Donar Groningen vs Leiden Prediction & Stats

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	81.6	86.7	168.3	-5.1	57%
Season at home (3)	72.3	88.0	160.3	-15.7	33%
Season away (4)	88.5	85.8	174.2	+2.8	75%
Last 10 (10)	83.6	83.9	167.5	-0.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	82.0	167.4	+3.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	77.8	90.8	168.6	-13.1	25%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	85.3	78.9	164.1	+6.4	71%
vs Weaker (4)	90.5	81.8	172.2	+8.8	75%

This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLeiden

Date

Competition

Den Bosch

93-75

+18

no box

A01/05

BNXT League

LWD Basket

#15

100-74

100

+26

no box

A06/05

BNXT League

Den Helder

#12

110-102

110

102

119avg 75

H09/05

BNXT League

Rotterdam

#14

76-71

68avg 75

A02/10

BNXT League

Brussels Basketball

61-77

-16

46avg 75

H10/10

BNXT League

Okapi Aalst

92-77

+15

88avg 75

H17/10

BNXT League

Leuven Bears

#12

64-67

-3

55avg 75

A24/10

BNXT League

Donar Groningen

83-96

-13

72avg 75

H31/10

BNXT League

Belfius Mons

#16

99-79

+20

no box

A07/11

BNXT League

Oostende

65-82

-17

no box

H14/11

BNXT League

25-21

25-18

22-18

21-18

21-21

19-18

30-14

30-21

30-25

24-22

31-26

25-29

14-23

18-15

18-21

26-12

16-23

20-16

12-25

13-13

25-26

17-15

24-16

26-20

11-11

14-14

22-17

17-25

17-24

22-19

26-25

18-28

27-21

20-26

21-22

31-10

17-20

20-23

17-24

11-15

164.3Avg total

84.3Scored

80.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	77.1	78.4	155.6	-1.3	43%
Season at home (4)	75.2	83.0	158.2	-7.8	25%
Season away (3)	79.7	72.3	152.0	+7.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	84.3	80.0	164.3	+4.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	80.2	160.8	+0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	73.9	86.1	160.0	-12.2	10%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	85.4	85.3	170.8	+0.1	44%
vs Weaker (11)	82.2	76.0	158.2	+6.2	73%

This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Donar GroningenLeiden

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.0	41.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	23.0	44.3	-1.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.3	43.1	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.6	43.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.0	24.7	42.7	-6.7	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	22.7	17.4	40.1	+5.3	71%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.5	22.5	41.0	-4.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	21.3	40.7	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	22.2	43.3	-1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	20.3	37.7	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.5	41.8	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.2	22.9	41.1	-4.7	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.1	21.0	41.1	-0.9	45%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	19.9	42.7	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	20.5	43.2	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	19.5	43.1	+4.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.0	43.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	23.8	21.5	45.2	+2.2	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.6	18.6	38.3	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	30.8	19.5	50.2	+11.2	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	21.2	41.2	-1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.6	38.5	+1.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.4	21.5	41.9	-1.1	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.3	22.8	43.1	-2.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	55%	-

Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kortrijk

#13

54-31

+23

A02/10

BNXT League

Leuven Bears

#12

40-30

+10

H06/10

BNXT League

Spirou Charleroi

30-55

-25

H14/10

BNXT League

Okapi Aalst

53-59

-6

A25/10

BNXT League

Voluntari

43-35

H27/10

ENBL

Leiden

#10

43-39

A31/10

BNXT League

Alkar

#13

50-40

+10

A03/11

ENBL

Limburg

36-54

-18

H08/11

BNXT League

AEL

50-43

H11/11

ENBL

Rotterdam

#14

45-32

+13

A15/11

BNXT League

86.2Avg total

44.4Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	40.9	83.9	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	39.8	81.9	+2.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.1	42.2	86.3	+1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	41.8	86.2	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	41.6	86.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	41.8	46.2	87.9	-4.4	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	42.4	36.1	78.4	+6.3	71%	-
vs Weaker (4)	49.2	42.0	91.2	+7.2	75%	-

This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Bosch

50-39

+11

A01/05

BNXT League

LWD Basket

#15

40-39

A06/05

BNXT League

Den Helder

#12

54-47

H09/05

BNXT League

Rotterdam

#14

32-38

-6

A02/10

BNXT League

Brussels Basketball

36-39

-3

H10/10

BNXT League

Okapi Aalst

42-41

H17/10

BNXT League

Leuven Bears

#12

25-25

A24/10

BNXT League

Donar Groningen

39-43

-4

H31/10

BNXT League

Belfius Mons

#16

47-47

A07/11

BNXT League

Oostende

37-43

-6

H14/11

BNXT League

80.3Avg total

40.2Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	42.3	81.7	-2.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.2	43.4	84.6	-2.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	41.0	78.4	-3.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	40.1	80.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	39.8	77.8	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.6	44.4	83.0	-5.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	40.2	42.7	82.9	-2.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	39.5	40.0	79.5	-0.5	55%	-

This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	22.1	42.4	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	22.1	41.9	-2.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	22.1	43.1	-1.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.6	41.6	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.4	43.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.0	24.1	41.1	-7.1	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	22.0	21.3	43.3	+0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.2	19.2	43.5	+5.0	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.9	40.2	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	21.2	42.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	18.5	37.9	+0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	20.8	43.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.6	21.1	39.7	-2.5	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.3	19.9	42.2	+2.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.1	18.9	39.0	+1.2	36%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.6	39.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	19.9	39.1	-0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	21.4	40.9	-1.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.6	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.3	20.6	40.9	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.0	20.5	37.5	-3.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	18.5	39.2	+2.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.1	40.9	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.7	20.6	37.3	-3.9	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.9	22.8	45.7	+0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.6	17.1	39.7	+5.5	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	42.7	82.4	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.9	42.1	80.9	-3.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.5	43.5	84.0	-3.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	42.1	81.3	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	40.4	81.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	36.0	44.7	80.7	-8.7	8%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	42.3	41.9	84.2	+0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.2	39.8	81.0	+1.5	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	39.9	80.9	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.8	42.4	84.2	-0.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.1	37.0	77.1	+3.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	39.9	84.0	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	40.4	83.0	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.3	41.7	77.0	-6.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	45.2	42.7	87.9	+2.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (11)	42.7	36.0	78.7	+6.7	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 81.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game

