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Real Madrid vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Mar 2009
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 80-76
16-21 20-20 17-22 27-13
Position#4
Record18-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#7
Record14-11
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game74.3
SpainACBRound 27
Domestic2008-09
Meetings · Real Madrid v Valencia
14 Mar 2027
MAD v VAL
upcoming
17 Dec 2026
MAD v VAL
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
MAD96
VAL79
18 Jan 2026
MAD94
VAL79
28 Sep 2025
MAD94
VAL98
22 Jun 2025
MAD102
VAL96
20 Jun 2025
MAD89
VAL75
04 May 2025
MAD96
VAL89
17 Feb 2024
MAD95
VAL76
11 Jan 2024
MAD96
VAL86
31 Dec 2023
MAD83
VAL74
09 Mar 2023
MAD95
VAL91
16 Feb 2023
MAD86
VAL85
04 Dec 2022
MAD79
VAL62
06 Feb 2022
MAD93
VAL94
10 Jun 2021
MAD80
VAL77
06 Jun 2021
MAD81
VAL70
09 May 2021
MAD69
VAL79
11 Feb 2021
MAD85
VAL74
08 Oct 2020
MAD77
VAL93
15 Feb 2020
MAD91
VAL68
21 May 2019
MAD v VAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2018
MAD83
VAL71
19 Dec 2017
MAD91
VAL72
11 Jun 2017
MAD79
VAL86
09 Jun 2017
MAD87
VAL81
19 Feb 2017
MAD97
VAL95
22 Jan 2017
MAD85
VAL71
04 Jun 2016
MAD97
VAL88
02 Jun 2016
MAD82
VAL57
11 Oct 2015
MAD82
VAL88
07 Jun 2015
MAD89
VAL93
04 Jun 2015
MAD81
VAL71
02 Nov 2014
MAD90
VAL71
26 Sep 2014
MAD89
VAL76
27 Apr 2014
MAD105
VAL110
20 Dec 2012
MAD87
VAL84
04 Dec 2011
MAD81
VAL64
07 Apr 2011
MAD66
VAL58
24 Mar 2011
MAD75
VAL81
22 Mar 2011
MAD71
VAL65
12 Feb 2011
MAD69
VAL59
23 Oct 2010
MAD75
VAL63
05 Dec 2009
MAD77
VAL66
22 Mar 2009
MAD80
VAL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#14
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
A08/02
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#9
W
98-79
98
79
+19
H12/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#1
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H14/02
ACB
Barcelona
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H19/02
Spanish Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#9
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A26/02
Euroleague
Bilbao
#9
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A28/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A04/03
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#5
W
100-88
100
88
+12
H07/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#19
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H12/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#15
W
88-77
88
77
+11
A15/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
18-13
17-14
22-22
18-20
24-16
28-25
28-18
12-25
20-22
21-22
28-10
19-23
19-21
21-20
16-19
26-17
20-18
10-16
17-18
17-17
20-23
17-16
27-32
21-30
17-18
20-26
21-16
23-23
19-14
27-27
31-24
17-14
23-26
21-21
22-21
23-13
22-17
16-25
27-22
168.0Avg total
85.3Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)85.880.5166.3+5.375%
Season at home (12)90.980.6171.5+10.392%
Season away (12)80.780.4161.1+0.258%
Last 10 (10)85.382.7168.0+2.670%
Last 5 (5)86.285.0171.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.782.5163.2-1.867%
vs Similar (4)91.579.0170.5+12.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)82.876.4159.2+6.479%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vive Menorca
#16
W
87-56
87
56
+31
H08/02
ACB
Azovmash Mariupol
#10
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
A10/02
Eurocup
Manresa
#10
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A15/02
ACB
Baskonia
#1
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A19/02
Spanish Cup
Azovmash Mariupol
#10
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H24/02
Eurocup
Unicaja
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H01/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#15
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H03/03
Eurocup
CB Granada
#11
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A08/03
ACB
Vrsac
#11
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A10/03
Eurocup
Gipuzkoa
#13
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H14/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
19-20
19-14
24-7
17-19
21-16
18-17
13-17
19-22
18-20
17-16
19-16
22-16
13-17
15-21
16-28
20-11
16-20
15-16
17-19
20-26
26-12
14-25
19-20
23-19
26-12
15-26
18-23
17-18
17-19
17-14
20-18
20-27
18-9
15-12
9-18
21-15
17-17
18-9
19-25
148.4Avg total
75.1Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.674.3149.9+1.356%
Season at home (13)79.475.7155.1+3.762%
Season away (12)71.572.8144.3-1.350%
Last 10 (10)75.173.3148.4+1.850%
Last 5 (5)73.872.8146.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)73.880.0153.8-6.225%
vs Similar (5)76.480.0156.4-3.660%
vs Weaker (20)77.469.7147.1+7.780%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -1.7-1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -1.7-1.7
Real MadridValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#14
