Estudiantes vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 May 2012

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 80-86

22-23 27-19 19-19 12-25

Position#17

Record11-22

FormWLWLW

Points / game70.1

Allowed / game75.4

Estudiantes

Murcia 🏆

Position#13

Record12-21

FormWLLLW

Points / game71.2

Allowed / game73.6

ACBRound 34

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Estudiantes v Murcia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Murcia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bilbao

69-71

-2

H17/03

ACB

Baskonia

74-89

-15

A25/03

ACB

Real Betis

64-77

-13

H01/04

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#16

72-76

-4

H03/04

ACB

Gran Canaria

#15

61-52

H15/04

ACB

Alicante

83-65

+18

A19/04

ACB

Real Madrid

80-85

-5

A22/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

79-62

+17

H25/04

ACB

Manresa

#12

75-78

-3

A29/04

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#18

79-68

+11

A03/05

ACB

26-18

7-17

19-20

17-16

17-22

28-22

12-15

17-30

11-23

19-13

9-30

25-11

19-18

20-14

22-24

11-20

15-14

8-12

20-9

18-17

23-12

22-16

21-13

17-24

24-9

15-23

20-26

21-27

23-25

24-12

20-7

12-18

14-20

20-12

23-25

18-21

20-18

20-10

22-15

17-25

145.9Avg total

73.6Scored

72.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	70.1	75.4	145.5	-5.2	33%
Season at home (16)	68.6	70.6	139.2	-2.0	50%
Season away (17)	71.5	79.8	151.4	-8.3	18%
Last 10 (10)	73.6	72.3	145.9	+1.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	71.6	150.8	+7.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	69.8	80.7	150.4	-10.9	17%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	70.8	70.3	141.1	+0.6	44%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Murcia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obradoiro CAB

#14

62-69

-7

A11/03

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#18

85-56

+29

H18/03

ACB

Valencia

80-87

-7

A24/03

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#10

76-62

+14

H01/04

ACB

Gipuzkoa

71-67

A08/04

ACB

Unicaja

86-77

H15/04

ACB

Baskonia

65-71

-6

A21/04

ACB

Alicante

78-82

-4

H26/04

ACB

Real Madrid

79-80

-1

A29/04

ACB

Manresa

#12

78-60

+18

H02/05

ACB

7-17

14-15

17-22

24-15

18-14

22-12

26-10

19-20

16-23

30-19

17-28

17-17

21-15

10-16

24-4

21-27

20-14

19-20

17-19

15-14

11-27

25-13

20-18

30-19

19-29

16-10

19-23

11-9

25-25

22-18

12-16

19-23

15-20

21-20

18-22

25-18

20-15

16-20

27-11

15-14

147.1Avg total

76.0Scored

71.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	71.2	73.6	144.9	-2.4	36%
Season at home (17)	74.1	70.8	144.9	+3.2	59%
Season away (16)	68.2	76.6	144.9	-8.4	12%
Last 10 (10)	76.0	71.1	147.1	+4.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	74.0	151.2	+3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	69.6	82.9	152.4	-13.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	72.9	72.9	145.7	+0.0	48%
vs Weaker (2)	80.5	60.5	141.0	+20.0	100%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesMurcia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	19.6	36.9	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.8	19.7	35.5	-3.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	19.5	38.4	-0.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.9	37.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	16.8	37.6	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.5	21.8	38.2	-5.2	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.9	18.2	36.1	-0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.1	36.8	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	18.6	38.1	+1.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.7	19.6	35.4	-3.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	19.9	37.1	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	23.2	41.2	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.9	20.0	37.9	-2.1	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	17.6	19.3	36.9	-1.8	48%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	13.0	32.5	+6.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	17.5	34.8	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.6	15.6	32.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.3	37.5	-1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	15.1	33.4	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	14.6	34.8	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.9	19.7	36.6	-2.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.7	16.0	33.7	+1.7	61%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	18.5	35.8	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.7	16.9	34.6	+0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	20.4	37.2	-3.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	16.3	35.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.2	36.2	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.3	17.6	34.9	-0.3	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	17.2	19.1	36.3	-1.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	16.0	34.0	+2.0	50%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bilbao

33-35

-2

H17/03

ACB

Baskonia

45-44

A25/03

ACB

Real Betis

30-36

-6

H01/04

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#16

39-32

H03/04

ACB

Gran Canaria

#15

23-26

-3

H15/04

ACB

Alicante

45-28

+17

A19/04

ACB

Real Madrid

39-32

A22/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

47-37

+10

H25/04

ACB

Manresa

#12

34-32

A29/04

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#18

40-28

+12

A03/05

ACB

70.5Avg total

37.5Scored

33.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.7	37.1	71.8	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	32.4	35.3	67.7	-2.9	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	38.9	75.9	-1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	33.0	70.5	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	31.4	72.4	+9.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	33.4	41.4	74.8	-8.0	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	35.6	34.2	69.7	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obradoiro CAB

#14

21-32

-11

A11/03

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#18

40-26

+14

H18/03

ACB

Valencia

46-42

A24/03

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#10

31-31

H01/04

ACB

Gipuzkoa

39-34

A08/04

ACB

Unicaja

36-40

-4

H15/04

ACB

Baskonia

35-39

-4

A21/04

ACB

Alicante

47-43

H26/04

ACB

Real Madrid

36-40

-4

A29/04

ACB

Manresa

#12

36-35

H02/05

ACB

72.9Avg total

36.7Scored

36.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.1	37.6	72.7	-2.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.2	35.5	72.8	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.6	40.0	72.6	-7.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	36.2	72.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	39.4	77.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.1	37.6	72.7	-2.4	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	34.8	38.4	73.2	-3.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.5	29.0	66.5	+8.5	100%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	17.6	34.9	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.4	16.4	33.8	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	18.8	35.9	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.2	38.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.3	19.8	37.1	-2.4	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.2	16.2	33.4	+1.1	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	18.1	35.9	-0.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	15.9	34.5	+2.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	20.6	37.6	-3.7	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.3	37.0	+2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.0	25.4	41.4	-9.4	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	17.9	16.2	34.1	+1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	12.5	35.5	+10.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.5	37.6	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	18.6	36.5	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	20.5	38.7	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	20.9	38.2	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	23.0	40.0	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.4	19.6	37.0	-2.1	39%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.1	37.5	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	17.1	37.1	+2.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.6	36.6	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.7	17.7	34.4	-1.0	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	20.1	18.2	38.3	+2.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.3	37.1	72.5	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.3	35.0	70.3	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	39.3	74.6	-3.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	39.3	75.4	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	40.2	78.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	36.3	39.2	75.6	-2.9	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	34.7	35.7	70.4	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	36.3	73.4	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.3	34.9	72.2	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.9	37.8	74.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	34.9	74.2	+4.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	34.6	73.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	32.7	43.1	75.9	-10.4	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	38.0	34.4	72.5	+3.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	43.0	31.5	74.5	+11.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Murcia wins

Date	Game	Score
28/12/11	Murcia v Estudiantes	88-75
24/04/10	Estudiantes v Murcia	75-64
29/11/09	Murcia v Estudiantes	83-89
25/01/09	Murcia v Estudiantes	78-99
11/10/08	Estudiantes v Murcia	93-66

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/05/12	A	Baloncesto Valladolid	79-68
29/04/12	A	Manresa	75-78
25/04/12	H	Obradoiro CAB	79-62
22/04/12	A	Real Madrid	80-85
19/04/12	A	Alicante	83-65
15/04/12	H	Gran Canaria	61-52
03/04/12	H	Fuenlabrada	72-76
01/04/12	H	Real Betis	64-77
25/03/12	A	Baskonia	74-89
17/03/12	H	Bilbao	69-71

Murcialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/05/12	H	Manresa	78-60
29/04/12	A	Real Madrid	79-80
26/04/12	H	Alicante	78-82
21/04/12	A	Baskonia	65-71
15/04/12	H	Unicaja	86-77
08/04/12	A	Gipuzkoa	71-67
01/04/12	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	76-62
24/03/12	A	Valencia	80-87
18/03/12	H	Baloncesto Valladolid	85-56
11/03/12	A	Obradoiro CAB	62-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

ACB 2011-12

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	33%
Home	LLLWW	50%
Away	LWLLW	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	16	17
Win %	33%	50%	18%
Points / game	70.1	68.6	71.5
Allowed / game	75.4	70.6	79.8
Point differential	-5.2	-2.0	-8.3
Avg total	145.5	139.2	151.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	6%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	36% (11)	67% (6)	0% (5)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

Murcia

ACB 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	36%
Home	WWWLW	59%
Away	LLWLL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	17	16
Win %	36%	59%	12%
Points / game	71.2	74.1	68.2
Allowed / game	73.6	70.8	76.6
Point differential	-2.4	+3.2	-8.4
Avg total	144.9	144.9	144.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	35%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	25% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Barcelona	34	29	5	85%	77.6	65.6	+12.0
2	Real Madrid	34	26	8	76%	83.2	73.9	+9.3
3	Baskonia	33	22	11	67%	74.1	70.1	+4.0
4	Valencia	33	19	14	58%	74.4	71.0	+3.4
5	Bilbao	33	19	14	58%	77.9	76.2	+1.7
6	Real Betis	33	18	15	55%	74.5	72.3	+2.2
7	Gipuzkoa	33	18	15	55%	77.9	75.8	+2.2
8	Alicante	33	17	16	52%	69.3	72.2	-3.0
9	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	33	16	17	48%	70.3	71.7	-1.4
10	Unicaja	33	16	17	48%	73.8	75.6	-1.9
11	Joventut Badalona	34	16	18	47%	73.3	75.4	-2.0
12	Manresa	34	15	19	44%	73.4	75.3	-1.8
13	Gran Canaria	33	13	20	39%	66.4	69.8	-3.4
14	Murcia	33	12	21	36%	71.2	73.6	-2.4
15	Obradoiro CAB	33	12	21	36%	70.2	72.6	-2.5
16	Fuenlabrada	33	12	21	36%	71.4	76.3	-4.8
17	Estudiantes	33	11	22	33%	70.1	75.4	-5.2
18	Baloncesto Valladolid	33	8	25	24%	69.4	76.2	-6.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	22	27	19	12	80
Murcia	23	19	19	25	86

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Murcia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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