Flamengo vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 83-70

26-20 21-16 25-19 11-15

Position#2

Record26-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game84.6

Allowed / game69.0

Flamengo 🏆

Paulistano

Position#5

Record19-10

FormWWWWL

Points / game76.8

Allowed / game73.6

NBB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Flamengo v Paulistano

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Paulistano winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Flamengo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bauru

66-54

+12

H13/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

82-71

+11

A16/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

77-78

-1

A18/02

NBB

Minas

79-78

H01/03

NBB

U. De Concepcion

92-64

+28

A05/03

Champions League Americas

U. De Concepcion

88-86

H09/03

Champions League Americas

Cerrado

#17

102-70

102

+32

A21/03

NBB

Brasilia

#15

109-75

109

+34

A23/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

96-68

+28

H27/03

NBB

Sao Paulo

79-70

H01/04

NBB

19-15

18-16

20-11

9-12

13-14

19-20

21-18

29-19

15-26

21-20

22-10

19-22

19-23

23-14

20-20

17-21

21-14

24-17

29-20

18-13

12-21

20-23

26-24

30-18

26-12

27-15

21-22

28-21

27-12

17-21

30-18

35-24

27-19

19-17

26-19

24-13

17-20

20-14

23-12

19-24

158.4Avg total

87.0Scored

71.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	84.6	69.0	153.6	+15.6	90%
Season at home (15)	82.1	65.8	147.9	+16.3	93%
Season away (14)	87.4	72.4	159.8	+14.9	86%
Last 10 (10)	87.0	71.4	158.4	+15.6	90%
Last 5 (5)	94.8	73.8	168.6	+21.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	69.5	73.0	142.5	-3.5	50%
vs Similar (1)	59.0	69.0	128.0	-10.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	87.9	68.7	156.6	+19.2	92%

This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Paulistano Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

81-82

-1

H31/01

NBB

Cearense

#14

80-78

H06/02

NBB

Unifacisa

85-68

+17

H09/02

NBB

Bauru

70-80

-10

A11/02

NBB

Pinheiros

74-67

A14/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

83-58

+25

H06/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

82-80

H09/03

NBB

Cerrado

#17

91-77

+14

H13/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

77-71

A23/03

NBB

Minas

70-105

105

-35

A03/04

NBB

30-25

25-25

20-20

6-12

27-20

16-20

23-12

14-26

14-18

29-13

22-15

20-22

19-18

24-19

13-20

14-23

23-21

14-22

11-13

26-11

18-15

21-13

26-13

18-17

20-17

23-18

12-18

27-27

23-18

14-21

23-21

31-17

18-13

23-28

22-16

14-14

18-22

19-20

17-30

16-33

155.9Avg total

79.3Scored

76.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	76.8	73.6	150.4	+3.1	66%
Season at home (14)	78.4	72.6	151.0	+5.7	71%
Season away (15)	75.3	74.5	149.8	+0.7	60%
Last 10 (10)	79.3	76.6	155.9	+2.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	78.2	158.8	+2.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	70.0	81.0	151.0	-11.0	0%
vs Similar (9)	72.6	76.6	149.1	-4.0	44%
vs Weaker (17)	80.2	70.8	150.9	+9.4	88%

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FlamengoPaulistano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	17.4	38.4	+3.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	17.5	37.2	+2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	17.3	39.6	+5.1	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	16.8	38.6	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	16.0	32.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	14.0	19.0	33.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.7	17.4	39.1	+4.3	69%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	17.6	37.1	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	18.1	39.1	+2.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	17.1	35.4	+1.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	18.7	39.7	+2.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.0	36.4	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	19.7	16.3	36.0	+3.3	67%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	67%	-
vs Weaker (17)	18.8	16.8	35.5	+2.0	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	17.2	37.5	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	16.7	36.9	+3.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	17.6	38.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	17.7	38.5	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.0	16.5	30.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	10.0	17.0	27.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.4	17.4	38.8	+4.0	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.7	38.1	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	18.7	37.1	-0.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	20.6	38.9	-2.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.9	40.7	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	16.3	21.3	37.7	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	16.6	20.0	36.6	-3.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.1	19.5	39.6	+0.5	41%	-

FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bauru

37-31

H13/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

32-34

-2

A16/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

36-46

-10

A18/02

NBB

Minas

42-37

H01/03

NBB

U. De Concepcion

45-31

+14

A05/03

Champions League Americas

U. De Concepcion

32-44

-12

H09/03

Champions League Americas

Cerrado

#17

53-27

+26

A21/03

NBB

Brasilia

#15

44-33

+11

A23/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

46-36

+10

H27/03

NBB

Sao Paulo

37-34

H01/04

NBB

75.7Avg total

40.4Scored

35.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	34.6	75.9	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.8	34.3	74.1	+5.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.9	34.9	77.7	+8.0	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	35.3	75.7	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	34.8	77.2	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	30.5	32.5	63.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	24.0	36.0	60.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	43.2	34.8	78.0	+8.3	85%	-

This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

55-50

H31/01

NBB

Cearense

#14

43-40

H06/02

NBB

Unifacisa

43-31

+12

H09/02

NBB

Bauru

43-37

A11/02

NBB

Pinheiros

37-43

-6

A14/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

39-28

+11

H06/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

43-35

H09/03

NBB

Cerrado

#17

37-39

-2

H13/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

41-41

A23/03

NBB

Minas

37-42

-5

A03/04

NBB

80.4Avg total

41.8Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	37.3	75.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.3	36.9	76.1	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.7	37.6	74.3	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	38.6	80.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	37.0	76.4	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	36.0	37.7	73.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.6	39.4	77.0	-1.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (17)	38.8	36.3	75.1	+2.5	65%	-

