Estudiantes vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 May 2016

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 67-82

22-17 7-22 19-19 19-24

Position#17

Record8-23

FormLWLLL

Points / game75.8

Allowed / game82.6

Estudiantes

Murcia 🏆

Position#7

Record15-16

FormWLLWW

Points / game79.0

Allowed / game79.3

ACBRound 32

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Estudiantes v Murcia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Murcia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

77-81 OT

-4

H13/04

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

89-84

H15/04

Liga A

Obradoiro CAB

#15

71-70

H17/04

ACB

Argentino

#16

59-85

-26

A18/04

Liga A

Lanus

#13

62-90

-28

A20/04

Liga A

Real Betis

#11

59-82

-23

A24/04

ACB

Atenas

#14

91-84

H30/04

Liga A

Fuenlabrada

74-80

-6

H01/05

ACB

Libertad

83-86

-3

H02/05

Liga A

Gran Canaria

80-82

-2

A08/05

ACB

12-13

22-9

16-24

21-25

21-20

26-9

23-24

19-31

15-16

15-17

19-20

22-17

8-32

12-27

28-16

11-10

16-29

23-22

13-18

10-21

15-21

10-24

21-21

13-16

23-19

21-22

18-23

29-20

20-19

22-16

13-16

19-29

14-19

20-18

26-21

23-28

11-24

15-15

27-18

27-25

156.9Avg total

74.5Scored

82.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	75.8	82.6	158.4	-6.8	26%
Season at home (15)	80.9	81.9	162.8	-0.9	33%
Season away (16)	71.0	83.2	154.2	-12.2	19%
Last 10 (10)	74.5	82.4	156.9	-7.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	82.8	160.2	-5.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	76.4	80.8	157.2	-4.4	38%
vs Similar (14)	74.7	74.9	149.6	-0.1	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Murcia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

#18

78-64

+14

H06/03

ACB

Gran Canaria

75-87

-12

A13/03

ACB

Barcelona

71-77

-6

A20/03

ACB

Real Betis

#11

80-76

H27/03

ACB

Real Madrid

99-104 OT

104

-5

H03/04

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

91-86

A10/04

ACB

Manresa

#16

73-75

-2

H17/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#15

69-88

-19

A23/04

ACB

Valencia

80-62

+18

H01/05

ACB

Tenerife

#10

88-83

H07/05

ACB

22-16

22-15

23-16

11-17

24-15

14-32

21-16

16-24

16-11

26-22

15-26

14-18

18-13

16-16

14-20

32-27

26-26

16-26

24-28

27-13

18-20

23-21

27-18

23-27

17-18

16-23

21-16

19-18

13-26

17-14

14-29

25-19

17-23

19-22

23-9

21-8

27-16

22-26

21-17

18-24

160.6Avg total

80.4Scored

80.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	79.0	79.3	158.2	-0.3	48%
Season at home (16)	82.5	76.1	158.6	+6.4	69%
Season away (15)	75.2	82.7	157.9	-7.5	27%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	80.2	160.6	+0.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	78.8	159.0	+1.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	74.1	80.9	155.0	-6.8	25%
vs Similar (14)	83.1	81.6	164.7	+1.6	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	79.1	76.0	155.1	+3.1	62%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesMurcia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	19.5	37.2	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	20.6	37.8	-3.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.5	21.2	36.7	-5.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.4	37.0	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.1	19.8	36.9	-2.7	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.4	19.1	37.5	-0.6	64%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	17.4	38.7	+3.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	19.7	37.7	-1.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+0.9	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	18.5	16.1	34.6	+2.4	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.2	36.7	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	17.2	38.1	+3.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.4	19.0	35.4	-2.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	17.9	36.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.0	36.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.9	18.1	35.9	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.3	18.3	37.6	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	21.5	40.9	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	21.3	40.2	-2.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.7	40.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.6	22.6	41.2	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-3.0	25%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

34-22

+12

H13/04

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

47-29

+18

H15/04

Liga A

Obradoiro CAB

#15

30-33

-3

H17/04

ACB

Argentino

#16

20-59

-39

A18/04

Liga A

Lanus

#13

39-51

-12

A20/04

Liga A

Real Betis

#11

25-45

-20

A24/04

ACB

Atenas

#14

44-41

H30/04

Liga A

Fuenlabrada

42-35

H01/05

ACB

Libertad

34-37

-3

H02/05

Liga A

Gran Canaria

26-39

-13

A08/05

ACB

73.2Avg total

34.1Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	37.6	73.9	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.2	35.4	74.6	+3.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.7	39.6	73.2	-5.9	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.1	39.1	73.2	-5.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	39.4	73.6	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	35.0	37.9	72.9	-2.9	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.7	37.4	75.1	+0.4	64%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

