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Drake vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 81-71
43-29 38-42
Position#8
Record16-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game57.1
Drake 🏆
USA
vs
Position#248
Record10-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Drake v Valparaiso
12 Jan 2027
DRAK v VALP
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
DRAK76
VALP81
22 Jan 2025
DRAK81
VALP71
31 Jan 2024
DRAK81
VALP70
29 Dec 2022
DRAK68
VALP63
02 Dec 2021
DRAK73
VALP66
19 Feb 2020
DRAK77
VALP75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drake winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Ambrose
#553
W
90-35
90
35
+55
H13/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
73-70 OT
73
70
+3
A18/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
65-46
65
46
+19
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A01/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H05/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A09/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
63-40
63
40
+23
H11/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H16/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
71-53
71
53
+18
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
51-19
39-16
36-27
27-36
40-32
32-30
39-21
26-25
33-32
37-42
26-26
33-40
31-31
33-26
25-20
38-20
34-30
32-32
32-25
39-28
125.8Avg total
69.3Scored
56.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)71.057.1128.1+13.989%
Season at home (11)70.752.7123.5+18.091%
Season away (7)71.463.9135.3+7.686%
Last 10 (10)69.356.5125.8+12.880%
Last 5 (5)64.655.6120.2+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)71.567.2138.7+4.383%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)75.364.7140.0+10.787%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#172
L
73-95
73
95
-22
A18/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A20/12
NCAA
Calumet College
#539
W
107-57
107
57
+50
H22/12
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
A29/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
H09/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A11/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-41
43-54
26-42
50-31
47-29
60-28
30-36
33-27
35-34
38-38
43-36
37-37
45-40
41-46
21-26
26-32
30-40
34-31
38-38
36-43
152.3Avg total
76.7Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.773.2150.9+4.553%
Season at home (11)85.069.9154.9+15.173%
Season away (8)67.677.8145.4-10.125%
Last 10 (10)76.775.6152.3+1.150%
Last 5 (5)72.675.6148.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)67.880.6148.4-12.912%
vs Similar (9)75.273.3148.6+1.956%
vs Weaker (3)90.070.7160.7+19.3100%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.4+8.41st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +3.1+3.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.4+8.41st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +3.1+3.1
DrakeValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Ambrose
#553
W
51-19
51
19
+32
H13/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A18/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H21/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A01/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H05/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A09/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
25-20
25
20
+5
H11/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H16/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A18/01
NCAA
61.0Avg total
34.7Scored
26.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.829.666.4+7.270%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.727.665.3+10.176%-
Last 30 away (13)35.532.267.8+3.362%-
Last 10 (10)34.726.361.0+8.480%-
Last 5 (5)29.626.456.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)37.832.270.0+5.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)35.929.265.1+6.774%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#172
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A18/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A20/12
NCAA
Calumet College
#539
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/12
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A29/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H09/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
21-26
21
26
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H18/01
NCAA
70.7Avg total
34.5Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.636.971.5-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.134.672.7+3.669%-
Last 30 away (14)30.539.670.1-9.121%-
Last 10 (10)34.536.270.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.071.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)32.539.271.7-6.835%-
vs Similar (9)34.234.768.9-0.456%-
vs Weaker (3)38.036.774.7+1.367%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Drake wins
1
Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
06/12/24Valparaiso v Drake60-66
01/02/24Drake v Valparaiso81-70
30/11/23Valparaiso v Drake65-83
05/02/23Valparaiso v Drake82-85 OT
30/12/22Drake v Valparaiso68-63
24/02/22Valparaiso v Drake65-71
03/12/21Drake v Valparaiso73-66
07/02/21Valparaiso v Drake74-57
06/02/21Valparaiso v Drake77-80
20/02/20Drake v Valparaiso77-75 OT
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25AIndiana State71-53
16/01/25HIllinois State66-62
11/01/25HEvansville63-40
09/01/25ABradley64-57
05/01/25HMurray State59-66
01/01/25AIllinois (Chi.)70-74
29/12/24HBelmont65-46
21/12/24HWisc. Green Bay72-62
18/12/24AKansas State73-70 OT
13/12/24HSt. Ambrose90-35
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HIllinois (Chi.)74-81
15/01/25ABelmont64-71
11/01/25AMurray State47-58
09/01/25HIndiana State98-95 OT
04/01/25HNorthern Iowa80-73
02/01/25AMissouri State73-72
29/12/24ABradley75-81 OT
22/12/24HCalumet College107-57
20/12/24AWestern Michigan76-73
18/12/24AOhio State73-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drake
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW89%
HomeWWLWW91%
AwayWWLWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %89%91%86%
Points / game71.070.771.4
Allowed / game57.152.763.9
Point differential+13.9+18.0+7.6
Avg total128.1123.5135.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%73%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%14%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL53%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayWLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %53%73%25%
Points / game77.785.067.6
Allowed / game73.269.977.8
Point differential+4.5+15.1-10.1
Avg total150.9154.9145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %11%9%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake1816289%71.057.1+13.9
2 Bradley2017385%81.267.7+13.5
3 Belmont2014670%81.278.8+2.5
4 Illinois (Chi.)1913668%80.573.8+6.7
5 Northern Iowa2012860%75.868.2+7.6
6 Illinois State2012860%77.271.5+5.6
7 Murray State2011955%74.569.0+5.4
8 Valparaiso1910953%77.773.2+4.5
9 Indiana State2091145%81.280.3+0.9
10 Southern Illinois2081240%72.573.6-1.1
11 Evansville1961332%64.369.6-5.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Drake433881
Valparaiso294271
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