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Panathinaikos vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 93-97 (OT)
15-14 14-19 19-23 20-12 25-29
Position#16
Record4-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Position#7
Record8-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game78.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14
European cup2020
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Real Madrid
03 Feb 2026
PAO82
MAD81
06 Mar 2025
PAO85
MAD70
07 Dec 2023
PAO78
MAD90
06 Oct 2022
PAO68
MAD71
31 Mar 2022
PAO87
MAD86
15 Dec 2020
PAO93
MAD97
23 Apr 2019
PAO82
MAD89
28 Mar 2019
PAO73
MAD74
19 Apr 2018
PAO82
MAD89
17 Apr 2018
PAO95
MAD67
24 Nov 2017
PAO82
MAD80
16 Mar 2017
PAO88
MAD82
20 Mar 2015
PAO85
MAD69
25 Jan 2013
PAO54
MAD58
15 Nov 2012
PAO79
MAD68
17 Dec 2009
PAO67
MAD76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
77-80
77
80
-3
70avg 74
H13/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
83-95
83
95
-12
83avg 74
A17/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
72-93
72
93
-21
60avg 74
A19/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
90-67
90
67
+23
85avg 74
H22/11
Basket League
Bayern
#5
W
83-76
83
76
+7
77avg 74
H27/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
73-97
73
97
-24
60avg 74
A01/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
80-77
80
77
+3
79avg 74
A03/12
Euroleague
Ionikos
#8
W
79-53
79
53
+26
78avg 74
A06/12
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
69-81
69
81
-12
61avg 74
H11/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
76-57
76
57
+19
75avg 74
H13/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
18-15
14-23
23-21
21-22
20-23
25-25
17-25
23-20
16-26
19-20
14-27
23-12
21-18
21-20
25-17
18-13
26-22
16-19
23-22
17-20
13-24
21-24
22-29
18-22
12-20
24-18
26-17
21-14
19-14
20-13
19-12
12-24
21-19
17-17
19-21
13-14
23-17
20-11
20-15
155.8Avg total
78.2Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.383.9162.2-5.633%
Season at home (6)77.578.7156.2-1.233%
Season away (6)79.289.2168.3-10.033%
Last 10 (10)78.277.6155.8+0.650%
Last 5 (5)75.473.0148.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)81.086.7167.7-5.729%
vs Similar (5)75.482.8158.2-7.420%
vs Weaker (18)93.372.8166.1+20.689%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
73-67
73
67
+6
69avg 80
A13/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
79-63
79
63
+16
78avg 80
H18/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
94-74
94
74
+20
97avg 80
H20/11
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
100-78
100
78
+22
98avg 80
H22/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
73-74
73
74
-1
64avg 80
A26/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
92-83
92
83
+9
93avg 80
H02/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
91-84
91
84
+7
83avg 80
H04/12
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
74-60
74
60
+14
67avg 80
A06/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
79-72
79
72
+7
74avg 80
H10/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 80
H13/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
15-16
23-11
14-14
29-18
16-14
17-18
17-13
28-12
21-24
23-15
22-23
25-18
22-22
26-18
27-20
20-17
18-18
17-23
18-16
25-19
15-24
28-15
24-25
19-26
21-24
21-20
30-14
17-16
17-13
22-12
18-19
24-21
12-10
23-11
20-30
20-16
17-17
30-25
24-26
158.5Avg total
84.6Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.478.2159.6+3.262%
Season at home (7)87.779.0166.7+8.786%
Season away (6)74.077.3151.3-3.333%
Last 10 (10)84.673.9158.5+10.790%
Last 5 (5)85.476.6162.0+8.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.079.0151.0-7.00%
vs Similar (9)80.978.0158.9+2.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.374.0161.3+13.3100%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
PanathinaikosReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H13/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A17/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A19/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H22/11
Basket League
Bayern
#5
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H27/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A01/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A03/12
Euroleague
Ionikos
#8
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A06/12
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H11/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H13/12
Basket League
75.7Avg total
37.7Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.139.083.2+5.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.736.680.2+7.175%-
Last 30 away (14)44.641.986.5+2.843%-
Last 10 (10)37.738.075.7-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.837.671.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.741.680.3-2.929%-
vs Similar (5)35.440.676.0-5.220%-
vs Weaker (18)48.737.686.3+11.183%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A13/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H18/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/11
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H22/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A26/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H04/12
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A06/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H10/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H13/12
ACB
77.3Avg total
40.2Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.077.8+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.739.180.8+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)39.835.074.8+4.860%-
Last 10 (10)40.237.177.3+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.274.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.048.075.0-21.00%-
vs Similar (9)41.737.979.6+3.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.735.876.5+4.958%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.2
51.2%
52.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.6
36.1%
38.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.313.2
72.1%
79.3%13.2
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.519.6
60.3%
52.7%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.9
36.4%
38.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.515.1
81.6%
79.3%15.1
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WLWWLWWLLL
Real Madrid
WWWWWLWWWW
#16
League position
#7
+1.1
Net rating
+16.1
107.9
Offensive rating
117.3
106.8
Defensive rating
101.2
52.4%
Effective FG%
57.7%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
18.4%
Turnover %
16.9%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.1%
3-point %
36.4%
65.1%
Assist %
60.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 117.3Defence106.8 · 101.2Shooting52.4% · 57.7%3-point %36.1% · 36.4%Ball care18.4% · 16.9%Off. rebounds31.0% · 27.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Panathinaikos wins
9
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/20HPeristeri76-57
11/12/20HZalgiris Kaunas69-81
06/12/20AIonikos79-53
03/12/20AOlimpia Milano80-77
01/12/20ALyon-Villeurbanne73-97
27/11/20HBayern83-76
22/11/20HKolossos Rhodes90-67
19/11/20ABaskonia72-93
17/11/20AValencia83-95
13/11/20HAnadolu Efes77-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/20HUnicaja91-84
10/12/20HZenit Petersburg79-72
06/12/20ASan Pablo Burgos74-60
04/12/20HLyon-Villeurbanne91-84
02/12/20HBaskonia92-83
26/11/20ACSKA Moscow73-74
22/11/20HManresa100-78
20/11/20HFenerbahce94-74
18/11/20HMaccabi Tel Aviv79-63
13/11/20ACrvena zvezda73-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game78.377.579.2
Allowed / game83.978.789.2
Point differential-5.6-1.2-10.0
Avg total162.2156.2168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%86%33%
Points / game81.487.774.0
Allowed / game78.279.077.3
Point differential+3.2+8.7-3.3
Avg total159.6166.7151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1411379%84.378.1+6.2
2 Barcelona1310377%81.371.8+9.5
3 Bayern139469%79.776.5+3.2
4 Zenit Petersburg117464%74.371.8+2.5
5 Real Madrid138562%81.478.2+3.2
6 Olimpia Milano138562%82.280.3+1.9
7 Valencia138562%81.981.2+0.7
8 Olympiacos127558%77.277.3-0.1
9 Zalgiris Kaunas147750%79.179.1+0.0
10 Anadolu Efes147750%77.378.2-0.9
11 Baskonia136746%78.574.8+3.7
12 Alba Berlin136746%78.882.4-3.6
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv135838%78.578.1+0.4
14 Fenerbahce145936%72.978.9-6.0
15 Panathinaikos124833%78.383.9-5.6
16 Crvena zvezda1441029%75.477.8-2.4
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne123925%73.877.7-3.9
18 Khimki M.1321115%79.588.3-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Panathinaikos151419202593
Real Madrid141923122997
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