49%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	18.9	53.7%	53.2%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.9	10.6	35.5%	32.1%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	18.7	12.1	64.7%	71.0%	12.1

They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 84.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game

49%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.9	22.3	54.5%	53.2%	44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	8.7	33.0%	32.1%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	17.6	13.5	76.7%	71.0%	13.5

They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	20.1	54.8%	53.2%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	9.6	33.8%	32.1%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.1	71.6%	71.0%	14.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	18.6	52.7%	53.2%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	10.7	40.1%	32.1%	32.1
🏀 Free throws	18.7	12.8	68.4%	71.0%	12.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	20.0	56.8%	53.2%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	10.2	34.5%	32.1%	30.5
🏀 Free throws	18.5	12.9	69.7%	71.0%	12.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.9	22.1	55.3%	53.2%	44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	7.8	32.0%	32.1%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	19.4	13.9	71.5%	71.0%	13.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	20.4	54.0%	53.2%	40.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.6	10.0	33.7%	32.1%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	19.4	13.7	70.6%	71.0%	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.7	19.0	54.9%	53.2%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	9.9	37.9%	32.1%	29.8
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.7	74.1%	71.0%	14.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Donar Groningen

WWLWWWLLWW

Leiden

LWLLWLWWWW

League position

#10

-1.6

Net rating

+2.4

94.9

Offensive rating

96.4

96.5

Defensive rating

94.0

53.5%

Effective FG%

52.5%

53.0%

Opp. effective FG%

55.9%

14.2%

Turnover %

15.8%

0.29

Free-throw rate

0.26

35.5%

3-point %

33.0%

55.6%

Assist %

61.3%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Donar Groningen ■ Leiden

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Donar Groningen wins

Leiden wins

Date	Game	Score
31/10/26	Leiden v Donar Groningen	83-96
04/04/26	Donar Groningen v Leiden	75-65
08/11/25	Leiden v Donar Groningen	101-72
20/04/25	Leiden v Donar Groningen	79-81
21/03/25	Donar Groningen v Leiden	77-69
12/03/25	Donar Groningen v Leiden	65-74
28/11/23	Donar Groningen v Leiden	70-72
19/11/23	Leiden v Donar Groningen	85-77
29/05/23	Leiden v Donar Groningen	82-81
27/05/23	Donar Groningen v Leiden	45-68

Donar Groningenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/11/26	A	Rotterdam	83-70
11/11/26	H	AEL	83-81
08/11/26	H	Limburg	73-96
03/11/26	A	Alkar	92-80
31/10/26	A	Leiden	96-83
27/10/26	H	Voluntari	90-71
25/10/26	A	Okapi Aalst	90-114
14/10/26	H	Spirou Charleroi	63-90
06/10/26	H	Leuven Bears	81-78
02/10/26	A	Kortrijk	85-76

Leidenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/11/26	H	Oostende	65-82
07/11/26	A	Belfius Mons	99-79
31/10/26	H	Donar Groningen	83-96
24/10/26	A	Leuven Bears	64-67
17/10/26	H	Okapi Aalst	92-77
10/10/26	H	Brussels Basketball	61-77
02/10/26	A	Rotterdam	76-71
09/05/26	H	Den Helder	110-102
06/05/26	A	LWD Basket	100-74
01/05/26	A	Den Bosch	93-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Donar Groningen

BNXT League 2026-27

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	57%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	WLWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	57%	33%	75%
Points / game	81.6	72.3	88.5
Allowed / game	86.7	88.0	85.8
Point differential	-5.1	-15.7	+2.8
Avg total	168.3	160.3	174.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Leiden

BNXT League 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	43%
Home	LWLL	25%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	43%	25%	67%
Points / game	77.1	75.2	79.7
Allowed / game	78.4	83.0	72.3
Point differential	-1.3	-7.8	+7.3
Avg total	155.6	158.2	152.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	25%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Antwerp Giants	7	7	0	100%	99.3	78.0	+21.3
2	Spirou Charleroi	7	5	2	71%	79.0	68.0	+11.0
3	Brussels Basketball	7	5	2	71%	80.4	70.9	+9.6
4	Okapi Aalst	7	5	2	71%	91.7	86.9	+4.9
5	Limburg	7	4	3	57%	90.9	84.9	+6.0
6	Oostende	7	4	3	57%	76.9	73.1	+3.7
7	Den Bosch	7	4	3	57%	83.6	83.6	+0.0
8	Zwolle	7	4	3	57%	74.9	78.0	-3.1
9	Donar Groningen	7	4	3	57%	81.6	86.7	-5.1
10	Leiden	7	3	4	43%	77.1	78.4	-1.3
11	Mechelen	7	3	4	43%	88.4	91.0	-2.6
12	Leuven Bears	7	3	4	43%	69.9	74.6	-4.7
13	Kortrijk	7	2	5	29%	83.0	82.4	+0.6
14	Rotterdam	7	2	5	29%	75.0	80.6	-5.6
15	CB Liege	7	1	6	14%	77.0	89.0	-12.0
16	Belfius Mons	7	0	7	0%	66.9	89.4	-22.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Donar Groningen vs Leiden Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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