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Mega Basket vs Dubai Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 66-95
12-29 22-22 15-27 17-17
Position#9
Record8-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Dubai 🏆
Position#4
Record12-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game79.9
EuropeABA LeagueRound 18· Hala sportova Ranko
Domestic2024
Meetings · Mega Basket v Dubai
09 Nov 2026
MEG87
DUB98
27 Jan 2025
MEG66
DUB95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dubai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
72avg 76
H10/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
82-93
82
93
-11
71avg 76
A16/11
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
68-65
68
65
+3
60avg 76
A02/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
98-74
98
74
+24
100avg 76
H09/12
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
86-110
86
110
-24
77avg 76
A14/12
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
88-58
88
58
+30
82avg 76
H20/12
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
78avg 76
A28/12
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
90-100 OT
90
100
-10
94avg 76
H06/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
87-94
87
94
-7
72avg 76
H12/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
87-89
87
89
-2
85avg 76
A19/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
21-22
19-24
13-19
21-24
25-22
20-18
16-29
21-19
19-25
11-12
17-9
26-25
26-13
24-19
22-17
17-28
23-31
28-30
18-21
18-15
22-11
25-18
23-14
17-20
24-24
23-19
18-14
27-20
21-21
15-19
19-22
16-28
24-21
20-26
27-19
26-20
27-26
17-18
17-25
168.5Avg total
84.4Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.680.6162.2+1.047%
Season at home (8)83.877.4161.1+6.450%
Season away (9)79.783.4163.1-3.844%
Last 10 (10)84.484.1168.5+0.340%
Last 5 (5)86.883.6170.4+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.588.8167.3-10.427%
vs Similar (6)84.082.3166.3+1.767%
vs Weaker (13)88.178.2166.2+9.977%
This opponent (Dubai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubaiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubai
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
61-82
61
82
-21
47avg 83
A10/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
91-76
91
76
+15
82avg 83
H17/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
82avg 83
A29/11
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
71-63
71
63
+8
62avg 83
A06/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
104-66
104
66
+38
116avg 83
H15/12
ABA League
Split
#14
W
81-74
81
74
+7
73avg 83
A20/12
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
92-81
92
81
+11
91avg 83
H24/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
78-89
78
89
-11
73avg 83
A05/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
107-92
107
92
+15
112avg 83
A12/01
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
84avg 83
H19/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
8-19
17-19
17-28
24-23
21-15
25-19
21-19
17-23
25-16
19-23
23-24
23-21
11-16
17-16
20-10
30-21
26-11
20-25
28-9
24-22
15-20
20-22
22-10
22-25
18-22
25-14
27-20
26-26
15-20
20-16
17-27
26-24
24-21
28-19
29-28
19-20
25-17
22-32
18-16
164.7Avg total
85.3Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.379.9166.2+6.471%
Season at home (7)88.179.1167.3+9.071%
Season away (10)85.080.4165.4+4.670%
Last 10 (10)85.379.4164.7+5.960%
Last 5 (5)88.484.2172.6+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.082.0143.0-21.00%
vs Similar (5)89.486.8176.2+2.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.276.5163.7+10.682%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
Mega BasketDubai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A16/11
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A02/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H09/12
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A14/12
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H20/12
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A28/12
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H12/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A19/01
ABA League
87.5Avg total
44.4Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.043.685.6-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.941.584.4+1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)41.245.486.6-4.238%-
Last 10 (10)44.443.187.5+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.285.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.344.683.9-5.427%-
vs Similar (6)42.246.588.7-4.333%-
vs Weaker (13)44.241.485.5+2.869%-
This opponent (Dubai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A10/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H17/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A29/11
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A06/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H15/12
ABA League
Split
#14
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A20/12
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H24/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A05/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A12/01
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H19/01
ABA League
81.6Avg total
41.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)45.739.284.9+6.571%-
Last 30 at home (7)47.338.986.1+8.486%-
Last 30 away (10)44.639.484.0+5.260%-
Last 10 (10)41.839.881.6+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.843.486.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.035.062.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (5)49.642.291.8+7.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.638.283.8+7.573%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.8
53.3%
54.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.8
36.0%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.516.4
72.9%
75.6%16.4
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubai: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.4
55.6%
54.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.4
36.0%
35.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.017.1
81.4%
75.6%17.1
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
LLLWWLWWLL
Dubai
LWLWWWWLWL
#9
League position
#4
+0.1
Net rating
+7.1
109.7
Offensive rating
113.2
109.6
Defensive rating
106.0
53.6%
Effective FG%
54.9%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.7%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.0%
3-point %
36.0%
66.4%
Assist %
67.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 113.2Defence109.6 · 106.0Shooting53.6% · 54.9%3-point %36.0% · 36.0%Ball care17.4% · 16.7%Off. rebounds31.5% · 28.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Dubai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mega Basket wins
0
Dubai wins
DateGameScore
05/10/24Dubai v Mega Basket80-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25AFMP Beograd87-89
12/01/25HKK Krka Novo mesto87-94
06/01/25HPartizan90-100 OT
28/12/24AStudentski Centar82-77
20/12/24HCibona88-58
14/12/24ASpartak Subotica86-110
09/12/24HBorac Mozzart98-74
02/12/24AZadar68-65
16/11/24ACedevita Olimpija82-93
10/11/24HCrvena zvezda76-81
Dubailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25HCedevita Olimpija84-85
12/01/25ACrvena zvezda107-92
05/01/25ABuducnost78-89
24/12/24HIgokea92-81
20/12/24ASplit81-74
15/12/24HMornar Bar104-66
06/12/24AZadar71-63
29/11/24AFMP Beograd84-86
17/11/24HKK Krka Novo mesto91-76
10/11/24APartizan61-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL47%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLWLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%50%44%
Points / game81.683.879.7
Allowed / game80.677.483.4
Point differential+1.0+6.4-3.8
Avg total162.2161.1163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Dubai
ABA League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLWWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %71%71%70%
Points / game86.388.185.0
Allowed / game79.979.180.4
Point differential+6.4+9.0+4.6
Avg total166.2167.3165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%43%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan1816289%93.473.1+20.3
2 Buducnost1816289%91.174.2+16.9
3 Crvena zvezda1815383%89.778.3+11.4
4 Dubai1712571%86.379.9+6.4
5 Cedevita Olimpija1811761%84.780.1+4.6
6 Igokea1811761%83.485.4-2.1
7 Zadar1810856%75.973.2+2.7
8 Spartak Subotica1810856%84.782.4+2.3
9 Mega Basket178947%81.680.6+1.0
10 FMP Beograd1881044%79.285.7-6.6
11 Borac Mozzart1871139%76.882.7-5.9
12 Studentski Centar1861233%82.884.9-2.1
13 Split1861233%76.383.7-7.4
14 KK Krka Novo mesto1841422%82.188.2-6.2
15 Cibona1821611%74.188.4-14.3
16 Mornar Bar181176%75.396.0-20.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket1222151766
Dubai2922271795
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