Murcia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Dec 2016

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 100-91

17-26 25-21 33-27 25-17

Position#9

Record4-9

FormLLLWL

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game82.2

Murcia 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#11

Record4-9

FormWLLLL

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game82.2

ACBRound 15

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Murcia v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murcia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

83-99

-16

H12/11

ACB

Buducnost

#19

86-75

+11

A16/11

Eurocup

Real Betis

#16

103-77

103

+26

A20/11

ACB

Bayern

79-90

-11

H23/11

Eurocup

Obradoiro CAB

#14

74-76

-2

H27/11

ACB

Zenit Petersburg

77-90

-13

H30/11

Eurocup

Unicaja

86-89 OT

-3

A07/12

Eurocup

Tenerife

80-94

-14

A11/12

ACB

Bilbao

#10

97-71

+26

H17/12

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#12

83-86

-3

A28/12

ACB

20-21

14-20

22-34

27-24

15-21

20-20

23-20

28-14

28-20

24-3

27-31

24-23

28-23

19-20

16-23

16-24

15-20

17-16

27-17

15-23

10-22

22-25

25-21

20-22

24-32

19-11

15-19

15-11

18-21

14-24

20-21

28-28

31-20

18-17

31-27

17-7

29-21

19-24

21-21

14-20

169.5Avg total

84.8Scored

84.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	79.9	82.2	162.1	-2.2	31%
Season at home (6)	77.2	74.7	151.8	+2.5	50%
Season away (7)	82.3	88.6	170.9	-6.3	14%
Last 10 (10)	84.8	84.7	169.5	+0.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	86.0	170.6	-1.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	81.4	87.8	169.2	-6.4	27%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	77.7	76.0	153.7	+1.7	67%
vs Weaker (9)	84.0	76.9	160.9	+7.1	67%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gran Canaria

78-86

-8

H26/11

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

87-85

H04/12

ACB

Regatas

94-81

+13

H08/12

Liga A

Baskonia

77-82

-5

A11/12

ACB

Quimsa

#12

100-77

100

+23

H13/12

Liga A

Penarol

#15

101-93

101

A17/12

Liga A

Unicaja

76-87

-11

H18/12

ACB

Quilmes

#14

64-83

-19

A19/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

78-83

-5

A20/12

Liga A

Manresa

#17

75-77

-2

A27/12

ACB

22-18

20-23

16-26

20-19

27-19

22-16

25-18

13-32

25-16

18-24

21-28

30-13

13-24

22-19

23-12

19-27

20-11

20-27

25-23

35-16

31-10

28-21

19-35

23-27

21-16

12-18

20-26

23-27

14-20

16-16

13-27

21-20

22-10

15-12

23-33

18-28

18-15

19-21

17-26

21-15

166.4Avg total

83.0Scored

83.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	79.3	82.2	161.5	-2.9	31%
Season at home (7)	82.9	84.9	167.7	-2.0	43%
Season away (6)	75.2	79.2	154.3	-4.0	17%
Last 10 (10)	83.0	83.4	166.4	-0.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	84.6	163.4	-5.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	78.5	87.3	165.8	-8.8	0%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	85.3	77.5	162.9	+7.8	73%
vs Weaker (9)	82.0	76.7	158.7	+5.3	67%

This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MurciaEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	22.6	42.2	-2.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	22.1	43.9	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	23.2	45.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.6	22.7	42.3	-3.1	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.7	18.7	39.3	+2.0	44%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	17.0	38.0	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	17.6	40.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	16.5	35.5	+2.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	15.9	37.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	14.2	35.4	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.5	20.7	39.2	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.3	15.5	36.9	+5.8	87%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.9	17.1	39.0	+4.8	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	19.2	37.5	-0.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.1	20.7	38.9	-2.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.5	16.3	36.8	+4.2	83%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.4	16.4	35.9	+3.0	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.1	37.1	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.1	36.8	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	20.1	37.4	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.7	38.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.6	35.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.3	20.3	37.7	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (9)	16.9	17.4	34.3	-0.6	33%	-

MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

34-41

-7

H12/11

ACB

Buducnost

#19

35-41

-6

A16/11

Eurocup

Real Betis

#16

52-23

+29

A20/11

ACB

Bayern

47-43

H23/11

Eurocup

Obradoiro CAB

#14

32-36

-4

H27/11

ACB

Zenit Petersburg

32-47

-15

H30/11

Eurocup

Unicaja

43-43

A07/12

Eurocup

Tenerife

32-45

-13

A11/12

ACB

Bilbao

#10

49-37

+12

H17/12

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#12

48-45

A28/12

ACB

80.5Avg total

40.4Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	39.6	78.5	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	38.4	77.0	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.3	40.6	79.9	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	40.1	80.5	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	43.4	84.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	37.7	43.5	81.2	-5.7	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	40.3	36.5	76.8	+3.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	40.1	35.1	75.2	+5.0	67%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gran Canaria

42-41

H26/11

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

49-35

+14

H04/12

ACB

Regatas

43-40

H08/12

Liga A

Baskonia

35-43

-8

A11/12

ACB

Quimsa

#12

40-38

H13/12

Liga A

Penarol

#15

59-31

+28

A17/12

Liga A

Unicaja

33-34

-1

H18/12

ACB

Quilmes

#14

30-36

-6

A19/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

37-22

+15

A20/12

Liga A

Manresa

#17

37-36

A27/12

ACB

76.1Avg total

40.5Scored

35.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	36.1	75.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	35.7	77.2	+5.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.4	36.5	72.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	35.6	76.1	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	31.8	71.0	+7.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.8	41.0	76.8	-5.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	40.3	35.1	75.4	+5.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (9)	38.8	34.6	73.3	+4.2	78%	-