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	17.5	39.3	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	15.9	37.5	+5.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	19.1	41.1	+2.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	17.4	41.2	+6.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	19.0	44.2	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	100%	-
vs Similar (1)	17.0	13.0	30.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.4	17.6	40.0	+4.8	65%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.5	36.7	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	16.2	35.6	+3.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	18.6	37.8	+0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.8	36.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	14.7	22.0	36.7	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.9	19.3	37.2	-1.4	22%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.0	16.1	37.1	+4.9	82%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	16.8	38.8	+5.2	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	15.4	36.9	+6.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	18.1	40.6	+4.3	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	18.7	41.5	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	20.0	47.2	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	20.5	38.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.3	16.3	38.6	+6.0	85%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.7	37.7	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	19.4	38.6	-0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	18.1	36.9	+0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.6	42.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	19.3	21.3	40.7	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	16.4	17.4	33.9	-1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.4	18.4	38.7	+2.0	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	34.3	78.1	+9.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	31.3	74.5	+11.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.5	37.3	81.7	+7.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.6	36.1	82.7	+10.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.4	39.0	91.4	+13.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.0	40.5	79.5	-1.5	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	35.0	33.0	68.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	44.7	33.9	78.6	+10.8	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	36.2	74.4	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	35.6	74.2	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	36.7	74.6	+1.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	38.0	75.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	41.2	82.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	34.0	43.3	77.3	-9.3	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	34.3	36.8	71.1	-2.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (17)	41.4	34.5	75.8	+6.9	82%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Flamengo wins

Paulistano wins

Date	Game	Score
22/01/23	Flamengo v Paulistano	71-65
22/12/22	Paulistano v Flamengo	84-90
04/05/22	Paulistano v Flamengo	68-87
01/05/22	Paulistano v Flamengo	73-80
29/04/22	Flamengo v Paulistano	74-68 OT
18/03/22	Flamengo v Paulistano	73-70
15/01/22	Flamengo v Paulistano	71-68
11/11/21	Paulistano v Flamengo	87-81
15/05/21	Paulistano v Flamengo	58-69
12/05/21	Paulistano v Flamengo	75-81

Flamengolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/04/23	H	Sao Paulo	79-70
27/03/23	H	Sao Jose	96-68
23/03/23	A	Brasilia	109-75
21/03/23	A	Cerrado	102-70
09/03/23	H	U. De Concepcion	88-86
05/03/23	A	U. De Concepcion	92-64
01/03/23	H	Minas	79-78
18/02/23	A	Uniao Corinthians	77-78
16/02/23	A	Caxias do Sul	82-71
13/02/23	H	Bauru	66-54

Paulistanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/04/23	A	Minas	70-105
23/03/23	A	Sao Jose	77-71
13/03/23	H	Cerrado	91-77
09/03/23	H	Uniao Corinthians	82-80
06/03/23	H	Caxias do Sul	83-58
14/02/23	A	Pinheiros	74-67
11/02/23	A	Bauru	70-80
09/02/23	H	Unifacisa	85-68
06/02/23	H	Cearense	80-78
31/01/23	H	Corinthians Paulista	81-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	90%
Home	WWWWW	93%
Away	WWLWW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	90%	93%	86%
Points / game	84.6	82.1	87.4
Allowed / game	69.0	65.8	72.4
Point differential	+15.6	+16.3	+14.9
Avg total	153.6	147.9	159.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	66%	67%	64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Paulistano

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	66%
Home	WWWWW	71%
Away	WLWWL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	66%	71%	60%
Points / game	76.8	78.4	75.3
Allowed / game	73.6	72.6	74.5
Point differential	+3.1	+5.7	+0.7
Avg total	150.4	151.0	149.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	43%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	75% (4)	25% (4)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	30	30	0	100%	90.2	77.5	+12.7
2	Flamengo	29	26	3	90%	84.6	69.0	+15.6
3	Minas	30	21	9	70%	86.9	78.7	+8.2
4	Sao Paulo	30	21	9	70%	86.2	79.5	+6.7
5	Paulistano	29	19	10	66%	76.8	73.6	+3.1
6	Pinheiros	31	19	12	61%	80.8	78.1	+2.7
7	Bauru	30	17	13	57%	77.6	71.5	+6.1
8	Corinthians Paulista	30	15	15	50%	81.0	79.6	+1.4
9	Unifacisa	31	15	16	48%	77.6	79.8	-2.1
10	Sao Jose	31	14	17	45%	80.9	82.6	-1.8
11	Caxias do Sul	30	12	18	40%	73.7	76.1	-2.3
12	Uniao Corinthians	29	9	20	31%	79.0	82.3	-3.3
13	Cearense	29	8	21	28%	73.2	83.8	-10.6
14	Pato	30	8	22	27%	76.7	84.8	-8.1
15	Brasilia	29	7	22	24%	78.6	86.8	-8.2
16	Rio Claro	30	7	23	23%	76.5	87.9	-11.4
17	Cerrado	28	5	23	18%	82.6	92.1	-9.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Flamengo	26	21	25	11	83
Paulistano	20	16	19	15	70

← all games of the day

Flamengo vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature