Estudiantes vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Apr 2009

Tip-off: 16:15

Final 71-63

14-9 20-17 14-20 23-17

Position#12

Record9-20

FormWWLLL

Points / game76.8

Allowed / game81.0

Estudiantes 🏆

Real Madrid

Position#4

Record21-8

FormWLWWL

Points / game85.1

Allowed / game79.6

ACBRound 32

Domestic2008-09

Meetings · Estudiantes v Real Madrid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Real Madrid winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#17

89-78

+11

H15/02

ACB

Joventut Badalona

80-75

H20/02

Spanish Cup

Unicaja

71-78

-7

H21/02

Spanish Cup

Fuenlabrada

89-97 OT

-8

A01/03

ACB

Barcelona

68-78

-10

H08/03

ACB

Vive Menorca

#16

75-70

A22/03

ACB

Manresa

#10

86-65

+21

H28/03

ACB

Unicaja

67-94

-27

A04/04

ACB

CB Granada

#11

72-76

-4

H12/04

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#13

60-84

-24

A19/04

ACB

20-18

28-20

16-12

25-28

17-15

17-19

19-17

27-24

23-23

20-18

12-10

16-27

19-21

19-19

20-8

16-26

13-22

17-25

15-15

23-16

16-13

20-11

13-21

26-25

–

15-23

11-30

17-20

24-21

14-22

12-11

25-14

21-29

9-26

15-22

14-11

22-25

155.2Avg total

75.7Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	76.8	81.0	157.7	-4.2	31%
Season at home (14)	77.1	76.6	153.7	+0.4	36%
Season away (15)	76.5	85.0	161.5	-8.5	27%
Last 10 (10)	75.7	79.5	155.2	-3.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	72.0	77.8	149.8	-5.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	75.5	87.3	162.8	-11.8	8%
vs Similar (14)	75.1	76.5	151.6	-1.4	43%
vs Weaker (2)	96.0	72.0	168.0	+24.0	100%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Murcia

#15

88-77

+11

A15/03

ACB

Valencia

80-76

H22/03

ACB

Olympiacos

79-88

-9

A24/03

Euroleague

Olympiacos

73-79

-6

A26/03

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

68-72

-4

A29/03

ACB

Olympiacos

71-63

H31/03

Euroleague

Olympiacos

75-78

-3

H02/04

Euroleague

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#17

96-66

+30

H05/04

ACB

Fuenlabrada

88-84

A13/04

ACB

Barcelona

76-79

-3

H18/04

ACB

23-13

22-17

16-25

27-22

16-21

20-20

17-22

27-13

18-28

23-18

23-17

15-25

15-18

21-20

13-21

24-20

17-14

15-20

21-18

23-12

14-8

15-21

19-22

16-20

25-13

17-21

17-24

24-20

21-13

29-24

22-9

18-11

19-26

27-23

24-24

12-24

22-16

24-20

18-19

155.6Avg total

79.4Scored

76.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	85.1	79.6	164.7	+5.4	72%
Season at home (15)	89.5	79.2	168.7	+10.3	87%
Season away (14)	80.3	80.1	160.4	+0.2	57%
Last 10 (10)	79.4	76.2	155.6	+3.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	74.0	155.2	+7.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	79.7	82.7	162.3	-3.0	50%
vs Similar (8)	79.6	77.0	156.6	+2.6	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	85.6	77.3	162.9	+8.3	87%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	16.9	19.3	36.2	-2.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	17.6	18.2	35.9	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (8)	16.2	20.4	36.6	-4.1	25%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.2	20.3	36.6	-4.1	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.4	21.2	34.6	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.7	21.8	39.5	-4.2	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	15.6	18.2	33.9	-2.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	17.0	40.0	+6.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.0	19.9	38.9	-0.9	36%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	20.7	39.3	-2.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.1	36.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.4	36.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.8	25.4	42.2	-8.6	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.4	18.2	37.6	+1.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	20.0	17.9	37.9	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (8)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.7	19.4	37.1	-1.8	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	19.8	34.8	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.3	22.0	39.3	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.1	15.6	35.8	+4.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.9	18.7	38.6	+1.1	54%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	17.9	38.7	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.7	19.7	38.4	-1.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.1	37.3	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	15.2	35.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.1	15.9	36.0	+4.2	88%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	43%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#17

48-38

+10

H15/02

ACB

Joventut Badalona

34-34

H20/02

Spanish Cup

Unicaja

43-41

H21/02

Spanish Cup

Fuenlabrada

38-40

-2

A01/03

ACB

Barcelona

30-47

-17

H08/03

ACB

Vive Menorca

#16

36-24

+12

A22/03

ACB

Unicaja

26-53

-27

A04/04

ACB

CB Granada

#11

26-33

-7

H12/04

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#13

24-48

-24

A19/04

ACB

73.7Avg total

33.9Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	35.9	37.9	73.9	-2.0	44%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	37.6	36.1	73.8	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (8)	34.2	39.8	74.0	-5.5	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	33.9	39.8	73.7	-5.9	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.4	41.0	69.4	-12.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	35.0	43.8	78.8	-8.8	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	35.8	33.9	69.6	+1.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	45.0	39.0	84.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Murcia

