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Flamengo vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 81-68
18-18 22-18 23-14 18-18
Position#2
Record25-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game73.7
Flamengo 🏆
Brazil
vs
Paulistano
Brazil
Position#7
Record18-11
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game71.5
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho
Other2023-24
Meetings · Flamengo v Paulistano
17 Dec 2026
FLAM v PAUL
upcoming
23 Mar 2026
FLAM84
PAUL79
06 Apr 2025
FLAM70
PAUL63
26 Mar 2024
FLAM81
PAUL68
31 Jan 2024
FLAM83
PAUL82
05 Apr 2023
FLAM83
PAUL70
22 Jan 2023
FLAM71
PAUL65
28 Apr 2022
FLAM74
PAUL68
18 Mar 2022
FLAM73
PAUL70
15 Jan 2022
FLAM71
PAUL68
10 May 2021
FLAM92
PAUL69
10 Dec 2020
FLAM104
PAUL76
22 Oct 2019
FLAM78
PAUL75
01 Feb 2019
FLAM95
PAUL87
03 Feb 2018
FLAM71
PAUL72
03 Dec 2016
FLAM81
PAUL72
04 Feb 2016
FLAM75
PAUL65
15 Jan 2015
FLAM97
PAUL81
31 May 2014
FLAM78
PAUL73
30 Nov 2013
FLAM80
PAUL58
04 May 2013
FLAM84
PAUL64
02 May 2013
FLAM80
PAUL76
24 Jan 2013
FLAM94
PAUL70
19 Nov 2011
FLAM88
PAUL78
19 Dec 2010
FLAM116
PAUL76
27 Mar 2009
FLAM105
PAUL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#10
W
87-79
87
79
+8
79avg 81
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
W
111-76
111
76
+35
112avg 81
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Cerrado
#17
W
86-83
86
83
+3
70avg 81
A15/02
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
86-74
86
74
+12
89avg 81
A17/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
77-49
77
49
+28
57avg 81
H29/02
NBB
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
113-80
113
80
+33
109avg 81
A04/03
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
80-67
80
67
+13
73avg 81
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#10
W
69-67
69
67
+2
63avg 81
H12/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
72-74
72
74
-2
72avg 81
A19/03
NBB
Franca
#1
W
88-73
88
73
+15
83avg 81
A21/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
20-18
20-15
26-26
31-22
22-12
23-24
35-18
25-19
23-24
22-22
16-18
20-28
19-11
23-14
24-21
20-5
14-12
25-13
18-19
37-22
25-17
30-27
21-14
22-18
19-19
27-17
12-13
15-20
16-7
19-23
19-17
29-19
15-17
11-21
17-17
36-19
16-20
16-12
20-22
159.1Avg total
86.9Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)84.973.7158.7+11.283%
Season at home (14)86.569.1155.6+17.493%
Season away (16)83.677.8161.3+5.875%
Last 10 (10)86.972.2159.1+14.790%
Last 5 (5)84.472.2156.6+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)83.080.3163.3+2.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)86.274.2160.3+12.088%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
L
71-90
71
90
-19
55avg 68
A23/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
76-62
76
62
+14
73avg 68
A28/01
Super 8
Flamengo
#1
L
82-83
82
83
-1
69avg 68
A31/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#6
W
75-69
75
69
+6
68avg 68
A08/02
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
64-51
64
51
+13
54avg 68
A10/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
80-51
80
51
+29
78avg 68
H16/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
71-81
71
81
-10
69avg 68
H02/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
73-83
73
83
-10
60avg 68
A09/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
70-72
70
72
-2
57avg 68
A11/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
106-72
106
72
+34
109avg 68
H20/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-31
16-16
24-26
19-17
25-15
19-14
14-18
18-15
20-22
10-18
19-16
33-27
25-23
16-14
11-20
23-12
24-11
14-17
8-13
18-10
26-17
19-13
19-12
16-9
17-19
19-30
18-12
17-20
17-17
20-28
14-25
22-13
18-23
14-23
18-9
20-17
23-23
32-10
26-15
25-24
148.2Avg total
76.8Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.271.5146.7+3.762%
Season at home (15)77.872.6150.4+5.260%
Season away (14)72.470.4142.7+2.064%
Last 10 (10)76.871.4148.2+5.450%
Last 5 (5)80.071.8151.8+8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)72.283.2155.5-11.00%
vs Similar (10)71.470.0141.4+1.450%
vs Weaker (15)80.669.0149.6+11.687%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +4.7+4.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +4.7+4.7
FlamengoPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Cerrado
#17
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A15/02
NBB
Brasilia
#19
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A17/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
34-17
34
17
+17
H29/02
NBB
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
62-39
62
39
+23
A04/03
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#10
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H12/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A19/03
NBB
Franca
#1
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A21/03
NBB
79.4Avg total
