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FC Porto vs Sporting CP Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 03 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
3.7/10
Below normal
Position#5
Record4-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game74.6
PortugalLPBRound 20· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · FC Porto v Sporting CP
03 Apr 2027
POR v SCP
upcoming
31 May 2026
POR94
SCP86
29 May 2026
POR86
SCP76
18 Oct 2025
POR76
SCP82
25 May 2025
POR83
SCP64
23 May 2025
POR91
SCP81
09 Apr 2025
POR82
SCP72
23 Mar 2025
POR94
SCP73
25 Jan 2025
POR83
SCP78
20 Apr 2024
POR86
SCP72
14 Jan 2024
POR81
SCP79
23 May 2023
POR91
SCP93
21 May 2023
POR80
SCP88
19 Mar 2023
POR72
SCP71
14 Jan 2023
POR84
SCP97
19 Nov 2022
POR91
SCP89
24 May 2022
POR74
SCP71
22 May 2022
POR87
SCP68
30 Apr 2022
POR70
SCP71
28 Dec 2021
POR66
SCP59
30 May 2021
POR76
SCP80
28 May 2021
POR87
SCP73
07 Mar 2021
POR81
SCP78
08 Oct 2020
POR78
SCP87
08 Dec 2019
POR78
SCP89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sporting CP win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#8
W
110-93
110
93
+17
107avg 78
A02/10
LPB
Bonn
#14
L
74-78
74
78
-4
65avg 78
A07/10
Champions League
Benfica
#1
W
93-86
93
86
+7
80avg 78
H11/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
95-91
95
91
+4
91avg 78
A16/10
LPB
Bnei Herzliya
#47
W
86-74
86
74
+12
81avg 78
A21/10
Champions League
CAB Madeira
#10
W
93-82
93
82
+11
90avg 78
H25/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
66avg 78
A31/10
LPB
Joventut Badalona
#2
L
64-81
64
81
-17
no box
H03/11
Champions League
Braga
#6
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
H08/11
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
93-65
93
65
+28
no box
A13/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
28-23
29-28
27-22
16-25
16-18
16-19
26-16
16-26
24-19
32-27
21-14
25-27
24-19
22-14
24-31
22-16
25-13
16-27
23-18
26-15
22-20
18-21
27-26
12-23
24-15
20-17
20-23
17-14
6-26
16-11
25-30
20-21
29-29
15-13
17-13
23-16
26-10
23-17
21-22
166.9Avg total
86.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.681.6173.1+10.086%
Season at home (3)89.081.3170.3+7.7100%
Season away (4)93.581.8175.2+11.875%
Last 10 (10)86.580.4166.9+6.170%
Last 5 (5)81.476.4157.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.079.8161.8+2.262%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.978.6160.4+3.371%
vs Weaker (15)91.678.3169.9+13.387%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
SCM Craiova
#34
W
97-77
97
77
+20
99avg 75
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#10
L
84-93
84
93
-9
73avg 75
A17/10
LPB
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
66avg 75
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#3
W
71-70
71
70
+1
65avg 75
H24/10
LPB
Gence
#43
L
67-69
67
69
-2
60avg 75
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#6
L
86-98
86
98
-12
77avg 75
A01/11
LPB
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
70-106
70
106
-36
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
91-48
91
48
+43
no box
H07/11
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#41
L
76-86
76
86
-10
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#7
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
H14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
25-23
25-14
24-20
22-23
20-26
20-25
22-19
15-21
22-20
15-10
14-15
16-24
22-12
14-16
19-18
18-20
15-18
14-16
20-15
23-24
19-22
21-20
23-32
17-19
18-32
16-29
19-26
21-10
34-11
22-12
14-15
18-23
16-25
23-23
19-15
25-19
17-15
29-13
23-22
159.2Avg total
80.7Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.674.6158.1+9.057%
Season at home (4)86.061.8147.8+24.2100%
Season away (3)80.391.7172.0-11.30%
Last 10 (10)80.778.5159.2+2.250%
Last 5 (5)83.481.4164.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.890.0159.8-20.225%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.682.1162.8-1.538%
vs Weaker (18)86.374.1160.4+12.272%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
FC PortoSporting CP
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#8
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A02/10
LPB
Bonn
#14
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A07/10
Champions League
Benfica
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H11/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A16/10
LPB
Bnei Herzliya
#47
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A21/10
Champions League
CAB Madeira
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H25/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A31/10
LPB
Joventut Badalona
#2
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H03/11
Champions League
Braga
#6
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H08/11
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
49-26
49
26
+23
A13/11
LPB
82.2Avg total
42.7Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.640.685.2+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.939.484.3+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)44.341.886.1+2.553%-
Last 10 (10)42.739.582.2+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.878.8+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.942.179.0-5.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)45.444.990.3+0.643%-
vs Weaker (15)48.337.886.1+10.593%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SCM Craiova
#34
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A17/10
LPB
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/10
LPB
Gence
#43
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A01/11
LPB
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
55-21
55
21
+34
H07/11
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#41
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H14/11
LPB
81.3Avg total
40.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.482.8+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.236.380.5+7.967%-
Last 30 away (15)40.644.485.0-3.840%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.781.3-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.081.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.546.080.5-11.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.645.189.8-0.538%-
vs Weaker (18)43.237.080.2+6.267%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.4
49.6%
51.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.5
36.5%
31.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws20.014.8
74.0%
71.1%14.8
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.5
49.2%
51.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.5
30.4%
31.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.515.4
68.4%
71.1%15.4
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWLLWWWWLW
Sporting CP
WLWLLLWWLW
#2
League position
#5
+6.5
Net rating
+2.1
95.9
Offensive rating
89.3
89.5
Defensive rating
87.2
52.0%
Effective FG%
47.7%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.5%
3-point %
30.4%
60.2%
Assist %
62.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.9 · 89.3Defence89.5 · 87.2Shooting52.0% · 47.7%3-point %36.5% · 30.4%Ball care14.8% · 15.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ FC Porto   ■ Sporting CP
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
FC Porto wins
2
Sporting CP wins
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AVitoria93-65
08/11/26HBraga81-76
03/11/26HJoventut Badalona64-81
31/10/26AOvarense76-78
25/10/26HCAB Madeira93-82
21/10/26ABnei Herzliya86-74
16/10/26AEsgueira95-91
11/10/26HBenfica93-86
07/10/26ABonn74-78
02/10/26ACA Queluz110-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCD Povoa94-69
11/11/26ARilski Sportist76-86
07/11/26HVitoria91-48
04/11/26AEsenler Erokspor70-106
01/11/26ABraga86-98
29/10/26AGence67-69
24/10/26HOvarense71-70
21/10/26HKolossos Rhodes71-69 OT
17/10/26ACAB Madeira84-93
14/10/26ASCM Craiova97-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game91.689.093.5
Allowed / game81.681.381.8
Point differential+10.0+7.7+11.8
Avg total173.1170.3175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sporting CP
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%100%0%
Points / game83.686.080.3
Allowed / game74.661.891.7
Point differential+9.0+24.2-11.3
Avg total158.1147.8172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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