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FC Porto vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 94-73
19-15 25-16 20-16 30-26
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#2
Record3-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game71.3
PortugalTaca de PortugalTaca de Portugal - Final· Matosinhos Sports and Events Center
Other2025Neutral venue
Meetings · FC Porto v Sporting CP
03 Apr 2027
POR v SCP
upcoming
31 May 2026
POR94
SCP86
29 May 2026
POR86
SCP76
18 Oct 2025
POR76
SCP82
25 May 2025
POR83
SCP64
23 May 2025
POR91
SCP81
09 Apr 2025
POR82
SCP72
23 Mar 2025
POR94
SCP73
25 Jan 2025
POR83
SCP78
20 Apr 2024
POR86
SCP72
14 Jan 2024
POR81
SCP79
23 May 2023
POR91
SCP93
21 May 2023
POR80
SCP88
19 Mar 2023
POR72
SCP71
14 Jan 2023
POR84
SCP97
19 Nov 2022
POR91
SCP89
24 May 2022
POR74
SCP71
22 May 2022
POR87
SCP68
30 Apr 2022
POR70
SCP71
28 Dec 2021
POR66
SCP59
30 May 2021
POR76
SCP80
28 May 2021
POR87
SCP73
07 Mar 2021
POR81
SCP78
08 Oct 2020
POR78
SCP87
08 Dec 2019
POR78
SCP89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sporting CP winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Tofas
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
77avg 77
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
L
97-100 OT
97
100
-3
82avg 77
A02/02
LPB
Maroussi
#12
W
80-76
80
76
+4
69avg 77
H05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#7
W
88-77
88
77
+11
84avg 77
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#1
W
103-89
103
89
+14
102avg 77
H15/02
LPB
Imortal
#10
W
94-84
94
84
+10
86avg 77
A01/03
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#4
W
86-78
86
78
+8
83avg 77
A08/03
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
90-83
90
83
+7
82avg 77
H15/03
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
75-77
75
77
-2
64avg 77
H18/03
LPB
Benfica
#3
W
94-84
94
84
+10
86avg 77
H22/03
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
20-29
25-11
20-22
21-23
20-17
20-20
17-18
15-15
19-17
21-23
25-21
18-25
26-21
25-17
19-14
21-23
27-25
20-21
35-20
24-20
20-33
14-21
36-10
22-15
19-18
21-14
24-31
26-19
22-21
16-21
26-22
15-17
25-24
17-17
18-19
19-24
35-18
20-19
20-23
172.7Avg total
89.7Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.073.7161.7+14.3100%
Season at home (3)88.073.7161.7+14.3100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.783.0172.7+6.780%
Last 5 (5)87.881.2169.0+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.085.5175.5+4.550%
vs Similar (12)86.881.5168.2+5.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.675.3162.9+12.387%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
Imortal
#7
L
80-86
80
86
-6
72avg 74
A14/01
LPB
Imortal
#9
W
79-75
79
75
+4
76avg 74
A16/01
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#2
L
78-83
78
83
-5
61avg 74
A25/01
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
93-87 OT
93
87
+6
91avg 74
H02/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
89-69
89
69
+20
86avg 74
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
CA Queluz
#11
W
103-78
103
78
+25
107avg 74
A15/02
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
89avg 74
A01/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
W
100-91
100
91
+9
102avg 74
H08/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
76-77
76
77
-1
70avg 74
A15/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
80-70
80
70
+10
74avg 74
H22/03
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
23-15
23-23
16-34
28-15
21-14
13-24
17-22
19-25
22-17
21-21
16-20
15-18
14-21
27-25
23-15
25-13
23-25
18-22
23-9
29-18
21-21
24-26
29-13
23-28
28-16
24-14
24-29
24-17
23-22
25-31
28-21
23-17
16-22
22-15
15-23
27-21
20-17
13-15
20-17
168.0Avg total
87.7Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.771.3154.0+11.3100%
Season at home (2)84.569.5154.0+15.0100%
Season away (1)79.075.0154.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.780.3168.0+7.470%
Last 5 (5)91.680.6172.2+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.785.2156.8-13.517%
vs Similar (6)81.777.8159.5+3.850%
vs Weaker (17)85.475.9161.3+9.576%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
FC PortoSporting CP
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A02/02
LPB
Maroussi
#12
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#1
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H15/02
LPB
Imortal
#10
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A01/03
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#4
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A08/03
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H15/03
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H18/03
LPB
Benfica
#3
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H22/03
Taca de Portugal
86.3Avg total
