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FC Porto vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 82-72
17-18 20-19 24-24 21-11
Position#1
Record2-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game79.5
FC Porto 🏆
Portugal
vs
Sporting CP
Portugal
Position#5
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game77.5
PortugalTaca da Liga· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2025
Meetings · FC Porto v Sporting CP
03 Apr 2027
POR v SCP
upcoming
31 May 2026
POR94
SCP86
29 May 2026
POR86
SCP76
18 Oct 2025
POR76
SCP82
25 May 2025
POR83
SCP64
23 May 2025
POR91
SCP81
09 Apr 2025
POR82
SCP72
23 Mar 2025
POR94
SCP73
25 Jan 2025
POR83
SCP78
20 Apr 2024
POR86
SCP72
14 Jan 2024
POR81
SCP79
23 May 2023
POR91
SCP93
21 May 2023
POR80
SCP88
19 Mar 2023
POR72
SCP71
14 Jan 2023
POR84
SCP97
19 Nov 2022
POR91
SCP89
24 May 2022
POR74
SCP71
22 May 2022
POR87
SCP68
30 Apr 2022
POR70
SCP71
28 Dec 2021
POR66
SCP59
30 May 2021
POR76
SCP80
28 May 2021
POR87
SCP73
07 Mar 2021
POR81
SCP78
08 Oct 2020
POR78
SCP87
08 Dec 2019
POR78
SCP89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sporting CP winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#7
W
88-77
88
77
+11
84avg 77
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#1
W
103-89
103
89
+14
102avg 77
H15/02
LPB
Imortal
#10
W
94-84
94
84
+10
86avg 77
A01/03
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#4
W
86-78
86
78
+8
83avg 77
A08/03
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
90-83
90
83
+7
82avg 77
H15/03
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
75-77
75
77
-2
64avg 77
H18/03
LPB
Benfica
#3
W
94-84
94
84
+10
86avg 77
H22/03
Taca de Portugal
Sporting CP
#2
W
94-73
94
73
+21
90avg 77
H23/03
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#12
W
82-78
82
78
+4
72avg 77
H29/03
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
96-81
96
81
+15
99avg 77
A05/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
26-21
25-17
19-14
21-23
27-25
20-21
35-20
24-20
20-33
14-21
36-10
22-15
19-18
21-14
24-31
26-19
22-21
16-21
26-22
15-17
25-24
17-17
18-19
19-24
35-18
20-19
20-23
19-15
25-16
20-16
30-26
23-17
22-22
22-18
15-21
21-27
18-22
31-11
26-21
170.6Avg total
90.2Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.579.5171.0+12.0100%
Season at home (1)89.075.0164.0+14.0100%
Season away (1)94.084.0178.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.280.4170.6+9.890%
Last 5 (5)88.278.6166.8+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)103.089.0192.0+14.0100%
vs Similar (12)86.881.5168.2+5.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.976.7165.6+12.288%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
93-87 OT
93
87
+6
91avg 73
H02/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
89-69
89
69
+20
86avg 73
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
CA Queluz
#11
W
103-78
103
78
+25
107avg 73
A15/02
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
89avg 73
A01/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
W
100-91
100
91
+9
102avg 73
H08/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
76-77
76
77
-1
70avg 73
A15/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
80-70
80
70
+10
74avg 73
H22/03
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
66avg 73
A23/03
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
W
84-57
84
57
+27
78avg 73
H29/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
94-82
94
82
+12
79avg 73
A05/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
14-21
27-25
23-15
25-13
23-25
18-22
23-9
29-18
21-21
24-26
29-13
23-28
28-16
24-14
24-29
24-17
23-22
25-31
28-21
23-17
16-22
22-15
15-23
27-21
20-17
13-15
20-17
15-19
16-25
16-20
26-30
22-15
20-20
21-12
21-10
16-20
28-15
27-25
23-22
168.3Avg total
89.1Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)92.577.5170.0+15.0100%
Season at home (1)86.068.0154.0+18.0100%
Season away (1)99.087.0186.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.179.2168.3+9.980%
Last 5 (5)81.476.0157.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.387.2159.5-14.817%
vs Similar (4)85.581.5167.0+4.050%
vs Weaker (19)85.875.2161.0+10.679%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +4.3+4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +4.3+4.3
FC PortoSporting CP
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#1
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H15/02
LPB
Imortal
#10
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A01/03
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#4
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A08/03
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H15/03
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H18/03
LPB
Benfica
#3
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H22/03
Taca de Portugal
Sporting CP
#2
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H23/03
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#12
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H29/03
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A05/04
LPB
86.9Avg total
44.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.182.1+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.439.683.9+4.869%-
Last 30 away (14)41.638.580.1+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.742.286.9+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.484.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.048.096.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (12)41.839.781.5+2.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.538.682.1+4.962%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H02/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
CA Queluz
#11
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A15/02
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A01/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H08/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A15/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H22/03
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A23/03
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H29/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A05/04
LPB
81.8Avg total
42.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.380.2+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.838.580.3+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)40.140.180.2+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)42.839.081.8+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.278.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.845.882.7-9.017%-
vs Similar (4)43.241.284.5+2.050%-
vs Weaker (19)41.437.378.7+4.163%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.121.3
59.0%
51.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.1
36.5%
34.2%30.3
🏀 Free throws25.416.9
66.5%
68.1%16.9
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.324.0
59.6%
51.0%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.4
35.1%
34.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws24.215.1
62.4%
68.1%15.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWWWLWWWWW
Sporting CP
WWLWLWWWWW
#1
League position
#5
+14.4
Net rating
+13.1
119.9
Offensive rating
116.5
105.5
Defensive rating
103.4
57.1%
Effective FG%
57.0%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
14.6%
Turnover %
15.1%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.38
36.5%
3-point %
35.1%
62.1%
Assist %
55.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence119.9 · 116.5Defence105.5 · 103.4Shooting57.1% · 57.0%3-point %36.5% · 35.1%Ball care14.6% · 15.1%Off. rebounds31.3% · 30.2%Free throws0.40 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ FC Porto   ■ Sporting CP
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
FC Porto wins
5
Sporting CP wins
DateGameScore
23/03/25FC Porto v Sporting CP94-73
25/01/25FC Porto v Sporting CP83-78
30/11/24Sporting CP v FC Porto83-87
20/04/24FC Porto v Sporting CP86-72
14/02/24Sporting CP v FC Porto81-71
14/01/24FC Porto v Sporting CP81-79
17/12/23Sporting CP v FC Porto83-79
26/05/23Sporting CP v FC Porto94-66
23/05/23FC Porto v Sporting CP91-93
21/05/23FC Porto v Sporting CP80-88
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25AEsgueira96-81
29/03/25HGalomar82-78
23/03/25HSporting CP94-73
22/03/25HBenfica94-84
18/03/25HOvarense75-77
15/03/25HImortal90-83
08/03/25AOliveirense86-78
01/03/25AImortal94-84
15/02/25HBenfica103-89
09/02/25HOvarense88-77
Sporting CPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25AGalomar94-82
29/03/25HCD Povoa84-57
23/03/25AFC Porto73-94
22/03/25HOliveirense80-70
15/03/25AGalitos Barreiro76-77
08/03/25HOvarense100-91
01/03/25ACA Queluz99-87
15/02/25ACA Queluz103-78
09/02/25HGalomar89-69
02/02/25HEsgueira93-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
Taca da Liga 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.589.094.0
Allowed / game79.575.084.0
Point differential+12.0+14.0+10.0
Avg total171.0164.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sporting CP
Taca da Liga 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.586.099.0
Allowed / game77.568.087.0
Point differential+15.0+18.0+12.0
Avg total170.0154.0186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ovarense330100%83.066.3+16.7
2 Sporting CP220100%92.577.5+15.0
3 Benfica330100%95.781.0+14.7
4 FC Porto220100%91.579.5+12.0
5 Oliveirense32167%85.377.0+8.3
6 Galitos Barreiro32167%89.083.3+5.7
7 CA Queluz31233%78.782.7-4.0
8 Vitoria31233%82.086.3-4.3
9 Imortal3030%70.784.7-14.0
10 CD Povoa3030%75.791.7-16.0
11 Esgueira2020%78.095.0-17.0
12 Galomar2020%60.581.0-20.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto1720242182
Sporting CP1819241172
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