PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

FC Porto vs Sporting CP Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 03 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game97.8
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#6
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game76.8
PortugalLPBRound 20· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · FC Porto v Sporting CP
03 Apr 2027
POR v SCP
upcoming
31 May 2026
POR94
SCP86
29 May 2026
POR86
SCP76
18 Oct 2025
POR76
SCP82
25 May 2025
POR83
SCP64
23 May 2025
POR91
SCP81
09 Apr 2025
POR82
SCP72
23 Mar 2025
POR94
SCP73
25 Jan 2025
POR83
SCP78
20 Apr 2024
POR86
SCP72
14 Jan 2024
POR81
SCP79
23 May 2023
POR91
SCP93
21 May 2023
POR80
SCP88
19 Mar 2023
POR72
SCP71
14 Jan 2023
POR84
SCP97
19 Nov 2022
POR91
SCP89
24 May 2022
POR74
SCP71
22 May 2022
POR87
SCP68
30 Apr 2022
POR70
SCP71
28 Dec 2021
POR66
SCP59
30 May 2021
POR76
SCP80
28 May 2021
POR87
SCP73
07 Mar 2021
POR81
SCP78
08 Oct 2020
POR78
SCP87
08 Dec 2019
POR78
SCP89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sporting CP win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
73-89
73
89
-16
A07/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
102-98 OT
102
98
+4
A09/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
87-63
87
63
+24
H12/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H14/06
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
110-93
110
93
+17
A02/10
LPB
Bonn
#25
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A07/10
Champions League
Benfica
#3
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H11/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
95-91
95
91
+4
A16/10
LPB
Bnei Herzliya
#47
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A21/10
Champions League
CAB Madeira
#10
W
93-82
93
82
+11
H25/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
15-23
19-28
27-15
31-24
24-31
19-22
20-17
27-13
20-22
17-14
23-14
18-17
19-18
18-22
20-14
26-20
28-23
29-28
27-22
16-25
16-18
16-19
26-16
16-26
24-19
32-27
21-14
25-27
24-19
22-14
24-31
22-16
25-13
16-27
23-18
26-15
22-20
18-21
27-26
171.3Avg total
88.8Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)97.888.0185.8+9.8100%
Season at home (2)93.084.0177.0+9.0100%
Season away (2)102.592.0194.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.882.5171.3+6.380%
Last 5 (5)88.282.2170.4+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.078.6163.6+6.480%
vs Similar (7)83.380.0163.3+3.371%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)90.179.4169.4+10.778%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A29/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
86-94
86
94
-8
A31/05
LPB
Benfica
#3
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A03/10
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#47
W
79-75 OT
79
75
+4
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#12
W
88-60
88
60
+28
H10/10
LPB
SCM Craiova
#41
W
97-77
97
77
+20
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#10
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A17/10
LPB
Kolossos Rhodes
#20
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#4
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H24/10
LPB
Gence
#37
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
21-27
19-21
16-17
14-30
33-27
28-19
11-18
19-19
22-19
13-19
17-27
20-16
23-18
15-13
10-21
20-17
23-8
23-18
22-17
23-20
25-23
25-14
24-20
22-23
20-26
20-25
22-19
15-21
22-20
15-10
14-15
16-24
22-12
14-16
19-18
18-20
15-18
14-16
20-15
156.7Avg total
79.0Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.576.8155.2+1.850%
Season at home (2)79.565.0144.5+14.5100%
Season away (2)77.588.5166.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)79.077.7156.7+1.350%
Last 5 (5)78.075.6153.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.684.6158.2-11.040%
vs Similar (8)80.181.5161.6-1.438%
vs Weaker (17)86.874.5161.3+12.276%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
FC PortoSporting CP
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A07/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A09/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H12/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H14/06
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A02/10
LPB
Bonn
#25
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A07/10
Champions League
Benfica
#3
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H11/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A16/10
LPB
Bnei Herzliya
#47
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A21/10
Champions League
CAB Madeira
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H25/10
LPB
84.8Avg total
43.6Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.740.886.6+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.738.284.9+8.587%-
Last 30 away (15)44.843.588.3+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.284.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.682.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.041.881.8-1.840%-
vs Similar (7)43.644.988.4-1.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)48.239.087.2+9.289%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A29/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A31/05
LPB
Benfica
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A03/10
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#47
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#12
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H10/10
LPB
SCM Craiova
#41
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A17/10
LPB
Kolossos Rhodes
#20
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/10
LPB
Gence
#37
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
82.2Avg total
41.3Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.082.2+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.037.779.7+4.362%-
Last 30 away (14)42.442.685.0-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.982.2+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.481.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.240.276.4-4.060%-
vs Similar (8)45.045.990.9-0.925%-
vs Weaker (17)42.637.279.8+5.471%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.4
51.1%
50.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.5
36.4%
31.4%34.5
🏀 Free throws19.314.4
74.6%
70.6%14.4
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.0
48.0%
50.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.6
30.6%
31.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws24.216.7
69.0%
70.6%16.7
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWWWLWWWWL
Sporting CP
LWWLWWWLLL
#1
League position
#6
+7.4
Net rating
+2.1
98.2
Offensive rating
88.6
90.8
Defensive rating
86.4
52.7%
Effective FG%
47.1%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
14.2%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.4%
3-point %
30.6%
62.1%
Assist %
63.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 88.6Defence90.8 · 86.4Shooting52.7% · 47.1%3-point %36.4% · 30.6%Ball care14.2% · 15.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ FC Porto   ■ Sporting CP
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
FC Porto wins
2
Sporting CP wins
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HCAB Madeira93-82
21/10/26ABnei Herzliya86-74
16/10/26AEsgueira95-91
11/10/26HBenfica93-86
07/10/26ABonn74-78
02/10/26ACA Queluz110-93
14/06/26HBenfica75-71
12/06/26HBenfica87-63
09/06/26ABenfica102-98 OT
07/06/26ABenfica73-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AGence67-69
24/10/26HOvarense71-70
21/10/26HKolossos Rhodes71-69 OT
17/10/26ACAB Madeira84-93
14/10/26ASCM Craiova97-77
10/10/26HEsgueira88-60
07/10/26HRilski Sportist79-75 OT
03/10/26ABenfica71-84
31/05/26AFC Porto86-94
29/05/26AFC Porto76-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.893.0102.5
Allowed / game88.084.092.0
Point differential+9.8+9.0+10.5
Avg total185.8177.0194.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sporting CP
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game78.579.577.5
Allowed / game76.865.088.5
Point differential+1.8+14.5-11.0
Avg total155.2144.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto440100%97.888.0+9.8
2 Braga43175%89.877.5+12.2
3 Benfica43175%87.875.8+12.0
4 Ovarense43175%82.873.5+9.2
5 Oliveirense32167%87.384.7+2.7
6 Sporting CP42250%78.576.8+1.8
7 CD Povoa42250%74.272.8+1.5
8 Vitoria42250%75.082.0-7.0
9 CA Queluz31233%84.094.0-10.0
10 CAB Madeira41325%80.583.2-2.8
11 Portimonense4040%77.089.2-12.2
12 Esgueira4040%73.892.8-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.