#15

45-30

+15

A15/03

ACB

Valencia

36-41

-5

H22/03

ACB

Olympiacos

41-46

-5

A24/03

Euroleague

Olympiacos

36-38

-2

A26/03

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

32-34

-2

A29/03

ACB

Olympiacos

37-20

+17

H31/03

Euroleague

Olympiacos

41-33

H02/04

Euroleague

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#17

45-33

+12

H05/04

ACB

Fuenlabrada

37-37

A13/04

ACB

Barcelona

34-40

-6

H18/04

ACB

73.6Avg total

38.4Scored

35.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	38.8	38.6	77.4	+0.2	39%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	38.5	78.0	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.1	38.7	76.8	-0.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	35.2	73.6	+3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	32.6	71.4	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.6	45.2	81.8	-8.6	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.6	34.9	74.5	+4.8	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	39.2	38.0	77.2	+1.2	43%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	18.2	16.4	34.6	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	17.6	15.8	33.4	+1.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (8)	18.8	17.1	35.9	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.8	14.2	31.0	+2.6	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	16.2	33.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.3	15.2	32.5	+2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.5	16.6	34.1	+0.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	28.0	22.0	50.0	+6.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.1	19.6	40.8	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	20.3	43.3	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.8	44.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.4	20.6	44.0	+2.8	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.5	21.0	39.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.9	18.5	40.4	+3.4	79%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	22.2	24.9	47.2	-2.7	31%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	22.6	25.9	48.5	-3.2	25%	-
Last 30 away (8)	21.9	24.0	45.9	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.2	24.6	46.8	-2.3	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	23.2	46.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.5	24.5	45.0	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.5	26.4	48.9	-3.9	12%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	17.0	43.0	+9.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.5	19.6	41.1	+1.9	54%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	18.9	41.1	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.2	16.0	38.2	+6.2	80%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.5	21.1	42.6	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.6	20.1	41.6	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	40.4	41.4	81.8	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	40.2	41.6	81.9	-1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (8)	40.6	41.1	81.8	-0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.0	38.8	77.8	+0.2	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	39.4	79.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	37.8	39.7	77.5	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.0	43.0	83.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	54.0	39.0	93.0	+15.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	42.6	39.2	81.9	+3.4	61%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.2	39.3	84.5	+5.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.6	39.2	78.8	+0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	41.0	82.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	41.4	83.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	45.6	36.6	82.2	+9.0	80%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.0	42.1	82.1	-2.1	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	43.4	38.6	82.0	+4.9	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
06/12/08	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	98-81

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/04/09	A	Gipuzkoa	60-84
12/04/09	H	CB Granada	72-76
04/04/09	A	Unicaja	67-94
28/03/09	H	Manresa	86-65
22/03/09	A	Vive Menorca	75-70
08/03/09	H	Barcelona	68-78
01/03/09	A	Fuenlabrada	89-97 OT
21/02/09	H	Unicaja	71-78
20/02/09	H	Joventut Badalona	80-75
15/02/09	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	89-78

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/04/09	H	Barcelona	76-79
13/04/09	A	Fuenlabrada	88-84
05/04/09	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	96-66
02/04/09	H	Olympiacos	75-78
31/03/09	H	Olympiacos	71-63
29/03/09	A	Gran Canaria	68-72
26/03/09	A	Olympiacos	73-79
24/03/09	A	Olympiacos	79-88
22/03/09	H	Valencia	80-76
15/03/09	A	Murcia	88-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

ACB 2008-09

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	31%
Home	LWLWL	36%
Away	LLWLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	31%	36%	27%
Points / game	76.8	77.1	76.5
Allowed / game	81.0	76.6	85.0
Point differential	-4.2	+0.4	-8.5
Avg total	157.7	153.7	161.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	36%	13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (8)	0% (4)	50% (4)
Overtime %	7%	0%	13%

Real Madrid

ACB 2008-09

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	72%
Home	WWWWL	87%
Away	WLWLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	72%	87%	57%
Points / game	85.1	89.5	80.3
Allowed / game	79.6	79.2	80.1
Point differential	+5.4	+10.3	+0.2
Avg total	164.7	168.7	160.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	48%	60%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	75% (4)	67% (3)
Overtime %	10%	13%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Baskonia	30	27	3	90%	89.0	75.9	+13.1
2	Barcelona	30	24	6	80%	80.7	71.5	+9.1
3	Unicaja	30	22	8	73%	83.2	73.4	+9.8
4	Real Madrid	29	21	8	72%	85.1	79.6	+5.4
5	Joventut Badalona	29	19	10	66%	82.8	79.7	+3.1
6	Gran Canaria	29	18	11	62%	80.6	78.2	+2.4
7	Valencia	30	15	15	50%	76.6	76.0	+0.6
8	Fuenlabrada	29	14	15	48%	83.5	81.4	+2.1
9	Manresa	29	14	15	48%	74.4	77.4	-3.0
10	Bilbao	29	13	16	45%	76.9	78.4	-1.6
11	CB Granada	30	11	19	37%	74.3	78.3	-4.0
12	Gipuzkoa	29	10	19	34%	76.4	81.5	-5.1
13	Real Betis	29	10	19	34%	76.7	81.9	-5.2
14	Estudiantes	29	9	20	31%	76.8	81.0	-4.2
15	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	29	8	21	28%	75.7	83.3	-7.6
16	Murcia	29	8	21	28%	74.2	83.1	-8.9
17	Vive Menorca	29	6	23	21%	70.9	77.9	-7.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	14	20	14	23	71
Real Madrid	9	17	20	17	63

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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