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Evansville vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 69-79
30-42 39-37
Position#362
Record4-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.6
Allowed / game72.4
vs
Position#102
Record13-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game77.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Evansville v Murray State
07 Jan 2026
EVAN69
MURR79
29 Jan 2025
EVAN78
MURR74
06 Jan 2024
EVAN59
MURR81
01 Jan 2023
EVAN61
MURR78
21 Dec 2019
EVAN78
MURR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#14
L
59-97
59
97
-38
H24/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
59-78
59
78
-19
H24/11
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H04/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A06/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
58-82
58
82
-24
A13/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H17/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H21/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A30/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
47-73
47
73
-26
A01/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
48-62
48
62
-14
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-44
23-53
29-40
30-38
33-32
31-20
32-36
47-44
29-41
29-41
30-41
48-42
27-29
38-37
35-31
33-45
28-46
19-27
18-34
30-28
137.4Avg total
62.5Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)66.672.4138.9-5.825%
Season at home (10)68.969.6138.5-0.730%
Season away (6)62.777.0139.7-14.317%
Last 10 (10)62.574.9137.4-12.410%
Last 5 (5)61.272.0133.2-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)67.674.9142.5-7.327%
vs Similar (2)56.569.5126.0-13.00%
vs Weaker (2)84.048.5132.5+35.5100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#15
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A25/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
96-95
96
95
+1
H26/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
84-52
84
52
+32
H03/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H06/12
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
115-100
115
100
+15
A13/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H19/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A02/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
17-40
43-33
45-43
51-52
33-28
51-24
47-34
34-34
47-42
68-58
36-30
45-42
36-39
49-40
47-34
37-47
36-40
45-37
50-32
36-34
161.6Avg total
85.3Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)88.277.4165.7+10.881%
Season at home (10)89.371.8161.1+17.5100%
Season away (6)86.586.8173.3-0.350%
Last 10 (10)85.376.3161.6+9.090%
Last 5 (5)83.475.0158.4+8.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.879.7156.5-2.833%
vs Similar (15)79.374.6153.9+4.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)79.767.4147.1+12.278%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.7-7.71st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: +5.8+5.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.7-7.71st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: +5.8+5.8
EvansvilleMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#14
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H24/11
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H04/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A06/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A13/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H17/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H21/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A30/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A01/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
18-34
18
34
-16
H04/01
NCAA
67.1Avg total
29.7Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.136.167.2-5.023%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.736.266.9-5.518%-
Last 30 away (13)31.735.967.6-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)29.737.467.1-7.720%-
Last 5 (5)27.636.263.8-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)30.836.867.7-6.019%-
vs Similar (2)24.537.061.5-12.50%-
vs Weaker (2)41.525.567.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#15
L
17-40
17
40
-23
A25/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H26/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H03/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H06/12
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A13/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H19/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A02/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H04/01
NCAA
75.6Avg total
39.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.834.370.1+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.632.671.2+6.176%-
Last 30 away (13)32.236.568.7-4.446%-
Last 10 (10)39.436.275.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.035.076.0+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.336.769.0-4.367%-
vs Similar (15)36.736.172.8+0.547%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)36.829.766.4+7.189%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Evansville wins
6
Murray State wins
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HNorthern Iowa48-62
01/01/26AIllinois State47-73
30/12/25ABradley68-76
21/12/25HDrake65-66
17/12/25HBelmont78-83
13/12/25ANotre Dame58-82
06/12/25AWestern Kentucky79-80
04/12/25HBall State64-52
24/11/25HCharleston59-78
24/11/25HAkron59-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HBradley86-66
02/01/26AIllinois (Chi.)81-77
30/12/25HSouthern Illinois84-81
21/12/25AValparaiso85-79
19/12/25HDrake81-72
13/12/25AAkron115-100
06/12/25HBellarmine81-68
03/12/25HMorehead State84-52
26/11/25HGeorge Washington96-95
25/11/25AMcNeese State60-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Evansville
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLWLLL30%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %25%30%17%
Points / game66.668.962.7
Allowed / game72.469.677.0
Point differential-5.8-0.7-14.3
Avg total138.9138.5139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %81%100%50%
Points / game88.289.386.5
Allowed / game77.471.886.8
Point differential+10.8+17.5-0.3
Avg total165.7161.1173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State1613381%88.277.4+10.8
2 Illinois State1512380%79.965.2+14.7
3 Belmont1814478%81.971.0+10.9
4 Northern Iowa1612475%69.658.6+11.1
5 Bradley1610662%77.571.6+5.9
6 Drake158753%77.269.6+7.6
7 Southern Illinois168850%78.073.6+4.4
8 Indiana State168850%75.873.8+1.9
9 Valparaiso157847%70.969.7+1.2
10 Illinois (Chi.)1551033%76.573.7+2.8
11 Evansville1641225%66.672.4-5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Evansville303969
Murray State423779
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