PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Donar Groningen vs Mechelen Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 15 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Scheduled
Position#11
Record2-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Position#13
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game95.2
EuropeBNXT League· MartiniPlaza
Other2026-27
Meetings · Donar Groningen v Mechelen
15 Dec 2026
DGR v MECH
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
DGR99
MECH63
08 Feb 2025
DGR75
MECH85
22 Apr 2023
DGR73
MECH48
01 Jun 2022
DGR84
MECH86
15 Apr 2022
DGR71
MECH66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Donar Groningen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H03/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
90-76
90
76
+14
A06/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H09/05
BNXT League
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
L
81-97
81
97
-16
A24/09
ENBL
Tal Tech
#6
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A30/09
ENBL
Kortrijk
#14
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A02/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H06/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#6
L
63-90
63
90
-27
H14/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
90-114
90
114
-24
A25/10
BNXT League
Voluntari
#7
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H27/10
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
21-22
25-22
22-19
17-19
30-22
26-12
17-23
15-24
27-18
12-22
17-18
23-27
15-19
25-26
18-25
19-20
21-20
14-23
16-20
29-17
25-14
13-23
18-22
11-13
29-17
22-23
19-25
19-27
11-28
13-20
20-15
24-31
29-28
12-30
25-25
23-22
20-13
24-18
23-18
165.4Avg total
80.5Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.889.5169.2-9.850%
Season at home (2)72.084.0156.0-12.050%
Season away (2)87.595.0182.5-7.550%
Last 10 (10)80.584.9165.4-4.450%
Last 5 (5)81.885.8167.6-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.591.9170.4-13.523%
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.979.1164.0+5.869%
vs Weaker (4)90.583.0173.5+7.575%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H19/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
63-99
63
99
-36
A25/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
57-56
57
56
+1
A06/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
97-73
97
73
+24
H09/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
109-100
109
100
+9
A02/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
H10/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
96-78
96
78
+18
H17/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
75-109
75
109
-34
A24/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
A30/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
18-29
13-12
20-11
14-22
11-23
15-27
23-27
18-21
22-27
21-14
19-25
10-16
17-17
13-17
17-6
23-7
29-16
23-32
22-18
29-33
23-20
29-27
28-20
21-23
28-19
16-26
14-26
24-21
33-20
19-20
20-17
16-31
19-28
26-26
14-24
20-21
20-27
18-31
28-16
168.9Avg total
81.5Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.095.2184.2-6.240%
Season at home (2)87.586.0173.5+1.550%
Season away (3)90.0101.3191.3-11.333%
Last 10 (10)81.587.4168.9-5.940%
Last 5 (5)89.095.2184.2-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)75.285.9161.2-10.735%
vs Similar ◀ (6)75.782.0157.7-6.333%
vs Weaker (7)83.976.0159.9+7.971%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.5+1.5
Donar GroningenMechelen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H03/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A06/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H09/05
BNXT League
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A24/09
ENBL
Tal Tech
#6
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A30/09
ENBL
Kortrijk
#14
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A02/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H06/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#6
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H14/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A25/10
BNXT League
Voluntari
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H27/10
ENBL
84.4Avg total
42.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.083.7+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.638.481.0+4.371%-
Last 30 away (13)42.944.487.3-1.531%-
Last 10 (10)42.442.084.4+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.086.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.845.886.6-4.923%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.836.279.0+6.777%-
vs Weaker (4)48.841.089.8+7.875%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
40-60
40
60
-20
H19/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A25/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A06/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H09/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A02/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H10/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H17/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A24/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A30/10
BNXT League
86.9Avg total
41.7Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.279.8-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.138.781.9+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)34.143.677.7-9.57%-
Last 10 (10)41.745.286.9-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)46.648.695.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.542.979.4-6.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.542.578.0-7.017%-
vs Weaker (7)46.435.982.3+10.671%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.8
53.9%
53.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.5
35.7%
32.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws17.011.4
67.1%
71.1%11.4
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.6
50.7%
53.1%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.7
35.7%
32.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.713.2
70.6%
71.1%13.2
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Donar Groningen
WLLWWLLLWW
Mechelen
LLWLWWWLLL
#11
League position
#13
-2.9
Net rating
-5.6
94.5
Offensive rating
91.3
97.5
Defensive rating
96.9
53.7%
Effective FG%
51.8%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
14.5%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.7%
3-point %
35.7%
56.0%
Assist %
59.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 91.3Defence97.5 · 96.9Shooting53.7% · 51.8%3-point %35.7% · 35.7%Ball care14.5% · 16.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Donar Groningen   ■ Mechelen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Donar Groningen wins
6
Mechelen wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26HVoluntari90-71
25/10/26AOkapi Aalst90-114
14/10/26HSpirou Charleroi63-90
06/10/26HLeuven Bears81-78
02/10/26AKortrijk85-76
30/09/26ATal Tech70-83
24/09/26AAnwil Wloclawek81-97
09/05/26HLimburg71-82
06/05/26ARotterdam90-76
03/05/26HOostende84-82
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ADen Bosch86-95
24/10/26AAntwerp Giants75-109
17/10/26HCB Liege96-78
10/10/26HOkapi Aalst79-94
02/10/26ALimburg109-100
09/05/26HRotterdam97-73
06/05/26ABrussels Basketball57-56
02/05/26HDen Helder80-87
25/04/26ADonar Groningen63-99
19/04/26HOostende73-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game79.872.087.5
Allowed / game89.584.095.0
Point differential-9.8-12.0-7.5
Avg total169.2156.0182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mechelen
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game89.087.590.0
Allowed / game95.286.0101.3
Point differential-6.2+1.5-11.3
Avg total184.2173.5191.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants440100%111.882.5+29.2
2 Brussels Basketball54180%81.468.2+13.2
3 Okapi Aalst43175%95.087.0+8.0
4 Limburg43175%94.086.2+7.8
5 Leuven Bears43175%71.569.8+1.8
6 Spirou Charleroi53260%79.865.6+14.2
7 Den Bosch53260%79.880.4-0.6
8 Oostende42250%79.877.8+2.0
9 Leiden42250%73.273.0+0.2
10 Zwolle42250%69.875.8-6.0
11 Donar Groningen42250%79.889.5-9.8
12 Rotterdam52340%76.280.8-4.6
13 Mechelen52340%89.095.2-6.2
14 Kortrijk4040%83.589.5-6.0
15 CB Liege5050%75.492.4-17.0
16 Belfius Mons4040%64.290.2-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.