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Estudiantes vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 86-77
21-22 14-26 27-12 24-17
Position#2
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game71.3
vs
Position#3
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game70.7
SpainPrimera FEBRound 4
Other2026-27
Meetings · Estudiantes v Palencia
18 Oct 2026
EST86
PAL77
08 Feb 2026
EST72
PAL94
16 Mar 2025
EST104
PAL98
08 Jan 2023
EST73
PAL83
18 Jun 2022
EST89
PAL62
08 May 2022
EST71
PAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Palmer Basket
#15
W
73-70
73
70
+3
62avg 80
H03/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
70-77
70
77
-7
63avg 80
A08/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
93-77
93
77
+16
83avg 80
H15/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
74-67
74
67
+7
70avg 80
H17/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
113-72
113
72
+41
115avg 80
A22/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
79-71
79
71
+8
72avg 80
H06/06
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
97-100 OT
97
100
-3
92avg 80
H07/06
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#10
W
78-65
78
65
+13
72avg 80
H27/09
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
A03/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#15
W
106-76
106
76
+30
108avg 80
H11/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
21-12
15-28
25-13
14-19
25-15
16-21
15-22
27-18
23-16
15-23
28-20
18-15
21-19
18-17
17-16
33-27
30-20
25-13
25-12
18-23
28-16
20-18
13-14
6-12
28-24
31-21
15-23
12-9
18-24
26-16
22-16
24-22
13-29
22-10
21-12
27-24
29-16
25-21
25-15
161.1Avg total
86.3Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.071.3159.3+16.7100%
Season at home (2)92.070.5162.5+21.5100%
Season away (1)80.073.0153.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.374.8161.1+11.580%
Last 5 (5)88.077.0165.0+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.597.0179.5-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (5)80.275.4155.6+4.880%
vs Weaker (21)87.076.6163.6+10.576%
This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Estela
#12
W
100-70
100
70
+30
100avg 74
H08/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
90-52
90
52
+38
90avg 74
H15/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
83-79
83
79
+4
81avg 74
H17/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
72avg 74
A22/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
72-78
72
78
-6
59avg 74
A24/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
76-51
76
51
+25
68avg 74
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
81-92
81
92
-11
70avg 74
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
95-69
95
69
+26
105avg 74
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#13
W
70-67
70
67
+3
63avg 74
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#17
W
91-76
91
76
+15
85avg 74
H09/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
28-16
25-23
21-17
17-16
22-12
25-7
26-17
16-23
29-22
11-17
27-17
14-18
15-24
22-27
30-19
16-13
22-21
22-22
12-22
26-9
15-12
22-12
13-18
16-20
24-18
21-28
20-26
25-20
27-14
23-23
20-12
14-12
19-19
16-15
21-21
17-19
27-18
14-17
33-22
156.1Avg total
83.9Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.370.7156.0+14.7100%
Season at home (2)80.571.5152.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)95.069.0164.0+26.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.972.2156.1+11.770%
Last 5 (5)82.671.0153.6+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.084.0153.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (2)90.089.5179.5+0.550%
vs Weaker (26)84.170.7154.8+13.388%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +3.2+3.2
EstudiantesPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palmer Basket
#15
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H03/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H15/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H17/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
63-47
63
47
+16
A22/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H06/06
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H07/06
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#10
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H27/09
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A03/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#15
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H11/10
Primera FEB
80.4Avg total
42.7Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.082.6+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.738.279.9+3.559%-
Last 30 away (13)41.444.886.2-3.438%-
Last 10 (10)42.737.780.4+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.880.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.046.281.2-11.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.239.479.6+0.860%-
vs Weaker (21)43.140.483.6+2.757%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estela
#12
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H08/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H15/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H17/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A22/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A24/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#13
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#17
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/10
Primera FEB
75.5Avg total
41.5Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.735.777.4+6.080%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.535.379.8+9.387%-
Last 30 away (15)38.936.175.0+2.773%-
Last 10 (10)41.534.075.5+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)42.032.274.2+9.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.041.577.5-5.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)43.537.080.5+6.5100%-
vs Weaker (26)42.035.277.2+6.881%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.716.6
55.9%
53.0%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.212.5
37.7%
32.9%37.5
🏀 Free throws21.915.5
70.8%
74.2%15.5
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.816.5
51.9%
53.0%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.7
35.0%
32.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.318.8
77.4%
74.2%18.8
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estudiantes
WWWLWWWWLW
Palencia
WWWLWLLWWW
#2
League position
#3
+13.6
Net rating
+16.0
119.8
Offensive rating
114.9
106.1
Defensive rating
98.9
56.2%
Effective FG%
52.2%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.39
37.7%
3-point %
35.0%
62.9%
Assist %
59.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence119.8 · 114.9Defence106.1 · 98.9Shooting56.2% · 52.2%3-point %37.7% · 35.0%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Estudiantes   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Estudiantes wins
6
Palencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26HGipuzkoa106-76
03/10/26AZamora80-73
27/09/26HCaja 8778-65
07/06/26HLeyma Coruna97-100 OT
06/06/26HOviedo79-71
22/05/26AAlicante113-72
17/05/26HAlicante74-67
15/05/26HAlicante93-77
08/05/26AFuenlabrada70-77
03/05/26HPalmer Basket73-70
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/26HHestia Menorca91-76
02/10/26HCordoba70-67
26/09/26AAlbacete95-69
06/06/26ALeyma Coruna81-92
29/05/26HFuenlabrada76-51
24/05/26AFuenlabrada72-78
22/05/26AFuenlabrada81-88
17/05/26HFuenlabrada83-79
15/05/26HFuenlabrada90-52
08/05/26HEstela100-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.092.080.0
Allowed / game71.370.573.0
Point differential+16.7+21.5+7.0
Avg total159.3162.5153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Palencia
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.380.595.0
Allowed / game70.771.569.0
Point differential+14.7+9.0+26.0
Avg total156.0152.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Estudiantes330100%88.071.3+16.7
2 Palencia330100%85.370.7+14.7
3 Alicante440100%86.074.8+11.2
4 Estela440100%85.577.2+8.2
5 Gran Canaria43175%89.574.0+15.5
6 Palmer Basket43175%86.283.5+2.8
7 Ourense42250%86.585.2+1.2
8 Cordoba42250%73.272.2+1.0
9 Granada42250%81.281.5-0.2
10 Caja 8742250%76.076.8-0.8
11 Albacete42250%82.288.8-6.5
12 Oviedo42250%84.092.8-8.8
13 Fibwi Palma41325%82.087.2-5.2
14 Zamora41325%72.079.2-7.2
15 Gipuzkoa41325%83.591.5-8.0
16 Fuenlabrada4040%75.884.0-8.2
17 Tizona Burgos4040%87.896.8-9.0
18 Hestia Menorca4040%68.878.2-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes2114272486
Palencia2226121777
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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