PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

FMP Beograd vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 89-87
20-26 26-27 18-17 25-17
Position#11
Record7-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Position#9
Record8-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game80.1
EuropeABA LeagueRound 17· Belgrade
Domestic2024
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Mega Basket
15 Feb 2026
FBE102
MEG87
21 May 2025
FBE77
MEG73
19 Jan 2025
FBE89
MEG87
16 Oct 2023
FBE73
MEG83
07 Jun 2023
FBE96
MEG70
17 Feb 2023
FBE67
MEG86
03 Oct 2022
FBE90
MEG76
29 Jan 2022
FBE79
MEG86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Zadar
#10
L
67-83
67
83
-16
56avg 78
H17/11
ABA League
Dubai
#4
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 78
H29/11
ABA League
Peristeri
#36
L
66-72
66
72
-6
58avg 78
A03/12
Champions League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
81-76
81
76
+5
73avg 78
A08/12
ABA League
Split
#14
W
98-91 OT
98
91
+7
93avg 78
H13/12
ABA League
Manisa
#25
L
84-103
84
103
-19
80avg 78
A18/12
Champions League
Igokea
#7
L
70-83
70
83
-13
62avg 78
A21/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
88-91
88
91
-3
80avg 78
H28/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
63-97
63
97
-34
58avg 78
A05/01
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
58-91
58
91
-33
48avg 78
A12/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
21-27
13-15
19-24
23-17
16-25
23-19
24-23
21-27
20-15
6-14
19-16
15-13
28-23
21-18
17-22
27-19
25-19
21-21
10-24
10-23
27-28
24-30
23-22
12-21
22-21
13-24
23-17
22-18
18-27
22-12
26-34
15-22
19-20
19-28
10-27
15-20
15-23
14-19
14-29
163.2Avg total
76.1Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.085.2164.2-6.244%
Season at home (8)80.181.6161.8-1.562%
Season away (8)77.988.9166.8-11.025%
Last 10 (10)76.187.1163.2-11.030%
Last 5 (5)72.693.0165.6-20.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)74.785.7160.4-11.021%
vs Similar (6)93.087.2180.2+5.883%
vs Weaker (5)90.277.4167.6+12.8100%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
69-77
69
77
-8
62avg 76
A03/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
72avg 76
H10/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
82-93
82
93
-11
71avg 76
A16/11
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
68-65
68
65
+3
60avg 76
A02/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
98-74
98
74
+24
100avg 76
H09/12
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
86-110
86
110
-24
77avg 76
A14/12
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
88-58
88
58
+30
82avg 76
H20/12
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
78avg 76
A28/12
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
90-100 OT
90
100
-10
94avg 76
H06/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
87-94
87
94
-7
72avg 76
H12/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
19-25
24-16
12-21
23-16
21-22
19-24
13-19
21-24
25-22
20-18
16-29
21-19
19-25
11-12
17-9
26-25
26-13
24-19
22-17
17-28
23-31
28-30
18-21
18-15
22-11
25-18
23-14
17-20
24-24
23-19
18-14
27-20
21-21
15-19
19-22
16-28
24-21
20-26
27-19
165.5Avg total
82.6Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.280.1161.3+1.250%
Season at home (8)83.877.4161.1+6.450%
Season away (8)78.882.8161.5-4.050%
Last 10 (10)82.682.9165.5-0.340%
Last 5 (5)86.687.8174.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.588.8167.3-10.427%
vs Similar (6)84.082.3166.3+1.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.277.2165.4+10.983%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
FMP BeogradMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H17/11
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H29/11
ABA League
Peristeri
#36
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A03/12
Champions League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A08/12
ABA League
Split
#14
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H13/12
ABA League
Manisa
#25
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A18/12
Champions League
Igokea
#7
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A21/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H28/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A05/01
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A12/01
ABA League
81.0Avg total
38.5Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.282.3-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.242.382.5-2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)39.942.182.1-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)38.542.581.0-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)35.044.679.6-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.143.279.2-7.116%-
vs Similar (6)48.539.588.0+9.0100%-
vs Weaker (5)45.242.087.2+3.260%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A03/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A16/11
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A02/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H09/12
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A14/12
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H20/12
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A28/12
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H12/01
ABA League
84.9Avg total
42.4Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.544.085.4-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.542.585.1+0.053%-
Last 30 away (15)40.445.485.8-5.033%-
Last 10 (10)42.442.584.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.885.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.344.683.9-5.427%-
vs Similar (6)42.246.588.7-4.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.441.084.4+2.467%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀28%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.215.9
46.5%
54.0%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.3
32.4%
35.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws27.621.4
77.5%
75.6%21.4
They take 56.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.3
52.0%
54.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.0
33.7%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.616.0
74.1%
75.6%16.0
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LLLLLWWLWL
Mega Basket
LLWWLWWLLL
#11
League position
#9
-15.1
Net rating
-0.7
101.0
Offensive rating
107.6
116.0
Defensive rating
108.2
47.4%
Effective FG%
51.4%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
19.5%
Turnover %
17.3%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.49
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.4%
3-point %
33.7%
65.5%
Assist %
65.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 107.6Defence116.0 · 108.2Shooting47.4% · 51.4%3-point %32.4% · 33.7%Ball care19.5% · 17.3%Off. rebounds30.7% · 31.9%Free throws0.49 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
FMP Beograd wins
6
Mega Basket wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25ACedevita Olimpija58-91
05/01/25ACrvena zvezda63-97
28/12/24HBuducnost88-91
21/12/24AIgokea70-83
18/12/24AManisa84-103
13/12/24HSplit98-91 OT
08/12/24AMornar Bar81-76
03/12/24APeristeri66-72
29/11/24HDubai86-84
17/11/24HZadar67-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HKK Krka Novo mesto87-94
06/01/25HPartizan90-100 OT
28/12/24AStudentski Centar82-77
20/12/24HCibona88-58
14/12/24ASpartak Subotica86-110
09/12/24HBorac Mozzart98-74
02/12/24AZadar68-65
16/11/24ACedevita Olimpija82-93
10/11/24HCrvena zvezda76-81
03/11/24ABuducnost69-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL44%
HomeLLWWL62%
AwayWWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%62%25%
Points / game79.080.177.9
Allowed / game85.281.688.9
Point differential-6.2-1.5-11.0
Avg total164.2161.8166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %12%12%12%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.283.878.8
Allowed / game80.177.482.8
Point differential+1.2+6.4-4.0
Avg total161.3161.1161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost1715288%89.974.0+15.9
2 Partizan1614288%92.873.6+19.2
3 Crvena zvezda1613381%88.179.7+8.4
4 Dubai1712571%86.379.9+6.4
5 Igokea1610662%83.183.6-0.5
6 Cedevita Olimpija1710759%83.080.6+2.4
7 Spartak Subotica169756%83.981.1+2.8
8 Zadar169756%75.472.9+2.5
9 Mega Basket168850%81.280.1+1.2
10 FMP Beograd167944%79.085.2-6.2
11 Split1761135%76.983.0-6.1
12 Borac Mozzart1761135%75.983.3-7.4
13 Studentski Centar1651131%83.285.8-2.5
14 KK Krka Novo mesto1741324%82.087.4-5.4
15 Cibona1621412%74.387.3-13.0
16 Mornar Bar161156%75.994.0-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd2026182589
Mega Basket2627171787
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.