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Esgueira vs Oliveirense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game97.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#6
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game91.2
PortugalLPBRound 15· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2026-27
Meetings · Esgueira v Oliveirense
30 Jan 2027
ESGU v OLIV
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
ESGU93
OLIV88
15 Mar 2025
ESGU78
OLIV66
17 Dec 2024
ESGU88
OLIV96
27 Jan 2024
ESGU69
OLIV78
30 Sep 2023
ESGU62
OLIV74
17 Dec 2022
ESGU77
OLIV73
03 Apr 2021
ESGU68
OLIV82
01 Nov 2019
ESGU69
OLIV78
08 Mar 2019
ESGU74
OLIV86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oliveirense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
65-107
65
107
-42
50avg 65
H18/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
86-85
86
85
+1
74avg 65
A25/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
67-109
67
109
-42
58avg 65
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
66avg 65
H14/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
L
64-84
64
84
-20
28avg 65
H03/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#8
L
60-88
60
88
-28
38avg 65
A10/10
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
91-95
91
95
-4
80avg 65
H16/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#6
L
80-104
80
104
-24
40avg 65
A24/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#7
L
93-104
93
104
-11
75avg 65
H31/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
78-112
78
112
-34
no box
A07/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
13-31
17-31
10-20
21-27
16-23
26-20
23-15
21-27
20-30
9-25
17-27
18-25
18-23
21-19
16-18
25-16
7-25
20-17
12-26
17-20
8-23
18-23
17-22
27-25
19-24
14-22
31-24
24-23
8-32
20-24
28-25
24-23
29-26
13-34
27-21
20-23
14-25
28-27
16-37
173.0Avg total
75.7Scored
97.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.797.8175.5-20.20%
Season at home (3)82.794.3177.0-11.70%
Season away (3)72.7101.3174.0-28.70%
Last 10 (10)75.797.3173.0-21.610%
Last 5 (5)80.4100.6181.0-20.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)79.091.8170.8-12.825%
vs Similar (6)88.392.8181.2-4.533%
vs Weaker (4)92.095.2187.2-3.250%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
90-72
90
72
+18
89avg 76
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
69-65
69
65
+4
64avg 76
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
68avg 76
A21/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
61-86
61
86
-25
52avg 76
A23/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
75avg 76
H28/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
91-82
91
82
+9
82avg 76
A03/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
67-92
67
92
-25
49avg 76
A17/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
104-80
104
80
+24
105avg 76
H24/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
113-109 OT
113
109
+4
103avg 76
A31/10
LPB
Ovarense
#2
L
87-93
87
93
-6
no box
H07/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
25-24
19-13
19-12
10-16
17-18
18-18
24-13
17-24
10-29
20-25
29-20
18-17
14-24
16-19
13-26
23-15
23-23
16-25
16-23
34-20
19-19
16-16
22-27
13-21
19-24
18-26
17-21
23-24
32-8
24-20
25-28
21-20
24-25
24-25
21-20
26-16
31-34
19-26
11-17
169.9Avg total
83.6Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)92.491.2183.6+1.260%
Season at home (2)95.586.5182.0+9.050%
Season away (3)90.394.3184.7-4.067%
Last 10 (10)83.686.3169.9-2.750%
Last 5 (5)92.491.2183.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.788.3164.0-12.711%
vs Similar (8)83.482.1165.5+1.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)91.081.7172.7+9.377%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -11.0-11.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -11.0-11.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
EsgueiraOliveirense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H18/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A25/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H14/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H03/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#8
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A10/10
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H16/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#6
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A24/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#7
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H31/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A07/11
LPB
87.0Avg total
37.4Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.847.387.1-7.617%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.347.289.5-4.933%-
Last 30 away (15)37.247.584.7-10.30%-
Last 10 (10)37.449.687.0-12.210%-
Last 5 (5)38.048.886.8-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.047.886.8-8.815%-
vs Similar (6)40.846.787.5-5.817%-
vs Weaker (4)42.046.288.2-4.225%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A21/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A23/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H28/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A03/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H24/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A31/10
LPB
Ovarense
#2
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H07/11
LPB
85.0Avg total
42.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.741.585.1+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.941.790.6+7.286%-
Last 30 away (16)39.141.280.3-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.485.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)48.442.290.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.443.382.8-3.944%-
vs Similar (8)43.642.285.9+1.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.639.786.3+6.969%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.716.0
47.5%
51.1%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.8
32.1%
31.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.413.1
67.5%
71.1%13.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.8
54.6%
51.1%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.6
27.8%
31.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.816.2
74.3%
71.1%16.2
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
LLLLLLLLWL
Oliveirense
LWWLWLLLWW
#12
League position
#6
-21.3
Net rating
-0.9
82.8
Offensive rating
89.7
104.1
Defensive rating
90.6
47.8%
Effective FG%
49.4%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
16.8%
Turnover %
17.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.1%
3-point %
27.8%
57.0%
Assist %
60.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence82.8 · 89.7Defence104.1 · 90.6Shooting47.8% · 49.4%3-point %32.1% · 27.8%Ball care16.8% · 17.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Esgueira   ■ Oliveirense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Esgueira wins
7
Oliveirense wins
DateGameScore
24/10/26Oliveirense v Esgueira104-80
21/03/26Esgueira v Oliveirense93-88
15/11/25Oliveirense v Esgueira100-77
15/03/25Esgueira v Oliveirense78-66
17/12/24Esgueira v Oliveirense88-96 OT
16/11/24Oliveirense v Esgueira93-77
27/01/24Esgueira v Oliveirense69-78
20/01/24Oliveirense v Esgueira91-73
30/09/23Esgueira v Oliveirense62-74
17/12/22Esgueira v Oliveirense77-73
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ABenfica78-112
31/10/26HCA Queluz93-104
24/10/26AOliveirense80-104
16/10/26HFC Porto91-95
10/10/26ASporting CP60-88
03/10/26HCD Povoa64-84
14/05/26HSporting CP73-85
10/05/26ASporting CP67-109
25/04/26AFC Porto86-85
18/04/26HBenfica65-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HOvarense87-93
31/10/26ACAB Madeira113-109 OT
24/10/26HEsgueira104-80
17/10/26ABenfica67-92
03/10/26APortimonense91-82
28/05/26HBenfica78-86
23/05/26ABenfica61-86
21/05/26ABenfica76-98
16/05/26AOvarense69-65
13/05/26HOvarense90-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.782.772.7
Allowed / game97.894.3101.3
Point differential-20.2-11.7-28.7
Avg total175.5177.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oliveirense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game92.495.590.3
Allowed / game91.286.594.3
Point differential+1.2+9.0-4.0
Avg total183.6182.0184.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica65183%91.575.5+16.0
2 Ovarense65183%83.776.2+7.5
3 FC Porto65183%91.384.3+7.0
4 Braga64267%88.879.5+9.3
5 CD Povoa64267%76.072.2+3.8
6 Oliveirense53260%92.491.2+1.2
7 CA Queluz53260%89.292.2-3.0
8 Sporting CP63350%81.875.5+6.3
9 Vitoria62433%69.382.3-13.0
10 CAB Madeira61517%86.289.3-3.2
11 Portimonense6060%75.787.8-12.2
12 Esgueira6060%77.797.8-20.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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