#18

44-31

+13

H06/03

ACB

Gran Canaria

38-47

-9

A13/03

ACB

Barcelona

42-33

A20/03

ACB

Real Betis

#11

34-29

H27/03

ACB

Real Madrid

42-52

-10

H03/04

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

41-41

A10/04

ACB

Manresa

#16

33-41

-8

H17/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#15

30-40

-10

A23/04

ACB

Valencia

36-45

-9

H01/05

ACB

Tenerife

#10

49-42

H07/05

ACB

79.0Avg total

38.9Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	40.0	79.1	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.2	38.7	78.9	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	41.3	79.3	-3.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	40.1	79.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	41.8	79.6	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.1	42.1	80.2	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.8	40.2	81.0	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	37.0	37.6	74.6	-0.6	38%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.8	21.4	42.2	-0.6	44%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.3	18.9	37.1	-0.6	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.3	40.7	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	21.3	39.9	-2.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.5	39.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.0	22.6	41.6	-3.6	12%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.4	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.0	18.1	39.1	+2.9	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	21.0	42.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.9	18.4	35.2	-1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	22.2	41.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.6	45.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.9	44%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.7	18.6	37.4	+0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.3	37.4	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	20.1	38.7	-1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.5	40.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.2	14.8	31.0	+1.5	62%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.1	20.1	40.1	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.1	20.2	41.4	+0.9	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	39.8	78.6	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	41.4	83.0	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.4	38.4	74.8	-2.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	42.3	82.1	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	43.4	86.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	40.4	41.8	82.2	-1.4	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.0	37.5	74.5	-0.5	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	39.0	78.7	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	36.7	78.8	+5.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	41.3	78.6	-4.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	39.0	79.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	37.0	79.4	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.2	37.4	72.6	-2.1	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.8	40.4	81.1	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	42.1	38.4	80.5	+3.8	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Murcia wins

Date	Game	Score
17/01/16	Murcia v Estudiantes	83-70
08/02/15	Estudiantes v Murcia	90-79
09/11/14	Murcia v Estudiantes	79-65
23/03/14	Murcia v Estudiantes	85-84
02/11/13	Estudiantes v Murcia	69-77
28/04/13	Estudiantes v Murcia	94-85
30/12/12	Murcia v Estudiantes	68-91
06/05/12	Estudiantes v Murcia	80-86
28/12/11	Murcia v Estudiantes	88-75
24/04/10	Estudiantes v Murcia	75-64

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/05/16	A	Gran Canaria	80-82
02/05/16	H	Libertad	83-86
01/05/16	H	Fuenlabrada	74-80
30/04/16	H	Atenas	91-84
24/04/16	A	Real Betis	59-82
20/04/16	A	Lanus	62-90
18/04/16	A	Argentino	59-85
17/04/16	H	Obradoiro CAB	71-70
15/04/16	H	Quilmes	89-84
13/04/16	H	Regatas	77-81 OT

Murcialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/05/16	H	Tenerife	88-83
01/05/16	H	Valencia	80-62
23/04/16	A	Obradoiro CAB	69-88
17/04/16	H	Manresa	73-75
10/04/16	A	MoraBanc Andorra	91-86
03/04/16	H	Real Madrid	99-104 OT
27/03/16	H	Real Betis	80-76
20/03/16	A	Barcelona	71-77
13/03/16	A	Gran Canaria	75-87
06/03/16	H	Gipuzkoa	78-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

ACB 2015-16

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	26%
Home	WLWWL	33%
Away	LWLLL	19%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	15	16
Win %	26%	33%	19%
Points / game	75.8	80.9	71.0
Allowed / game	82.6	81.9	83.2
Point differential	-6.8	-0.9	-12.2
Avg total	158.4	162.8	154.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	22% (9)	20% (5)	25% (4)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

Murcia

ACB 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	48%
Home	WLLWW	69%
Away	WLLWL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	16	15
Win %	48%	69%	27%
Points / game	79.0	82.5	75.2
Allowed / game	79.3	76.1	82.7
Point differential	-0.3	+6.4	-7.5
Avg total	158.2	158.6	157.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	31%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	58% (12)	56% (9)	67% (3)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Barcelona	31	27	4	87%	83.5	70.2	+13.3
2	Real Madrid	31	26	5	84%	93.9	80.9	+13.0
3	Valencia	31	26	5	84%	84.1	73.6	+10.5
4	Baskonia	32	23	9	72%	88.0	79.1	+8.9
5	Gran Canaria	31	20	11	65%	82.5	78.6	+3.9
6	Unicaja	31	17	14	55%	77.3	74.8	+2.5
7	Fuenlabrada	31	17	14	55%	82.7	82.0	+0.6
8	Murcia	31	15	16	48%	79.0	79.3	-0.3
9	Bilbao	31	15	16	48%	78.4	81.1	-2.6
10	Tenerife	31	14	17	45%	77.5	80.3	-2.7
11	Real Betis	31	13	18	42%	77.3	84.0	-6.7
12	MoraBanc Andorra	31	12	19	39%	81.4	83.0	-1.7
13	Joventut Badalona	32	12	20	38%	76.9	82.1	-5.2
14	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	31	11	20	35%	80.0	81.9	-1.9
15	Manresa	31	10	21	32%	69.7	78.5	-8.7
16	Obradoiro CAB	31	9	22	29%	76.1	79.5	-3.3
17	Estudiantes	31	8	23	26%	75.8	82.6	-6.8
18	Gipuzkoa	31	5	26	16%	72.9	85.7	-12.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	22	7	19	19	67
Murcia	17	22	19	24	82

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Murcia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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