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Duke vs Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:49
Final 85-65
46-37 39-28
Position#7
Record34-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game62.5
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Alabama
USA
Position#34
Record28-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game81.2
USANCAANCAA - Quarter-finals
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#344
W
97-60
97
60
+37
A26/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
100-65
100
65
+35
H02/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
93-60
93
60
+33
H04/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A08/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H13/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H14/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H16/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
W
93-49
93
49
+44
H21/03
NCAA
Baylor
#149
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H23/03
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
100-93
100
93
+7
H28/03
NCAA
1H
2H
47-32
50-28
47-30
53-35
40-27
53-33
43-42
39-27
26-31
52-39
45-24
29-47
33-38
40-24
54-28
39-21
47-30
42-36
48-42
52-51
154.4Avg total
87.9Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)83.662.5146.1+21.192%
Season at home (25)84.262.7146.8+21.592%
Season away (12)82.562.2144.7+20.392%
Last 10 (10)87.966.5154.4+21.4100%
Last 5 (5)85.868.2154.0+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)84.363.4147.7+20.997%
This opponent (Alabama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#71
W
96-83
96
83
+13
H22/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
111-73
111
73
+38
H26/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A01/03
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
A08/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
99-70
99
70
+29
H15/03
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
82-104
82
104
-22
A15/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#38
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H21/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H23/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
W
113-88
113
88
+25
H27/03
NCAA
1H
2H
47-40
49-43
53-27
58-46
42-38
34-41
40-41
54-58
45-42
34-37
45-38
54-32
45-47
37-57
40-36
50-45
42-29
38-37
51-40
62-48
176.8Avg total
93.4Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)91.481.2172.6+10.278%
Season at home (21)91.376.5167.8+14.881%
Season away (15)91.587.7179.2+3.973%
Last 10 (10)93.483.4176.8+10.070%
Last 5 (5)92.881.8174.6+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)88.597.0185.5-8.525%
vs Similar (16)91.881.5173.2+10.275%
vs Weaker (10)93.577.9171.4+15.6100%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.6+10.61st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +10.8+10.82nd half: +2.6+2.6
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.6+10.61st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +10.8+10.82nd half: +2.6+2.6
DukeAlabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#344
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A26/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H02/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H04/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H13/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H14/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H16/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H21/03
NCAA
Baylor
#149
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H23/03
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H28/03
NCAA
75.4Avg total
43.0Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.830.571.2+10.387%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.429.269.6+11.284%-
Last 30 away (11)41.432.674.0+8.791%-
Last 10 (10)43.032.475.4+10.680%-
Last 5 (5)45.432.477.8+13.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)40.830.571.2+10.387%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#71
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H22/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H26/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A01/03
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H06/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H15/03
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A15/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#38
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H21/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H23/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H27/03
NCAA
82.8Avg total
45.0Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.636.780.3+6.973%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.234.177.3+9.176%-
Last 30 away (13)44.240.084.2+4.269%-
Last 10 (10)45.037.882.8+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)44.638.082.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)40.843.083.8-2.225%-
vs Similar (16)44.537.381.8+7.288%-
vs Weaker (10)43.333.176.4+10.270%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Duke wins
0
Alabama wins
No previous meetings.
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/25HArizona100-93
23/03/25HBaylor89-66
21/03/25HMount St. Mary's93-49
16/03/25HLouisville73-62
14/03/25HNorth Carolina74-71
13/03/25HGeorgia Tech78-70
08/03/25ANorth Carolina82-69
04/03/25HWake Forest93-60
02/03/25HFlorida State100-65
26/02/25AMiami (FL)97-60
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25HBrigham Young113-88
23/03/25HSt. Marys (CA)80-66
21/03/25HRobert Morris90-81
15/03/25AFlorida82-104
15/03/25HKentucky99-70
08/03/25AAuburn93-91 OT
06/03/25HFlorida94-99
01/03/25ATennessee76-79
26/02/25HMississippi St.111-73
22/02/25HKentucky96-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372512
Win %92%92%92%
Points / game83.684.282.5
Allowed / game62.562.762.2
Point differential+21.1+21.5+20.3
Avg total146.1146.8144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+76%72%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alabama
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeLWWWW81%
AwayWLLWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362115
Win %78%81%73%
Points / game91.491.391.5
Allowed / game81.276.587.7
Point differential+10.2+14.8+3.9
Avg total172.6167.8179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%52%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)33% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %6%5%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3734392%83.662.5+21.1
2 Clemson3427779%76.165.8+10.3
3 Louisville3527877%78.569.5+9.0
4 SMU Mustangs33231070%80.071.1+8.9
5 Wake Forest32211166%70.268.0+2.2
6 North Carolina37231462%80.774.7+6.1
7 Stanford33201361%73.070.6+2.4
8 Pittsburgh32171553%75.970.8+5.0
9 Florida State32171553%74.572.5+2.0
10 Georgia Tech33171652%73.472.4+0.9
11 Virginia32151747%64.866.8-2.0
12 Notre Dame33151845%72.672.5+0.2
13 California33141942%75.676.8-1.2
14 Syracuse33141942%74.777.8-3.1
15 Virginia Tech32131941%69.273.2-4.0
16 NC State31121939%69.570.3-0.8
17 Boston College31121939%70.475.8-5.4
18 Miami (FL)3172423%74.080.6-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida3834489%85.469.7+15.8
2 Auburn3631586%83.669.3+14.3
3 Tennessee3730781%74.762.9+11.8
4 Alabama3628878%91.481.2+10.2
5 Texas A&M34231168%74.668.7+5.9
6 Kentucky36241267%84.477.2+7.2
7 Ole Miss36241267%77.271.7+5.5
8 Missouri34221265%83.673.6+10.0
9 Mississippi St.34211362%79.574.2+5.4
10 Arkansas36221461%76.871.4+5.4
11 Georgia33201361%75.369.9+5.4
12 Vanderbilt33201361%78.974.3+4.6
13 Oklahoma34201459%78.374.6+3.6
14 Texas35191654%78.572.6+5.9
15 LSU32141844%73.873.6+0.2
16 South Carolina32122038%69.871.4-1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke463985
Alabama372865
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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