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Drake vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 76-81
40-38 36-43
Position#271
Record12-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#170
Record12-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Drake v Valparaiso
12 Jan 2027
DRAK v VALP
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
DRAK76
VALP81
22 Jan 2025
DRAK81
VALP71
31 Jan 2024
DRAK81
VALP70
29 Dec 2022
DRAK68
VALP63
02 Dec 2021
DRAK73
VALP66
19 Feb 2020
DRAK77
VALP75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drake winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#91
L
66-93
66
93
-27
A08/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H10/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
76-73 OT
76
73
+3
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
101-90
101
90
+11
H22/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H29/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
73-87
73
87
-14
H31/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
90-103
90
103
-13
A04/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
19-40
47-53
44-25
32-53
26-37
41-30
22-34
45-40
44-41
57-49
26-24
50-38
30-36
52-42
35-41
38-46
43-51
47-52
32-47
44-39
160.7Avg total
78.3Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.674.7152.4+2.948%
Season at home (15)79.873.0152.8+6.847%
Season away (10)74.477.3151.7-2.950%
Last 10 (10)78.382.4160.7-4.140%
Last 5 (5)79.483.2162.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.081.0155.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.072.8145.8+0.262%
vs Weaker (7)78.460.7139.1+17.7100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H08/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
79-92
79
92
-13
A10/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A14/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H17/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H29/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
76-72 OT
76
72
+4
A31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A04/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
70-63 OT
70
63
+7
H07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-32
35-27
35-23
42-48
36-45
43-47
39-41
35-37
22-18
32-26
39-20
30-43
38-42
39-36
27-37
39-29
33-40
32-32
28-26
30-32
139.9Avg total
70.7Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)71.070.0141.0+1.150%
Season at home (14)71.663.5135.1+8.171%
Season away (10)70.379.0149.3-8.720%
Last 10 (10)70.769.2139.9+1.560%
Last 5 (5)71.469.6141.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.470.6136.0-5.336%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.173.2145.3-1.246%
vs Weaker (6)77.760.8138.5+16.883%
This opponent (Drake) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -5.5-5.51st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +0.0+0.0
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -5.5-5.51st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +0.0+0.0
DrakeValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#91
L
19-40
19
40
-21
A08/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H10/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A17/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H22/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H29/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H31/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A04/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A07/02
NCAA
69.7Avg total
32.1Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.234.267.4-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.533.669.1+1.939%-
Last 30 away (12)29.835.164.9-5.342%-
Last 10 (10)32.137.669.7-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)33.239.873.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.039.173.1-5.111%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)30.734.565.2-3.846%-
vs Weaker (7)35.928.464.3+7.457%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H04/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H08/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A10/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A14/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
22-18
22
18
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
39-20
39
20
+19
H22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H29/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A04/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H07/02
NCAA
65.2Avg total
32.8Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.731.464.1+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.327.560.8+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)32.235.267.4-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)32.832.465.2+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.066.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.832.565.4+0.355%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.732.163.8-0.446%-
vs Weaker (6)34.827.762.5+7.267%-
This opponent (Drake) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Drake wins
1
Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
23/01/25Drake v Valparaiso81-71
06/12/24Valparaiso v Drake60-66
01/02/24Drake v Valparaiso81-70
30/11/23Valparaiso v Drake65-83
05/02/23Valparaiso v Drake82-85 OT
30/12/22Drake v Valparaiso68-63
24/02/22Valparaiso v Drake65-71
03/12/21Drake v Valparaiso73-66
07/02/21Valparaiso v Drake74-57
06/02/21Valparaiso v Drake77-80
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26AIllinois State76-86
04/02/26ABelmont90-103
31/01/26HBradley73-87
29/01/26HEvansville82-78
24/01/26AIndiana State76-62
22/01/26HMurray State101-90
17/01/26AIllinois (Chi.)67-74
15/01/26ASouthern Illinois76-73 OT
10/01/26HBelmont76-78
08/01/26ABradley66-93
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HEvansville70-63 OT
04/02/26ABradley65-72
31/01/26AIndiana State76-72 OT
29/01/26HBelmont77-78
22/01/26HSouthern Illinois69-63
17/01/26HNorthern Iowa54-44
14/01/26ABelmont74-78
10/01/26AMurray State79-92
08/01/26HIllinois State77-71
04/01/26HIllinois (Chi.)66-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drake
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL48%
HomeWLWWL47%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %48%47%50%
Points / game77.679.874.4
Allowed / game74.773.077.3
Point differential+2.9+6.8-2.9
Avg total152.4152.8151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)29% (7)100% (2)
Overtime %8%7%10%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %50%71%20%
Points / game71.071.670.3
Allowed / game70.063.579.0
Point differential+1.1+8.1-8.7
Avg total141.0135.1149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %12%7%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont2622485%82.172.3+9.8
2 Murray State2518772%86.379.1+7.2
3 Illinois State2416867%76.766.8+9.9
4 Bradley2516964%76.772.4+4.2
5 Northern Iowa2415962%66.960.0+6.9
6 Illinois (Chi.)25131252%74.670.3+4.3
7 Valparaiso24121250%71.070.0+1.1
8 Drake25121348%77.674.7+2.9
9 Southern Illinois25111444%74.271.6+2.6
10 Indiana State25101540%75.274.9+0.3
11 Evansville2451921%66.874.3-7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Drake403676
Valparaiso384381
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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