This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.7	42.3	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	20.6	43.4	+2.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	22.7	41.4	-4.0	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	23.4	46.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.8	44.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.8	23.7	42.5	-4.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.6	21.2	43.8	+1.3	44%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.6	42.8	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.2	21.7	44.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	21.4	40.7	-2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	25.4	45.6	-5.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	29.4	47.8	-11.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.5	23.5	45.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.9	22.6	42.4	-2.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.1	41.1	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	18.9	37.9	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.8	21.1	43.9	+1.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.6	36.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	21.9	21.5	43.3	+0.4	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.5	15.8	34.3	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.3	20.6	41.9	+0.8	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	21.6	44.3	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	20.9	43.5	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	22.2	45.1	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.4	44.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	23.4	44.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.2	22.8	44.0	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	23.0	22.3	45.3	+0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.3	19.6	42.9	+3.8	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	41.8	83.4	-0.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	39.4	81.4	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.4	43.8	85.2	-2.4	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	43.0	86.1	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	39.4	80.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	42.1	42.7	84.7	-0.6	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	37.3	39.5	76.8	-2.2	17%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.9	41.8	85.7	+2.1	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	43.1	87.1	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.8	42.7	88.5	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.2	43.6	85.8	-1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	47.8	90.3	-5.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	52.8	92.4	-13.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	42.7	46.3	89.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	45.0	42.5	87.5	+2.5	60%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.2	42.1	85.3	+1.1	56%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Murcia wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
10/05/16	Estudiantes v Murcia	67-82
17/01/16	Murcia v Estudiantes	83-70
08/02/15	Estudiantes v Murcia	90-79
09/11/14	Murcia v Estudiantes	79-65
23/03/14	Murcia v Estudiantes	85-84
02/11/13	Estudiantes v Murcia	69-77
28/04/13	Estudiantes v Murcia	94-85
30/12/12	Murcia v Estudiantes	68-91
06/05/12	Estudiantes v Murcia	80-86
28/12/11	Murcia v Estudiantes	88-75

Murcialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/12/16	A	Fuenlabrada	83-86
17/12/16	H	Bilbao	97-71
11/12/16	A	Tenerife	80-94
07/12/16	A	Unicaja	86-89 OT
30/11/16	H	Zenit Petersburg	77-90
27/11/16	H	Obradoiro CAB	74-76
23/11/16	H	Bayern	79-90
20/11/16	A	Real Betis	103-77
16/11/16	A	Buducnost	86-75
12/11/16	H	Barcelona	83-99

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/12/16	A	Manresa	75-77
20/12/16	A	Weber Bahia	78-83
19/12/16	A	Quilmes	64-83
18/12/16	H	Unicaja	76-87
17/12/16	A	Penarol	101-93
13/12/16	H	Quimsa	100-77
11/12/16	A	Baskonia	77-82
08/12/16	H	Regatas	94-81
04/12/16	H	MoraBanc Andorra	87-85
26/11/16	H	Gran Canaria	78-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia

ACB 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	31%
Home	WLLLW	50%
Away	LLWLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	31%	50%	14%
Points / game	79.9	77.2	82.3
Allowed / game	82.2	74.7	88.6
Point differential	-2.2	+2.5	-6.3
Avg total	162.1	151.8	170.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	33%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Estudiantes

ACB 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	31%
Home	LWLWL	43%
Away	WLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	31%	43%	17%
Points / game	79.3	82.9	75.2
Allowed / game	82.2	84.9	79.2
Point differential	-2.9	-2.0	-4.0
Avg total	161.5	167.7	154.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	29%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	100% (1)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	13	11	2	85%	90.7	75.9	+14.8
2	Barcelona	13	10	3	77%	83.7	78.8	+4.9
3	Valencia	14	10	4	71%	83.3	73.6	+9.6
4	Tenerife	13	9	4	69%	78.4	72.5	+5.9
5	Baskonia	13	8	5	62%	85.5	79.6	+5.8
6	Unicaja	13	8	5	62%	85.2	80.9	+4.3
7	MoraBanc Andorra	13	8	5	62%	84.3	85.0	-0.7
8	Gran Canaria	14	8	6	57%	84.0	76.7	+7.3
9	Bilbao	14	7	7	50%	79.2	81.1	-1.9
10	Fuenlabrada	14	6	8	43%	75.9	82.6	-6.6
11	Real Betis	14	6	8	43%	75.8	83.9	-8.1
12	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	13	5	8	38%	78.6	80.2	-1.6
13	Murcia	13	4	9	31%	79.9	82.2	-2.2
14	Estudiantes	13	4	9	31%	79.3	82.2	-2.9
15	Obradoiro CAB	13	4	9	31%	74.8	81.4	-6.6
16	Joventut Badalona	14	4	10	29%	76.4	82.3	-5.9
17	Manresa	14	2	12	14%	70.9	85.4	-14.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Murcia	17	25	33	25	100
Estudiantes	26	21	27	17	91

← all games of the day

Murcia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature