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Estudiantes vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 75-85
18-25 15-20 23-24 19-16
Position#18
Record9-18
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game86.5
vs
Murcia 🏆
Spain
Position#12
Record9-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game84.2
SpainACBRound 29
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Estudiantes v Murcia
04 Apr 2021
EST75
MUR85
24 Mar 2019
EST86
MUR110
03 Dec 2017
EST79
MUR91
09 Apr 2017
EST109
MUR84
10 May 2016
EST67
MUR82
08 Feb 2015
EST90
MUR79
02 Nov 2013
EST69
MUR77
28 Apr 2013
EST94
MUR85
06 May 2012
EST80
MUR86
24 Apr 2010
EST75
MUR64
11 Oct 2008
EST93
MUR66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H07/02
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A10/02
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A27/02
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A03/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
A06/03
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
95-89
95
89
+6
H14/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
83-90
83
90
-7
H17/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
113-104 OT
113
104
+9
A20/03
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
68-98
68
98
-30
A23/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
97-85 OT
97
85
+12
H29/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
23-13
16-19
14-25
21-24
18-21
19-20
21-16
17-20
21-18
17-23
22-30
24-18
24-21
21-21
22-27
23-25
17-18
26-12
19-30
26-20
18-23
30-26
21-20
23-27
20-24
21-18
19-21
18-24
26-27
28-24
22-19
15-33
24-31
8-13
21-21
22-14
24-29
20-19
14-18
176.3Avg total
86.2Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.686.5168.1-5.033%
Season at home (13)82.283.5165.6-1.331%
Season away (14)81.089.4170.4-8.436%
Last 10 (10)86.290.1176.3-3.940%
Last 5 (5)91.293.2184.4-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)78.288.3166.5-10.216%
vs Similar (8)87.483.4170.8+4.075%
vs Weaker (3)71.368.7140.0+2.733%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H23/01
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
93-103
93
103
-10
H26/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
63-92
63
92
-29
A31/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
87-98
87
98
-11
A02/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H07/02
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A27/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
58-74
58
74
-16
H07/03
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A20/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A24/03
ACB
Bilbao
#17
L
82-90 OT
82
90
-8
H28/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
17-17
19-11
21-33
18-28
20-18
26-28
29-29
11-20
25-17
9-25
18-30
32-24
19-23
9-26
27-25
21-22
21-22
21-24
21-23
18-18
13-24
29-18
24-25
6-16
18-14
20-20
14-24
26-23
16-17
19-23
17-22
17-13
13-17
25-14
27-26
15-28
14-13
22-18
23-15
165.5Avg total
78.6Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.784.2164.9-3.635%
Season at home (13)81.581.2162.7+0.246%
Season away (13)79.887.2167.1-7.423%
Last 10 (10)78.686.9165.5-8.310%
Last 5 (5)76.880.8157.6-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.883.2161.0-5.440%
vs Similar (15)80.986.7167.5-5.820%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)82.475.6158.0+6.880%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -3.1-3.1
EstudiantesMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H07/02
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A10/02
ACB
Unicaja
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A27/02
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A03/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A06/03
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H14/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H17/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A20/03
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
39-64
39
64
-25
A23/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H29/03
ACB
86.8Avg total
41.6Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.240.878.1-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.939.075.9-2.144%-
Last 30 away (14)37.642.980.6-5.314%-
Last 10 (10)41.645.286.8-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)43.250.493.6-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.742.580.2-4.726%-
vs Similar (8)39.238.978.1+0.450%-
vs Weaker (3)28.735.764.3-7.00%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H23/01
