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Real Madrid vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 95-85
23-24 27-22 24-24 21-15
Position#2
Record10-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game80.3
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
CSKA Moscow
Position#1
Record12-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game82.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16
European cup2016
Meetings · Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow
23 Dec 2021
MAD71
CMO65
18 Mar 2021
MAD89
CMO96
29 Nov 2018
MAD88
CMO93
19 Oct 2017
MAD82
CMO69
21 May 2017
MAD70
CMO94
06 Jan 2017
MAD95
CMO85
02 Mar 2016
MAD87
CMO96
20 Mar 2014
MAD93
CMO79
31 Jan 2013
MAD86
CMO78
06 Nov 2008
MAD54
CMO58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#12
W
92-76
92
76
+16
no box
H04/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
96-91
96
91
+5
126avg 117
H08/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
A11/12
ACB
Darussafaka
#9
L
68-81
68
81
-13
102avg 117
A15/12
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#14
W
106-59
106
59
+47
no box
H18/12
ACB
Bamberg
#13
W
95-72
95
72
+23
130avg 117
H20/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
70-82
70
82
-12
96avg 117
A22/12
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
A27/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
80-78
80
78
+2
109avg 117
A29/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
L
62-77
62
77
-15
no box
A03/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
24-20
24-19
21-25
25-22
24-27
25-20
22-22
22-13
26-25
17-24
20-15
20-17
11-18
13-17
24-29
20-22
28-18
33-8
25-11
24-9
23-16
25-15
23-32
19-20
16-23
16-19
19-20
28-23
18-18
23-19
16-26
21-22
16-14
24-27
19-15
19-20
8-12
15-33
20-12
161.8Avg total
83.9Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.980.3167.2+6.767%
Season at home (7)89.679.9169.4+9.786%
Season away (8)84.680.6165.2+4.050%
Last 10 (10)83.977.9161.8+6.060%
Last 5 (5)78.479.0157.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.474.8155.1+5.650%
vs Weaker (21)90.679.5170.1+11.081%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#13
W
90-88
90
88
+2
119avg 119
A01/12
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
A04/12
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
79-64
79
64
+15
108avg 119
A08/12
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#7
W
82-51
82
51
+31
no box
H11/12
VTB United League
Barcelona
#11
W
92-76
92
76
+16
119avg 119
H16/12
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#3
W
95-79
95
79
+16
no box
H18/12
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
105avg 119
A21/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#3
L
79-95 OT
79
95
-16
no box
H23/12
Euroleague
Enisey
#6
W
85-63
85
63
+22
no box
H26/12
VTB United League
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
67-78
67
78
-11
95avg 119
A29/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
24-14
20-28
29-30
21-10
20-26
16-26
17-21
21-23
15-15
30-16
13-10
23-8
25-9
17-19
17-15
24-11
20-31
27-23
21-11
29-22
30-24
17-20
19-13
16-31
26-15
16-13
22-17
23-13
18-23
18-22
16-17
21-15
19-21
24-11
21-16
14-27
20-21
22-16
11-14
157.6Avg total
82.3Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)88.782.1170.7+6.680%
Season at home (7)92.684.0176.6+8.686%
Season away (8)85.280.4165.6+4.975%
Last 10 (10)82.375.3157.6+7.070%
Last 5 (5)81.278.2159.4+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)91.090.0181.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker (29)89.677.8167.4+11.783%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
Real MadridCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H04/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H08/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A11/12
ACB
Darussafaka
#9
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A15/12
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#14
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H18/12
ACB
Bamberg
#13
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H20/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A22/12
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A27/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A29/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A03/01
ACB
78.6Avg total
41.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.982.8+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.740.886.5+4.973%-
Last 30 away (15)40.238.979.1+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)41.537.178.6+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.473.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.139.577.6-1.450%-
vs Weaker (21)44.539.784.2+4.967%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#13
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A01/12
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A04/12
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#16
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A08/12
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#7
W
48-17
48
17
+31
H11/12
VTB United League
Barcelona
#11
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H16/12
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#3
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H18/12
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A21/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H23/12
Euroleague
Enisey
#6
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H26/12
VTB United League
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A29/12
Euroleague
80.1Avg total
42.6Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.938.283.1+6.777%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.038.085.0+9.087%-
Last 30 away (15)42.838.481.2+4.467%-
Last 10 (10)42.637.580.1+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.485.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)49.038.087.0+11.0100%-
vs Weaker (29)44.838.283.0+6.676%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.6
50.6%
50.7%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.0
37.7%
37.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.615.0
80.6%
75.6%15.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.0
48.8%
50.7%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.79.7
42.7%
37.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws23.618.7
79.2%
75.6%18.7
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWLLWWLWWW
CSKA Moscow
LWLWWWWWLW
#2
League position
#1
+7.4
Net rating
+7.6
113.6
Offensive rating
112.5
106.2
Defensive rating
104.9
53.1%
Effective FG%
54.5%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
15.1%
Turnover %
18.3%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.38
37.7%
3-point %
42.7%
69.9%
Assist %
69.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 112.5Defence106.2 · 104.9Shooting53.1% · 54.5%3-point %37.7% · 42.7%Ball care15.1% · 18.3%Off. rebounds31.0% · 29.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Real Madrid wins
6
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
11/11/16CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid91-90
02/03/16Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow87-96
07/01/16CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid95-81
20/03/14Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow93-79
23/01/14CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid85-71
28/03/13CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid81-72
31/01/13Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow86-78 OT
17/12/08CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid78-82
06/11/08Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow54-58
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/17ABaskonia62-77
29/12/16AAnadolu Efes80-78
27/12/16AReal Betis85-86
22/12/16ACrvena zvezda70-82
20/12/16HBamberg95-72
18/12/16HObradoiro CAB106-59
15/12/16ADarussafaka68-81
11/12/16ABilbao85-77
08/12/16HZalgiris Kaunas96-91
04/12/16HFuenlabrada92-76
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/16ACrvena zvezda67-78
26/12/16HEnisey85-63
23/12/16HFenerbahce79-95 OT
21/12/16AMaccabi Tel Aviv80-76
18/12/16HKhimki M.95-79
16/12/16HBarcelona92-76
11/12/16HVEF Riga82-51
08/12/16AOlimpia Milano79-64
04/12/16ALokomotiv Kuban74-83
01/12/16ABamberg90-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%86%50%
Points / game86.989.684.6
Allowed / game80.379.980.6
Point differential+6.7+9.7+4.0
Avg total167.2169.4165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL80%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayLWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %80%86%75%
Points / game88.792.685.2
Allowed / game82.184.080.4
Point differential+6.6+8.6+4.9
Avg total170.7176.6165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1512380%88.782.1+6.6
2 Baskonia1611569%81.676.7+4.9
3 Olympiacos1611569%78.573.9+4.6
4 Real Madrid1510567%86.980.3+6.7
5 Fenerbahce1610662%77.276.7+0.6
6 Panathinaikos169756%78.575.7+2.8
7 Crvena zvezda168850%74.573.6+0.9
8 Anadolu Efes168850%84.284.4-0.1
9 Darussafaka168850%78.979.1-0.2
10 Bamberg167944%81.680.1+1.5
11 Barcelona167944%71.775.2-3.5
12 Zalgiris Kaunas1661038%79.982.0-2.1
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv1661038%80.984.5-3.6
14 Unics Kazan1661038%79.683.4-3.8
15 Olimpia Milano1641225%81.687.9-6.3
16 Galatasaray1641225%77.685.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2327242195
CSKA Moscow2422241585
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