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Zadar vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 65-68
19-21 25-19 12-11 9-17
Position#10
Record4-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#9
Record4-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game78.1
EuropeABA LeagueRound 10· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Domestic2024
Meetings · Zadar v Mega Basket
07 Dec 2026
ZAD v MEG
upcoming
14 Nov 2025
ZAD88
MEG73
02 Dec 2024
ZAD65
MEG68
06 Feb 2024
ZAD74
MEG71
17 Oct 2022
ZAD96
MEG90
04 Apr 2022
ZAD81
MEG85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Cibona
#5
W
78-68
78
68
+10
71avg 78
H24/10
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
77-84
77
84
-7
70avg 78
H26/10
ABA League
Split
#2
W
78-61
78
61
+17
78avg 78
A30/10
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
72avg 78
A02/11
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#11
W
90-79
90
79
+11
88avg 78
H04/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
81-73
81
73
+8
71avg 78
H09/11
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
68-65
68
65
+3
62avg 78
A11/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
90-64
90
64
+26
90avg 78
H15/11
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
W
83-67
83
67
+16
76avg 78
A17/11
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
64-58
64
58
+6
53avg 78
A29/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
19-17
13-25
26-12
31-14
13-27
16-22
17-21
20-17
18-18
18-16
22-10
22-27
16-20
19-10
24-16
18-26
23-20
33-9
16-24
17-7
24-25
19-17
21-24
19-16
23-17
10-11
16-21
34-14
21-11
13-17
22-22
17-14
27-21
15-13
24-19
17-12
11-18
22-19
14-9
148.2Avg total
79.0Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.877.4152.2-2.744%
Season at home (5)72.080.4152.4-8.420%
Season away (4)78.273.8152.0+4.575%
Last 10 (10)79.069.2148.2+9.890%
Last 5 (5)77.265.4142.6+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.783.3151.0-15.70%
vs Similar ◀ (4)74.274.8149.0-0.550%
vs Weaker (23)84.167.0151.1+17.191%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Partizan
#4
L
68-96
68
96
-28
39avg 76
A30/05
Super League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
80-70
80
70
+10
72avg 76
A22/09
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
83-80
83
80
+3
71avg 76
H29/09
ABA League
Dubai
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
78avg 76
A05/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
84-59
84
59
+25
85avg 76
H13/10
ABA League
Split
#14
L
80-90
80
90
-10
76avg 76
A19/10
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
64-73
64
73
-9
53avg 76
H27/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
69-77
69
77
-8
62avg 76
A03/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
72avg 76
H10/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
82-93
82
93
-11
71avg 76
A16/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-39
22-8
16-23
21-26
16-19
23-14
18-16
23-21
17-24
21-21
19-17
26-18
18-24
18-21
24-18
23-17
23-14
21-13
19-21
21-11
20-28
20-20
22-24
18-18
11-15
19-24
19-18
15-16
14-15
19-25
24-16
12-21
23-16
21-22
19-24
13-19
21-24
25-22
20-18
16-29
156.8Avg total
76.9Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.978.1156.0-0.244%
Season at home (4)76.873.2150.0+3.550%
Season away (5)78.882.0160.8-3.240%
Last 10 (10)76.979.9156.8-3.040%
Last 5 (5)74.282.8157.0-8.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.190.1167.2-13.025%
vs Similar ◀ (5)87.280.4167.6+6.860%
vs Weaker (12)88.878.2167.0+10.792%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
ZadarMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#5
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H24/10
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H26/10
ABA League
Split
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A30/10
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A02/11
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H04/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H09/11
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A11/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
55-25
55
25
+30
H15/11
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A17/11
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A29/11
Premijer liga
76.5Avg total
41.0Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.035.976.9+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.735.577.2+6.267%-
Last 30 away (12)39.936.676.5+3.367%-
Last 10 (10)41.035.576.5+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.031.073.0+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.745.079.7-10.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)34.837.572.2-2.850%-
vs Weaker (23)42.934.577.4+8.474%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#4
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A30/05
Super League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A22/09
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H29/09
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A05/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H13/10
ABA League
Split
#14
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A19/10
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H27/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A03/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A16/11
ABA League
78.9Avg total
38.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.844.285.0-3.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.743.785.4-1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)39.944.784.6-4.940%-
Last 10 (10)38.140.878.9-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.280.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.146.684.7-8.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.242.682.8-2.440%-
vs Weaker (12)44.041.485.4+2.675%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.3
52.4%
54.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.5
33.5%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.415.9
67.9%
75.6%15.9
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.3
50.5%
54.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.86.7
27.0%
35.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.717.0
78.3%
75.6%17.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WWWWWWWWLW
Mega Basket
LLLLLWWWWL
#10
League position
#9
+13.1
Net rating
-4.6
108.8
Offensive rating
102.5
95.7
Defensive rating
107.1
51.5%
Effective FG%
46.6%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.1%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.5%
3-point %
27.0%
63.4%
Assist %
62.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 102.5Defence95.7 · 107.1Shooting51.5% · 46.6%3-point %33.5% · 27.0%Ball care17.4% · 16.1%Off. rebounds34.2% · 31.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Zadar   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Zadar wins
3
Mega Basket wins
DateGameScore
06/02/24Zadar v Mega Basket74-71
05/11/23Mega Basket v Zadar91-81
23/01/23Mega Basket v Zadar80-77
17/10/22Zadar v Mega Basket96-90
04/04/22Zadar v Mega Basket81-85
19/12/21Mega Basket v Zadar70-72
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24ADinamo Zagreb64-58
17/11/24AFMP Beograd83-67
15/11/24HGKK Sibenka90-64
11/11/24ACedevita Junior68-65
09/11/24HCedevita Olimpija81-73
04/11/24HDubrovnik90-79
02/11/24AKK Krka Novo mesto81-73
30/10/24ASplit78-61
26/10/24HCrvena zvezda77-84
24/10/24HCibona78-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24ACedevita Olimpija82-93
10/11/24HCrvena zvezda76-81
03/11/24ABuducnost69-77
27/10/24HIgokea64-73
19/10/24ASplit80-90
13/10/24HMornar Bar84-59
05/10/24ADubai83-80
29/09/24HFMP Beograd83-80
22/09/24AKK Krka Novo mesto80-70
30/05/24APartizan68-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW44%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%20%75%
Points / game74.872.078.2
Allowed / game77.480.473.8
Point differential-2.7-8.4+4.5
Avg total152.2152.4152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %11%20%0%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL44%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game77.976.878.8
Allowed / game78.173.282.0
Point differential-0.2+3.5-3.2
Avg total156.0150.0160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan10100100%93.768.5+25.2
2 Buducnost108280%85.470.4+15.0
3 Crvena zvezda108280%87.579.5+8.0
4 Dubai107370%85.080.8+4.2
5 Spartak Subotica106460%84.480.5+3.9
6 Igokea106460%80.880.5+0.3
7 FMP Beograd105550%80.683.5-2.9
8 Mega Basket94544%77.978.1-0.2
9 Zadar94544%74.877.4-2.7
10 Studentski Centar104640%83.983.7+0.2
11 Cedevita Olimpija104640%80.983.4-2.5
12 Split104640%76.582.9-6.4
13 KK Krka Novo mesto103730%82.788.1-5.4
14 Borac Mozzart103730%76.685.0-8.4
15 Cibona102820%77.288.7-11.5
16 Mornar Bar101910%76.994.0-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar192512965
Mega Basket2119111768
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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