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H26/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A31/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A02/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H07/02
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A27/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H07/03
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A20/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A24/03
ACB
Bilbao
#17
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H28/03
ACB
75.2Avg total
35.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.439.778.1-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.637.174.7+0.533%-
Last 30 away (15)39.242.481.6-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)35.839.475.2-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)31.236.667.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.335.877.1+5.570%-
vs Similar (15)36.843.680.4-6.813%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)37.436.073.4+1.440%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.1
49.9%
53.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.3
32.0%
36.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws11.58.9
77.4%
76.6%8.9
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.020.8
47.3%
53.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.3
31.6%
36.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.215.2
71.7%
76.6%15.2
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estudiantes
WLWLWLWLLL
Murcia
LWLLLLLLLL
#18
League position
#12
-12.9
Net rating
-7.8
102.8
Offensive rating
101.7
115.7
Defensive rating
109.4
49.2%
Effective FG%
47.3%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
15.8%
Turnover %
19.9%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
36.7%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.0%
3-point %
31.6%
51.7%
Assist %
53.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 101.7Defence115.7 · 109.4Shooting49.2% · 47.3%3-point %32.0% · 31.6%Ball care15.8% · 19.9%Off. rebounds28.3% · 36.7%Free throws0.17 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Estudiantes   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Estudiantes wins
6
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
24/09/20Murcia v Estudiantes93-80
24/03/19Estudiantes v Murcia86-110
03/01/19Murcia v Estudiantes73-88
24/05/18Murcia v Estudiantes71-77
03/12/17Estudiantes v Murcia79-91
09/04/17Estudiantes v Murcia109-84
30/12/16Murcia v Estudiantes100-91
10/05/16Estudiantes v Murcia67-82
17/01/16Murcia v Estudiantes83-70
08/02/15Estudiantes v Murcia90-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/21HMoraBanc Andorra97-85 OT
23/03/21ABarcelona68-98
20/03/21ABasket Zaragoza113-104 OT
17/03/21HJoventut Badalona83-90
14/03/21HBilbao95-89
06/03/21AGran Canaria94-97 OT
03/03/21AObradoiro CAB91-87
27/02/21AUnicaja77-91
10/02/21AGipuzkoa79-81
07/02/21HReal Madrid65-79
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/21HBilbao82-90 OT
24/03/21AFuenlabrada82-70
20/03/21ATenerife78-85
07/03/21HReal Madrid58-74
27/02/21AManresa84-85
07/02/21HJoventut Badalona84-91
02/02/21AReal Madrid87-98
31/01/21ABarcelona63-92
26/01/21HManresa93-103
23/01/21HSan Pablo Burgos75-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW33%
HomeLLWLW31%
AwayLWLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %33%31%36%
Points / game81.682.281.0
Allowed / game86.583.589.4
Point differential-5.0-1.3-8.4
Avg total168.1165.6170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)0% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %11%8%14%
Murcia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL35%
HomeLLLLL46%
AwayLLLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %35%46%23%
Points / game80.781.579.8
Allowed / game84.281.287.2
Point differential-3.6+0.2-7.4
Avg total164.9162.7167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2726196%86.775.0+11.7
2 Barcelona2724389%87.072.5+14.5
3 Tenerife2621581%88.379.7+8.6
4 Baskonia2720774%83.077.4+5.6
5 San Pablo Burgos2417771%87.581.2+6.3
6 Valencia27171063%85.080.6+4.5
7 Joventut Badalona26151158%84.783.8+0.9
8 Unicaja27131448%84.582.8+1.7
9 Manresa28131546%83.886.8-3.0
10 MoraBanc Andorra26121446%78.578.6-0.2
11 Gran Canaria27121544%79.784.1-4.4
12 Basket Zaragoza27101737%87.288.9-1.6
13 Murcia2691735%80.784.2-3.6
14 Estudiantes2791833%81.686.5-5.0
15 Obradoiro CAB2781930%79.384.4-5.1
16 Fuenlabrada2882029%80.083.9-3.9
17 Real Betis2772026%77.483.8-6.4
18 Bilbao2872125%80.087.1-7.1
19 Gipuzkoa2662023%73.586.0-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes1815231975
Murcia2520241685
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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