44.5Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.236.080.2+8.180%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.233.979.1+11.386%-
Last 30 away (16)43.237.981.1+5.475%-
Last 10 (10)44.534.979.4+9.690%-
Last 5 (5)46.035.681.6+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)43.039.382.3+3.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.935.879.7+8.081%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A23/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A28/01
Super 8
Flamengo
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A31/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A08/02
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A10/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H16/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H02/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A09/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A11/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H20/03
NBB
77.0Avg total
38.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.435.173.5+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.834.974.7+4.960%-
Last 30 away (15)36.935.372.3+1.667%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.477.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.681.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)33.844.278.0-10.50%-
vs Similar (10)36.635.271.8+1.460%-
vs Weaker (15)40.433.073.4+7.480%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.920.9
58.2%
51.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.4
35.1%
33.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.613.6
73.1%
72.6%13.6
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.217.9
48.1%
51.8%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.3
35.0%
33.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws16.411.7
71.3%
72.6%11.7
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WLWWWWWWWW
Paulistano
WLLLWWWLWL
#2
League position
#7
+20.7
Net rating
+5.1
118.8
Offensive rating
104.9
98.1
Defensive rating
99.7
55.7%
Effective FG%
49.9%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.2%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.1%
3-point %
35.0%
62.6%
Assist %
61.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.8 · 104.9Defence98.1 · 99.7Shooting55.7% · 49.9%3-point %35.1% · 35.0%Ball care15.3% · 15.2%Off. rebounds32.0% · 27.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Flamengo   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Flamengo wins
0
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
31/01/24Flamengo v Paulistano83-82
05/12/23Paulistano v Flamengo72-77
05/04/23Flamengo v Paulistano83-70
22/01/23Flamengo v Paulistano71-65
22/12/22Paulistano v Flamengo84-90
04/05/22Paulistano v Flamengo68-87
01/05/22Paulistano v Flamengo73-80
29/04/22Flamengo v Paulistano74-68 OT
18/03/22Flamengo v Paulistano73-70
15/01/22Flamengo v Paulistano71-68
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/24AFranca88-73
19/03/24ABauru72-74
12/03/24HSao Jose69-67
07/03/24HObras Sanitarias80-67
04/03/24AObras Sanitarias113-80
29/02/24HMogi77-49
17/02/24ABrasilia86-74
15/02/24ACerrado86-83
11/02/24HHebraica y Macabi111-76
10/02/24ABoca Juniors87-79
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/24HUniao Corinthians106-72
11/03/24AMinas70-72
09/03/24APato73-83
02/03/24HCorinthians Paulista71-81
16/02/24HPinheiros80-51
10/02/24ACearense64-51
08/02/24AUnifacisa75-69
31/01/24AFlamengo82-83
28/01/24AVasco76-62
23/01/24ASao Paulo71-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %83%93%75%
Points / game84.986.583.6
Allowed / game73.769.177.8
Point differential+11.2+17.4+5.8
Avg total158.7155.6161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%71%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %10%0%19%
Paulistano
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW62%
HomeLLWLW60%
AwayLWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %62%60%64%
Points / game75.277.872.4
Allowed / game71.572.670.4
Point differential+3.7+5.2+2.0
Avg total146.7150.4142.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%47%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3025583%87.675.7+11.9
2 Flamengo3025583%84.973.7+11.2
3 Minas3123874%85.974.2+11.7
4 Vasco3022873%76.772.8+3.8
5 Bauru32211166%80.979.0+1.9
6 Unifacisa32201262%84.079.4+4.6
7 Paulistano29181162%75.271.5+3.7
8 Corinthians Paulista30171357%80.778.3+2.5
9 Cearense31171455%79.176.9+2.3
10 Sao Jose32171553%79.377.1+2.3
11 Sao Paulo30151550%78.479.5-1.1
12 Pinheiros30131743%75.478.1-2.7
13 Pato31131842%77.579.7-2.2
14 Uniao Corinthians31102132%74.583.4-8.8
15 Cerrado3082227%75.076.4-1.4
16 Botafogo3492526%79.187.9-8.8
17 Caxias do Sul3182326%71.880.0-8.2
18 Mogi3282425%74.080.1-6.1
19 Brasilia3042613%72.687.8-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo1822231881
Paulistano1818141868
← all games of the day
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