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A08/02
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H12/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#1
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H14/02
ACB
Barcelona
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H19/02
Spanish Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#9
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A26/02
Euroleague
Bilbao
#9
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A28/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A04/03
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H07/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#19
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H12/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#15
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A15/03
ACB
78.4Avg total
39.2Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)39.039.578.5-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (11)39.539.579.1+0.045%-
Last 30 away (12)38.639.478.0-0.842%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.278.4+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.079.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.446.084.4-7.60%-
vs Similar (3)43.336.079.3+7.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)38.437.676.0+0.950%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vive Menorca
#16
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H08/02
ACB
Azovmash Mariupol
#10
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A10/02
Eurocup
Manresa
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A15/02
ACB
Baskonia
#1
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A19/02
Spanish Cup
Azovmash Mariupol
#10
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H24/02
Eurocup
Unicaja
#3
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H01/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#15
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H03/03
Eurocup
CB Granada
#11
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A08/03
ACB
Vrsac
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A10/03
Eurocup
Gipuzkoa
#13
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H14/03
ACB
74.5Avg total
39.5Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)37.336.373.6+0.961%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.134.272.3+3.973%-
Last 30 away (12)36.538.374.8-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)39.535.074.5+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)41.034.875.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)37.540.578.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (3)34.340.374.7-6.033%-
vs Weaker (17)37.935.473.2+2.565%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Real Madrid wins
1
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
19/11/08Valencia v Real Madrid82-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/09AMurcia88-77
12/03/09HAlba Berlin83-82
07/03/09HJoventut Badalona100-88
04/03/09ABarcelona79-90
28/02/09ABilbao81-88
26/02/09AMaccabi Tel Aviv73-69
19/02/09HBarcelona75-83
14/02/09HBaskonia81-79
12/02/09HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-79
08/02/09AReal Betis95-92 OT
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/09HGipuzkoa75-66
10/03/09AVrsac62-66
08/03/09ACB Granada71-69
03/03/09HCrvena zvezda82-80
01/03/09HUnicaja79-83
24/02/09HAzovmash Mariupol68-66
19/02/09ABaskonia66-82
15/02/09AManresa73-74
10/02/09AAzovmash Mariupol88-91 OT
08/02/09HVive Menorca87-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2008-09
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %75%92%58%
Points / game85.890.980.7
Allowed / game80.580.680.4
Point differential+5.3+10.3+0.2
Avg total166.3171.5161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%67%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%17%8%
Valencia
ACB 2008-09
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW56%
HomeWLWLW62%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game75.679.471.5
Allowed / game74.375.772.8
Point differential+1.3+3.7-1.3
Avg total149.9155.1144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baskonia2522388%88.775.2+13.6
2 Barcelona2520580%80.571.0+9.5
3 Real Madrid2418675%85.880.5+5.3
4 Unicaja2619773%82.473.3+9.1
5 Gran Canaria2416867%82.278.3+3.9
6 Joventut Badalona2617965%83.080.2+2.8
7 Valencia25141156%75.674.3+1.3
8 Manresa26131350%74.677.0-2.4
9 Fuenlabrada25111444%83.281.8+1.4
10 Bilbao25111444%76.877.9-1.1
11 CB Granada2691735%74.478.3-3.9
12 Gipuzkoa2481633%76.582.8-6.3
13 Tecnyconta Zaragoza2581732%76.182.1-6.0
14 Estudiantes2471729%77.881.6-3.9
15 Murcia2571828%73.283.4-10.2
16 Real Betis2461825%74.781.7-7.0
17 Vive Menorca2561924%70.777.3-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1620172780
Valencia2120221376
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