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Esgueira vs Portimonense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game97.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
2.8/10
🧊 Cold
Position#11
Record1-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game89.0
PortugalLPBRound 18· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2026-27
Meetings · Esgueira v Portimonense
20 Mar 2027
ESGU v PORT
upcoming
06 Jan 2024
ESGU85
PORT68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Portimonense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
W
86-85
86
85
+1
74avg 64
A25/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
67-109
67
109
-42
58avg 64
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
66avg 64
H14/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
64-84
64
84
-20
28avg 64
H03/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
60-88
60
88
-28
38avg 64
A10/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
80avg 64
H16/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
80-104
80
104
-24
40avg 64
A24/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
93-104
93
104
-11
75avg 64
H31/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
78-112
78
112
-34
no box
A07/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
96-97 OT
96
97
-1
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
16-23
26-20
23-15
21-27
20-30
9-25
17-27
18-25
18-23
21-19
16-18
25-16
7-25
20-17
12-26
17-20
8-23
18-23
17-22
27-25
19-24
14-22
31-24
24-23
8-32
20-24
28-25
24-23
29-26
13-34
27-21
20-23
14-25
28-27
16-37
21-41
25-13
14-15
27-18
175.1Avg total
78.8Scored
96.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.397.7178.0-17.40%
Season at home (3)82.794.3177.0-11.70%
Season away (4)78.5100.2178.8-21.80%
Last 10 (10)78.896.3175.1-17.510%
Last 5 (5)87.6102.4190.0-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)80.192.6172.7-12.525%
vs Similar (6)88.392.8181.2-4.533%
vs Weaker (4)92.095.2187.2-3.250%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortimonense
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
96avg 68
H09/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
71-68 OT
71
68
+3
58avg 68
A16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
81avg 68
A17/05
Proliga
Oliveirense
#4
L
82-91
82
91
-9
44avg 68
H03/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
71-105
71
105
-34
62avg 68
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 68
H17/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
72-74
72
74
-2
68avg 68
A24/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
68avg 68
H31/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
A07/11
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
97-96 OT
97
96
+1
no box
H14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
27-23
20-18
18-23
20-22
17-15
13-14
9-8
19-23
26-21
16-18
22-21
20-34
19-19
16-16
27-22
18-28
21-33
18-17
14-27
20-28
18-18
24-22
21-19
21-24
13-19
20-15
18-16
19-16
19-27
16-14
18-29
15-19
14-19
15-23
30-23
41-21
13-25
15-14
18-27
167.2Avg total
79.8Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.789.0167.7-10.314%
Season at home (4)83.590.0173.5-6.525%
Season away (3)72.387.7160.0-15.30%
Last 10 (10)79.887.4167.2-7.620%
Last 5 (5)79.685.4165.0-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.283.1159.3-6.825%
vs Similar (6)73.874.7148.5-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.177.9160.0+4.258%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -8.0-8.0Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -8.0-8.0Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
EsgueiraPortimonense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A25/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H14/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H03/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A10/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H16/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A24/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H31/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A07/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A14/11
LPB
87.6Avg total
38.2Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.047.687.6-7.617%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.347.289.5-4.933%-
Last 30 away (15)37.748.185.7-10.40%-
Last 10 (10)38.249.487.6-11.210%-
Last 5 (5)42.251.093.2-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.448.287.6-8.915%-
vs Similar (6)40.846.787.5-5.817%-
vs Weaker (4)42.046.288.2-4.225%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H09/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A17/05
Proliga
Oliveirense
#4
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H03/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H17/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A24/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H31/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A07/11
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H14/11
LPB
84.7Avg total
39.6Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.540.577.9-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.440.680.0-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)35.840.476.1-4.625%-
Last 10 (10)39.645.184.7-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.281.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.343.080.3-5.725%-
vs Similar (6)36.538.575.0-2.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.138.977.0-0.842%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.716.0
47.5%
51.1%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.8
32.1%
31.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.413.1
67.5%
71.1%13.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.6
49.9%
51.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.0
28.5%
31.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws22.914.1
61.6%
71.1%14.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
LLLLLLLLLW
Portimonense
WLLLLLLLWL
#12
League position
#11
-21.3
Net rating
-10.0
82.8
Offensive rating
79.5
104.1
Defensive rating
89.5
47.8%
Effective FG%
47.0%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
16.8%
Turnover %
20.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.1%
3-point %
28.5%
57.0%
Assist %
76.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence82.8 · 79.5Defence104.1 · 89.5Shooting47.8% · 47.0%3-point %32.1% · 28.5%Ball care16.8% · 20.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Esgueira   ■ Portimonense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Esgueira wins
2
Portimonense wins
DateGameScore
14/11/26Portimonense v Esgueira97-96 OT
06/01/24Esgueira v Portimonense85-68
23/09/23Portimonense v Esgueira85-78
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26APortimonense96-97 OT
07/11/26ABenfica78-112
31/10/26HCA Queluz93-104
24/10/26AOliveirense80-104
16/10/26HFC Porto91-95
10/10/26ASporting CP60-88
03/10/26HCD Povoa64-84
14/05/26HSporting CP73-85
10/05/26ASporting CP67-109
25/04/26AFC Porto86-85
Portimonenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HEsgueira97-96 OT
07/11/26ACD Povoa74-84
31/10/26HBenfica72-86
24/10/26AVitoria72-74
17/10/26HCA Queluz83-87
11/10/26ABraga71-105
03/10/26HOliveirense82-91
17/05/26ACD Povoa86-90 OT
16/05/26ACD Povoa71-68 OT
09/05/26HCD Povoa90-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game80.382.778.5
Allowed / game97.794.3100.2
Point differential-17.4-11.7-21.8
Avg total178.0177.0178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Portimonense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game78.783.572.3
Allowed / game89.090.087.7
Point differential-10.3-6.5-15.3
Avg total167.7173.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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