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Esgueira vs Oliveirense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game92.8
vs
Position#5
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game84.7
PortugalLPBRound 15· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2026-27
Meetings · Esgueira v Oliveirense
30 Jan 2027
ESGU v OLIV
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
ESGU93
OLIV88
15 Mar 2025
ESGU78
OLIV66
17 Dec 2024
ESGU88
OLIV96
27 Jan 2024
ESGU69
OLIV78
30 Sep 2023
ESGU62
OLIV74
17 Dec 2022
ESGU77
OLIV73
03 Apr 2021
ESGU68
OLIV82
01 Nov 2019
ESGU69
OLIV78
08 Mar 2019
ESGU74
OLIV86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oliveirense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Esgueira
6.2out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.3
73.6▼ 5.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 92.7
91.2▼ 1.5
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 53%
50%▼ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.4
13.8▼ 1.6
🔥 Form · Oliveirense
3.8out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.6
80.2▼ 1.4
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 83.8
85.2▲ 1.4
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 54%
53%▼ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.8
18.2▲ 0.4
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#6
W
97-83 OT
97
83
+14
H04/04
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A11/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
65-107
65
107
-42
H18/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A25/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
67-109
67
109
-42
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H14/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
64-84
64
84
-20
H03/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#6
L
60-88
60
88
-28
A10/10
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
91-95
91
95
-4
H16/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
80-104
80
104
-24
A24/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
22-15
19-22
18-20
17-21
15-23
30-29
25-20
25-25
13-31
17-31
10-20
21-27
16-23
26-20
23-15
21-27
20-30
9-25
17-27
18-25
18-23
21-19
16-18
25-16
7-25
20-17
12-26
17-20
8-23
18-23
17-22
27-25
19-24
14-22
31-24
24-23
8-32
20-24
28-25
170.3Avg total
77.0Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.892.8166.5-19.00%
Season at home (2)77.589.5167.0-12.00%
Season away (2)70.096.0166.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)77.093.3170.3-16.320%
Last 5 (5)73.691.2164.8-17.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.390.0168.3-11.728%
vs Similar (8)85.991.0176.9-5.125%
vs Weaker (4)92.095.2187.2-3.250%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#10
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A25/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A09/05
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
A21/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A23/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H28/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A03/10
LPB
Benfica
#3
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A17/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
104-80
104
80
+24
H24/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
12-15
17-22
27-18
18-25
19-21
15-18
27-29
27-23
25-24
19-13
19-12
10-16
17-18
18-18
24-13
17-24
10-29
20-25
29-20
18-17
14-24
16-19
13-26
23-15
23-23
16-25
16-23
34-20
19-19
16-16
22-27
13-21
19-24
18-26
17-21
23-24
32-8
24-20
25-28
162.7Avg total
78.9Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.384.7172.0+2.767%
Season at home (1)104.080.0184.0+24.0100%
Season away (2)79.087.0166.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)78.983.8162.7-4.940%
Last 5 (5)80.285.2165.4-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.688.3165.9-10.822%
vs Similar (9)83.282.7165.9+0.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)89.279.4168.6+9.875%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -10.3-10.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
EsgueiraOliveirense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H04/04
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A11/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H18/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A25/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H14/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H03/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#6
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A10/10
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H16/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A24/10
LPB
83.9Avg total
36.0Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.847.387.1-7.513%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.747.589.2-5.727%-
Last 30 away (15)37.847.184.9-9.30%-
Last 10 (10)36.047.983.9-11.910%-
Last 5 (5)34.247.281.4-13.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.547.786.2-9.211%-
vs Similar (8)41.547.088.5-5.512%-
vs Weaker (4)42.046.288.2-4.225%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#10
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A25/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A09/05
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A21/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A23/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H28/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A03/10
LPB
Benfica
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H24/10
LPB
81.0Avg total
39.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.541.284.7+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.940.989.8+7.986%-
Last 30 away (16)38.941.480.2-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)39.141.981.0-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.082.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.342.181.4-2.844%-
vs Similar (9)43.442.886.2+0.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.839.286.0+7.575%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.616.5
47.7%
50.9%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.29.6
30.8%
31.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.814.1
67.8%
70.6%14.1
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.8
53.6%
50.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.27.5
27.6%
31.4%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.614.2
72.4%
70.6%14.2
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
LLLLLLWLLW
Oliveirense
WLWLLLWWLL
#12
League position
#5
-17.1
Net rating
-1.7
82.5
Offensive rating
86.8
99.6
Defensive rating
88.4
47.0%
Effective FG%
48.6%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
16.7%
Turnover %
18.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.8%
3-point %
27.6%
57.9%
Assist %
59.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence82.5 · 86.8Defence99.6 · 88.4Shooting47.0% · 48.6%3-point %30.8% · 27.6%Ball care16.7% · 18.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Esgueira   ■ Oliveirense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Esgueira wins
7
Oliveirense wins
DateGameScore
24/10/26Oliveirense v Esgueira104-80
21/03/26Esgueira v Oliveirense93-88
15/11/25Oliveirense v Esgueira100-77
15/03/25Esgueira v Oliveirense78-66
17/12/24Esgueira v Oliveirense88-96 OT
16/11/24Oliveirense v Esgueira93-77
27/01/24Esgueira v Oliveirense69-78
20/01/24Oliveirense v Esgueira91-73
30/09/23Esgueira v Oliveirense62-74
17/12/22Esgueira v Oliveirense77-73
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AOliveirense80-104
16/10/26HFC Porto91-95
10/10/26ASporting CP60-88
03/10/26HCD Povoa64-84
14/05/26HSporting CP73-85
10/05/26ASporting CP67-109
25/04/26AFC Porto86-85
18/04/26HBenfica65-107
11/04/26AVitoria87-93
04/04/26HImortal97-83 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HEsgueira104-80
17/10/26ABenfica67-92
03/10/26APortimonense91-82
28/05/26HBenfica78-86
23/05/26ABenfica61-86
21/05/26ABenfica76-98
16/05/26AOvarense69-65
13/05/26HOvarense90-72
09/05/26AOvarense79-93
25/04/26AVitoria74-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.877.570.0
Allowed / game92.889.596.0
Point differential-19.0-12.0-26.0
Avg total166.5167.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oliveirense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game87.3104.079.0
Allowed / game84.780.087.0
Point differential+2.7+24.0-8.0
Avg total172.0184.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto440100%97.888.0+9.8
2 Braga43175%89.877.5+12.2
3 Benfica43175%87.875.8+12.0
4 Ovarense43175%82.873.5+9.2
5 Oliveirense32167%87.384.7+2.7
6 Sporting CP42250%78.576.8+1.8
7 CD Povoa42250%74.272.8+1.5
8 Vitoria42250%75.082.0-7.0
9 CA Queluz31233%84.094.0-10.0
10 CAB Madeira41325%80.583.2-2.8
11 Portimonense4040%77.089.2-12.2
12 Esgueira4040%73.892.8-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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