84
LEI71
25 Apr 2019
DGR71
LEI73
16 Apr 2019
DGR76
LEI81
13 Feb 2019
DGR66
LEI71
06 Oct 2018
DGR74
LEI69
26 May 2018
DGR80
LEI69
22 May 2018
DGR105
LEI66
14 Apr 2018
DGR103
LEI112
09 Dec 2017
DGR91
LEI69
14 Jan 2017
DGR101
LEI77
29 Oct 2016
DGR80
LEI42
12 May 2016
DGR59
LEI52
07 May 2016
DGR71
LEI60
03 May 2016
DGR75
LEI68
10 Mar 2016
DGR90
LEI86
08 Nov 2015
DGR77
LEI66
14 May 2015
DGR77
LEI71
09 May 2015
DGR63
LEI59
05 May 2015
DGR78
LEI63
18 Apr 2015
DGR70
LEI65
13 Nov 2014
DGR70
LEI72
11 May 2014
DGR76
LEI62
06 May 2014
DGR74
LEI66
01 May 2014
DGR44
LEI73
27 Mar 2014
DGR90
LEI56
23 Nov 2013
DGR70
LEI61
03 May 2013
DGR57
LEI64
13 Apr 2013
DGR79
LEI70
25 Oct 2012
DGR70
LEI66
14 Jan 2012
DGR62
LEI64
22 Oct 2011
DGR86
LEI75
28 May 2011
DGR63
LEI57
21 May 2011
DGR85
LEI73
17 May 2011
DGR83
LEI68
09 Apr 2011
DGR61
LEI64
03 Feb 2011
DGR81
LEI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Donar Groningen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H03/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
90-76
90
76
+14
A06/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H09/05
BNXT League
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
L
81-97
81
97
-16
A24/09
ENBL
Tal Tech
#6
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A30/09
ENBL
Kortrijk
#14
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A02/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H06/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#6
L
63-90
63
90
-27
H14/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
90-114
90
114
-24
A25/10
BNXT League
Voluntari
#7
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H27/10
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
21-22
25-22
22-19
17-19
30-22
26-12
17-23
15-24
27-18
12-22
17-18
23-27
15-19
25-26
18-25
19-20
21-20
14-23
16-20
29-17
25-14
13-23
18-22
11-13
29-17
22-23
19-25
19-27
11-28
13-20
20-15
24-31
29-28
12-30
25-25
23-22
20-13
24-18
23-18
165.4Avg total
80.5Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.889.5169.2-9.850%
Season at home (2)72.084.0156.0-12.050%
Season away (2)87.595.0182.5-7.550%
Last 10 (10)80.584.9165.4-4.450%
Last 5 (5)81.885.8167.6-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.591.9170.4-13.523%
vs Similar (13)84.979.1164.0+5.869%
vs Weaker (4)90.583.0173.5+7.575%
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
92-96
92
96
-4
H17/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
78-97
78
97
-19
A20/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
85-97
85
97
-12
H25/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
110-102
110
102
+8
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#2
L
61-77
61
77
-16
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A24/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
24-26
23-14
27-31
17-28
17-24
27-21
17-24
31-31
19-27
23-21
12-18
25-21
25-18
22-18
21-18
21-21
19-18
30-14
30-21
30-25
24-22
31-26
25-29
14-23
18-15
18-21
26-12
16-23
20-16
12-25
13-13
25-26
17-15
24-16
26-20
11-11
14-14
22-17
17-25
168.4Avg total
85.1Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.273.0146.2+0.250%
Season at home (2)76.577.0153.5-0.550%
Season away (2)70.069.0139.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)85.183.3168.4+1.850%
Last 5 (5)80.678.8159.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.086.1161.1-11.110%
vs Similar (9)85.185.4170.6-0.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.976.9159.8+6.073%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
Donar GroningenLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H03/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A06/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H09/05
BNXT League
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A24/09
ENBL
Tal Tech
#6
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A30/09
ENBL
Kortrijk
#14
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A02/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H06/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#6
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H14/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A25/10
BNXT League
Voluntari
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H27/10
ENBL
84.4Avg total
42.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.083.7+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.638.481.0+4.371%-
Last 30 away (13)42.944.487.3-1.531%-
Last 10 (10)42.442.084.4+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.086.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.845.886.6-4.923%-
vs Similar (13)42.836.279.0+6.777%-
vs Weaker (4)48.841.089.8+7.875%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H17/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A20/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H25/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#12
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A24/10
BNXT League
83.4Avg total
40.5Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.181.5-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.744.185.8-2.340%-
Last 30 away (15)37.140.277.3-3.147%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.983.4-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.075.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.643.782.3-5.130%-
vs Similar (9)40.742.383.0-1.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.140.579.6-1.555%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.8
53.9%
53.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.5
35.7%
32.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws17.011.4
67.1%
71.1%11.4
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.3
55.7%
53.1%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.3
33.2%
32.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.113.6
75.1%
71.1%13.6
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Donar Groningen
WLLWWLLLWW
Leiden
LWLWWWWLLL
#11
League position
#9
-2.9
Net rating
+3.5
94.5
Offensive rating
97.9
97.5
Defensive rating
94.4
53.7%
Effective FG%
53.5%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.7%
3-point %
33.2%
56.0%
Assist %
63.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 97.9Defence97.5 · 94.4Shooting53.7% · 53.5%3-point %35.7% · 33.2%Ball care14.5% · 15.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Donar Groningen   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Donar Groningen wins
6
Leiden wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26HVoluntari90-71
25/10/26AOkapi Aalst90-114
14/10/26HSpirou Charleroi63-90
06/10/26HLeuven Bears81-78
02/10/26AKortrijk85-76
30/09/26ATal Tech70-83
24/09/26AAnwil Wloclawek81-97
09/05/26HLimburg71-82
06/05/26ARotterdam90-76
03/05/26HOostende84-82
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ALeuven Bears64-67
17/10/26HOkapi Aalst92-77
10/10/26HBrussels Basketball61-77
02/10/26ARotterdam76-71
09/05/26HDen Helder110-102
06/05/26ALWD Basket100-74
01/05/26ADen Bosch93-75
25/04/26HOkapi Aalst85-97
20/04/26AAntwerp Giants78-97
17/04/26HAntwerp Giants92-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game79.872.087.5
Allowed / game89.584.095.0
Point differential-9.8-12.0-7.5
Avg total169.2156.0182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leiden
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game73.276.570.0
Allowed / game73.077.069.0
Point differential+0.2-0.5+1.0
Avg total146.2153.5139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants440100%111.882.5+29.2
2 Brussels Basketball54180%81.468.2+13.2
3 Okapi Aalst43175%95.087.0+8.0
4 Limburg43175%94.086.2+7.8
5 Leuven Bears43175%71.569.8+1.8
6 Spirou Charleroi53260%79.865.6+14.2
7 Den Bosch53260%79.880.4-0.6
8 Oostende42250%79.877.8+2.0
9 Leiden42250%73.273.0+0.2
10 Zwolle42250%69.875.8-6.0
11 Donar Groningen42250%79.889.5-9.8
12 Rotterdam52340%76.280.8-4.6
13 Mechelen52340%89.095.2-6.2
14 Kortrijk4040%83.589.5-6.0
15 CB Liege5050%75.492.4-17.0
16 Belfius Mons4040%64.290.2-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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