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Real Madrid vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 May 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 109-92
30-18 25-20 29-23 25-31
Position#1
Record24-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#16
Record10-20
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game87.2
SpainACBRound 31
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Real Madrid v Estudiantes
25 Oct 2020
MAD93
EST77
09 May 2019
MAD109
EST92
15 Feb 2019
MAD94
EST63
31 Dec 2017
MAD96
EST89
30 Apr 2017
MAD79
EST72
07 Feb 2016
MAD97
EST79
29 Mar 2015
MAD92
EST66
24 Nov 2013
MAD72
EST57
05 May 2013
MAD93
EST82
22 Apr 2012
MAD85
EST80
22 Jan 2011
MAD82
EST61
03 Apr 2010
MAD101
EST77
06 Dec 2008
MAD98
EST81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#7
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A31/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
86-93
86
93
-7
H04/04
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A07/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
94-70
94
70
+24
H14/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H17/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H19/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
A23/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#18
W
94-89
94
89
+5
H27/04
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A02/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
102-84
102
84
+18
A04/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
27-18
26-19
16-23
27-25
10-21
23-20
26-27
14-18
13-17
24-14
26-22
20-22
25-21
26-13
23-14
21-17
22-18
15-17
17-20
21-8
14-18
26-15
17-22
23-18
13-23
22-17
31-24
24-24
15-22
33-16
22-27
19-18
20-19
24-19
19-24
25-16
25-25
29-21
23-22
165.4Avg total
86.8Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)88.578.8167.2+9.780%
Season at home (15)90.677.7168.3+12.987%
Season away (15)86.379.9166.2+6.573%
Last 10 (10)86.878.6165.4+8.290%
Last 5 (5)89.079.6168.6+9.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)85.882.0167.8+3.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.379.2166.5+8.179%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#18
W
95-62
95
62
+33
H14/04
ACB
Hispano Americano
#15
W
104-84
104
84
+20
H18/04
Liga A
San Pablo Burgos
#12
L
82-102
82
102
-20
A21/04
ACB
Olimpico
#12
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
H25/04
Liga A
Gran Canaria
#11
L
86-96
86
96
-10
H27/04
ACB
Atenas
#19
W
94-92
94
92
+2
A01/05
Liga A
Unicaja
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H01/05
ACB
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A02/05
Liga A
Argentino
#17
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A04/05
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#18
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A05/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
24-18
25-17
23-16
26-11
19-17
31-26
28-30
17-26
21-28
19-24
25-24
18-24
22-17
16-19
17-13
25-21
20-22
24-34
17-19
20-27
26-28
21-23
27-14
21-21
19-21
18-19
14-19
11-27
28-17
21-18
12-26
16-14
13-22
18-22
19-21
12-13
15-24
20-22
22-20
166.9Avg total
82.3Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)82.687.2169.8-4.633%
Season at home (16)82.984.8167.7-1.850%
Season away (14)82.290.0172.2-7.814%
Last 10 (10)82.384.6166.9-2.330%
Last 5 (5)74.683.6158.2-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)75.387.5162.8-12.217%
vs Similar (21)85.883.3169.0+2.557%
vs Weaker (3)82.779.7162.3+3.033%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +7.7+7.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
Real MadridEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A31/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H04/04
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A07/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H14/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H17/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H19/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A23/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#18
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H27/04
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A02/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A04/05
ACB
79.0Avg total
40.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.839.482.3+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.840.383.1+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)42.938.481.4+4.564%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.079.0+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.278.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)42.240.682.8+1.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.739.482.1+3.262%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#18
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H14/04
ACB
Hispano Americano
#15
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H18/04
Liga A
San Pablo Burgos
#12
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A21/04
ACB
Olimpico
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H25/04
Liga A
Gran Canaria
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H27/04
ACB
Atenas
#19
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A01/05
Liga A
Unicaja
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H01/05
ACB
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A02/05
Liga A
Argentino
#17
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A04/05
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#18
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A05/05
Liga A
80.5Avg total
39.6Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.681.8+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.737.582.2+7.373%-
Last 30 away (15)37.743.781.5-6.027%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.980.5-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.242.879.0-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.839.778.5-0.850%-
vs Similar (21)42.140.682.8+1.552%-
vs Weaker (3)39.742.382.0-2.733%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.8
57.7%
52.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.0
35.8%
36.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.116.4
74.2%
74.6%16.4
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.5
50.4%
52.5%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.9
38.1%
36.6%32.7
🏀 Free throws19.914.7
73.9%
74.6%14.7
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWLW
Estudiantes
LLLLWLLLWW
#1
League position
#16
+11.2
Net rating
-10.1
114.6
Offensive rating
109.4
103.4
Defensive rating
119.5
55.9%
Effective FG%
53.5%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
15.9%
Turnover %
17.1%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.8%
3-point %
38.1%
61.7%
Assist %
58.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 109.4Defence103.4 · 119.5Shooting55.9% · 53.5%3-point %35.8% · 38.1%Ball care15.9% · 17.1%Off. rebounds28.0% · 27.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Real Madrid wins
2
Estudiantes wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/19ASan Pablo Burgos102-84
02/05/19AMurcia82-80
27/04/19HBreogan94-89
23/04/19APanathinaikos89-82
19/04/19HPanathinaikos78-63
17/04/19HPanathinaikos75-72
14/04/19HObradoiro CAB94-70
07/04/19AGran Canaria77-71
04/04/19HZalgiris Kaunas86-93
31/03/19ATenerife91-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/19AWeber Bahia69-79
04/05/19AArgentino66-79
02/05/19AInstituto de Cordoba72-88
01/05/19HUnicaja72-80
01/05/19AAtenas94-92
27/04/19HGran Canaria86-96
25/04/19HOlimpico83-84 OT
21/04/19ASan Pablo Burgos82-102
18/04/19HHispano Americano104-84
14/04/19HBreogan95-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWLWW87%
AwayWWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %80%87%73%
Points / game88.590.686.3
Allowed / game78.877.779.9
Point differential+9.7+12.9+6.5
Avg total167.2168.3166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%53%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Estudiantes
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %33%50%14%
Points / game82.682.982.2
Allowed / game87.284.890.0
Point differential-4.6-1.8-7.8
Avg total169.8167.7172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%19%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)71% (7)0% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona3024680%87.476.6+10.8
2 Real Madrid3024680%88.578.8+9.7
3 Baskonia3023777%86.274.0+12.2
4 Valencia30201067%81.978.5+3.4
5 Unicaja31191261%84.082.1+1.9
6 Tecnyconta Zaragoza31171455%83.585.6-2.1
7 Joventut Badalona30161453%80.580.1+0.4
8 Manresa30161453%81.282.4-1.1
9 Tenerife30151550%80.978.9+2.0
10 MoraBanc Andorra30141647%83.482.8+0.6
11 San Pablo Burgos31131842%82.584.0-1.5
12 Gran Canaria31121939%83.185.0-1.9
13 Obradoiro CAB31112035%78.282.8-4.6
14 Fuenlabrada31112035%82.489.7-7.4
15 Estudiantes30102033%82.687.2-4.6
16 Gipuzkoa30102033%75.581.7-6.2
17 Murcia3092130%77.882.1-4.3
18 Breogan3092130%76.783.5-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid30252925109
Estudiantes1820233192
← all games of the day
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