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Flamengo vs Paulistano Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 17 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record5-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game73.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
2.9/10
🧊 Cold
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#13
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game73.9
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho
Other2026-27
Meetings · Flamengo v Paulistano
17 Dec 2026
FLAM v PAUL
upcoming
23 Mar 2026
FLAM84
PAUL79
06 Apr 2025
FLAM70
PAUL63
26 Mar 2024
FLAM81
PAUL68
31 Jan 2024
FLAM83
PAUL82
05 Apr 2023
FLAM83
PAUL70
22 Jan 2023
FLAM71
PAUL65
28 Apr 2022
FLAM74
PAUL68
18 Mar 2022
FLAM73
PAUL70
15 Jan 2022
FLAM71
PAUL68
10 May 2021
FLAM92
PAUL69
10 Dec 2020
FLAM104
PAUL76
22 Oct 2019
FLAM78
PAUL75
01 Feb 2019
FLAM95
PAUL87
03 Feb 2018
FLAM71
PAUL72
03 Dec 2016
FLAM81
PAUL72
04 Feb 2016
FLAM75
PAUL65
15 Jan 2015
FLAM97
PAUL81
31 May 2014
FLAM78
PAUL73
30 Nov 2013
FLAM80
PAUL58
04 May 2013
FLAM84
PAUL64
02 May 2013
FLAM80
PAUL76
24 Jan 2013
FLAM94
PAUL70
19 Nov 2011
FLAM88
PAUL78
19 Dec 2010
FLAM116
PAUL76
27 Mar 2009
FLAM105
PAUL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
90-98
90
98
-8
78avg 78
H10/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
96-88
96
88
+8
84avg 78
A13/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
69-72
69
72
-3
60avg 78
A15/05
NBB
Bauru
#11
L
81-82
81
82
-1
78avg 78
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 78
H20/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
77-59
77
59
+18
no box
H30/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
83-65
83
65
+18
35avg 78
H01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A04/11
NBB
Pato
#15
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
A07/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H10/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
26-24
23-31
17-23
23-23
26-19
25-27
22-19
12-21
22-22
19-14
16-15
19-20
17-23
22-18
23-21
22-14
27-22
20-21
12-14
17-15
18-12
28-9
14-23
19-19
20-13
18-21
26-12
33-25
26-21
14-27
18-14
24-18
16-19
24-13
16-16
17-19
21-28
12-17
23-20
159.3Avg total
82.1Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.973.4154.3+7.471%
Season at home (5)79.072.2151.2+6.860%
Season away (2)85.576.5162.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.177.2159.3+4.960%
Last 5 (5)80.872.2153.0+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.287.2162.5-12.050%
vs Similar (9)82.783.3166.0-0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.877.1165.8+11.776%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
92-101 OT
92
101
-9
77avg 72
A04/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
54avg 72
H07/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
59avg 72
H09/05
NBB
Pato
#15
W
80-74
80
74
+6
70avg 72
A21/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
L
73-91
73
91
-18
50avg 72
A24/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
65-62
65
62
+3
48avg 72
H28/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
H30/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
63-71
63
71
-8
no box
A04/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
58-65
58
65
-7
no box
A07/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
65-79
65
79
-14
no box
A13/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
24-26
22-24
20-23
24-20
14-16
24-28
6-12
23-18
12-24
18-18
21-24
13-10
20-18
30-13
17-33
22-29
16-25
16-18
19-19
20-14
16-12
22-21
7-15
26-23
26-12
16-21
15-19
19-22
16-18
15-20
13-11
15-18
14-10
16-25
13-12
22-26
20-16
7-17
16-20
149.9Avg total
72.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.673.9143.4-4.343%
Season at home (2)74.068.5142.5+5.5100%
Season away (5)67.876.0143.8-8.220%
Last 10 (10)72.177.8149.9-5.730%
Last 5 (5)66.870.4137.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.882.0156.8-7.222%
vs Similar (10)83.681.0164.6+2.670%
vs Weaker (11)84.074.5158.5+9.573%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -4.1-4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -4.1-4.1
FlamengoPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H10/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A13/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A15/05
NBB
Bauru
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H30/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A04/11
NBB
Pato
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A07/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H10/11
NBB
82.6Avg total
42.9Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.784.4+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.539.484.9+6.169%-
Last 30 away (14)41.842.183.9-0.364%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.782.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.880.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.045.883.8-7.850%-
vs Similar (9)42.142.684.7-0.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.038.584.5+7.582%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A04/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/05
NBB
Pato
#15
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A21/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A24/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H28/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H30/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A04/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A07/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A13/11
NBB
75.8Avg total
38.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.679.8+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.237.882.1+6.477%-
Last 30 away (17)38.839.278.0-0.541%-
Last 10 (10)38.537.375.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.834.273.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.940.979.8-2.033%-
vs Similar (10)43.038.381.3+4.760%-
vs Weaker (11)41.337.178.4+4.273%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.0
56.4%
49.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.510.6
32.6%
31.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.811.5
68.5%
71.3%11.5
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.416.9
49.1%
49.8%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.2
33.7%
31.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.111.9
73.9%
71.3%11.9
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
LWWWWWLLWL
Paulistano
LLLWWLWLLL
#4
League position
#13
+8.7
Net rating
+2.1
95.1
Offensive rating
89.1
86.5
Defensive rating
87.0
52.7%
Effective FG%
49.8%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
14.3%
Turnover %
17.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.6%
3-point %
33.7%
63.9%
Assist %
49.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 89.1Defence86.5 · 87.0Shooting52.7% · 49.8%3-point %32.6% · 33.7%Ball care14.3% · 17.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Flamengo   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Flamengo wins
0
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
23/03/26Flamengo v Paulistano84-79
15/11/25Paulistano v Flamengo80-82
06/04/25Flamengo v Paulistano70-63
23/12/24Paulistano v Flamengo75-89
26/03/24Flamengo v Paulistano81-68
31/01/24Flamengo v Paulistano83-82
05/12/23Paulistano v Flamengo72-77
05/04/23Flamengo v Paulistano83-70
22/01/23Flamengo v Paulistano71-65
22/12/22Paulistano v Flamengo84-90
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HFranca73-84
07/11/26APato80-66
04/11/26ABrasilia91-87
01/11/26HUniao Corinthians83-65
30/10/26HCaxias do Sul77-59
20/10/26HBotafogo81-71
18/10/26HBauru81-82
15/05/26ABrasilia69-72
13/05/26ABrasilia96-88
10/05/26HBrasilia90-98
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ASao Jose65-79
07/11/26ACearense58-65
04/11/26AUnifacisa63-71
30/10/26HBauru83-75
28/10/26HFranca65-62
24/10/26ABrasilia73-91
21/10/26APato80-74
09/05/26HPinheiros74-84
07/05/26HPinheiros68-76
04/05/26APinheiros92-101 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%60%100%
Points / game80.979.085.5
Allowed / game73.472.276.5
Point differential+7.4+6.8+9.0
Avg total154.3151.2162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paulistano
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%100%20%
Points / game69.674.067.8
Allowed / game73.968.576.0
Point differential-4.3+5.5-8.2
Avg total143.4142.5143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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