43.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.438.781.1+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.540.083.5+3.560%-
Last 30 away (15)41.337.378.7+4.060%-
Last 10 (10)43.942.486.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.887.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.040.582.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (12)41.839.781.5+2.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.738.280.9+4.560%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#7
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A14/01
LPB
Imortal
#9
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A16/01
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/01
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H02/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
CA Queluz
#11
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A15/02
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A01/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H08/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A15/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H22/03
Taca de Portugal
81.8Avg total
44.2Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.380.2+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.338.980.2+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)40.539.680.1+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)44.237.681.8+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)46.839.886.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.246.584.7-8.317%-
vs Similar (6)41.738.580.2+3.267%-
vs Weaker (17)41.237.678.8+3.659%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.3
53.7%
54.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.2
34.9%
34.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws25.617.9
69.9%
70.6%17.9
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.723.3
58.7%
54.9%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.9
33.1%
34.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws25.916.4
63.3%
70.6%16.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WLWWWWWWLW
Sporting CP
WLWWWWWLWL
#1
League position
#2
+9.4
Net rating
+9.4
115.0
Offensive rating
113.4
105.5
Defensive rating
104.0
53.1%
Effective FG%
55.3%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
14.8%
Turnover %
16.7%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.41
34.9%
3-point %
33.1%
60.0%
Assist %
55.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 113.4Defence105.5 · 104.0Shooting53.1% · 55.3%3-point %34.9% · 33.1%Ball care14.8% · 16.7%Off. rebounds32.0% · 32.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ FC Porto   ■ Sporting CP
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
FC Porto wins
5
Sporting CP wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25FC Porto v Sporting CP83-78
30/11/24Sporting CP v FC Porto83-87
20/04/24FC Porto v Sporting CP86-72
14/02/24Sporting CP v FC Porto81-71
14/01/24FC Porto v Sporting CP81-79
17/12/23Sporting CP v FC Porto83-79
26/05/23Sporting CP v FC Porto94-66
23/05/23FC Porto v Sporting CP91-93
21/05/23FC Porto v Sporting CP80-88
15/04/23Sporting CP v FC Porto106-110 OT
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25HBenfica94-84
18/03/25HOvarense75-77
15/03/25HImortal90-83
08/03/25AOliveirense86-78
01/03/25AImortal94-84
15/02/25HBenfica103-89
09/02/25HOvarense88-77
05/02/25HMaroussi80-76
02/02/25AVitoria97-100 OT
29/01/25ATofas90-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25HOliveirense80-70
15/03/25AGalitos Barreiro76-77
08/03/25HOvarense100-91
01/03/25ACA Queluz99-87
15/02/25ACA Queluz103-78
09/02/25HGalomar89-69
02/02/25HEsgueira93-87 OT
25/01/25AFC Porto78-83
16/01/25AImortal79-75
14/01/25AImortal80-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
Taca de Portugal 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game88.088.0-
Allowed / game73.773.7-
Point differential+14.3+14.3-
Avg total161.7161.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Sporting CP
Taca de Portugal 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.784.579.0
Allowed / game71.369.575.0
Point differential+11.3+15.0+4.0
Avg total154.0154.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto330100%88.073.7+14.3
2 Sporting CP330100%82.771.3+11.3
3 Benfica32167%94.379.7+14.7
4 Oliveirense32167%81.374.0+7.3
5 Vitoria21150%106.091.5+14.5
6 Galitos Barreiro21150%73.569.5+4.0
7 Ovarense21150%84.584.5+0.0
8 Galomar21150%76.579.0-2.5
9 Imortal1010%75.079.0-4.0
10 Esgueira1010%81.092.0-11.0
11 Ginasio1010%69.084.0-15.0
12 CA Queluz1010%60.076.0-16.0
13 CD Povoa1010%60.082.0-22.0
14 Sangalhos1010%71.095.0-24.0
15 Vasco Da Gama1010%88.0122.0-34.0
16 Portimonense1010%55.0104.0-49.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto1925203094
Sporting CP1516162673
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