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FMP Beograd vs Borac Mozzart Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-72
26-19 19-22 28-18 13-13
Position#11
Record6-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#10
Record8-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game83.3
EuropeABA LeagueRound 21· Belgrade
Domestic2023
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Borac Mozzart
22 Jan 2027
FBE v BOR
upcoming
02 Feb 2026
FBE73
BOR82
06 Oct 2024
FBE74
BOR67
08 May 2024
FBE111
BOR90
02 Mar 2024
FBE86
BOR72
13 Jan 2023
FBE107
BOR81
26 Mar 2022
FBE90
BOR82
18 Feb 2022
FBE88
BOR77
27 May 2021
FBE67
BOR77
02 Nov 2020
FBE93
BOR87
01 May 2019
FBE89
BOR69
03 Jun 2018
FBE77
BOR56
29 May 2018
FBE71
BOR69
12 May 2017
FBE83
BOR61
05 Mar 2016
FBE88
BOR62
12 Dec 2014
FBE79
BOR74
17 Apr 2014
FBE85
BOR66
14 Dec 2013
FBE85
BOR76
20 Nov 2010
FBE89
BOR64
19 May 2010
FBE96
BOR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Borac Mozzart winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Zadar
#6
L
77-92
77
92
-15
68avg 72
H15/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
77-75
77
75
+2
63avg 72
A23/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
73avg 72
A29/12
ABA League
Cibona
#12
L
72-77
72
77
-5
65avg 72
H05/01
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
72-86
72
86
-14
71avg 72
A14/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
54-87
54
87
-33
43avg 72
A21/01
ABA League
Split
#8
L
66-78
66
78
-12
57avg 72
A29/01
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
78-64
78
64
+14
75avg 72
H04/02
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
74-82
74
82
-8
57avg 72
A10/02
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
64avg 72
A14/02
Korac cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
22-21
14-26
15-22
19-19
22-22
20-11
16-23
17-18
21-16
15-27
28-20
18-24
18-20
17-16
19-17
18-23
14-23
18-22
22-18
13-26
19-20
14-18
8-23
18-18
9-12
26-18
13-30
19-15
29-22
16-9
14-18
15-21
20-21
20-16
19-24
16-17
20-23
19-18
20-22
154.2Avg total
73.4Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.785.0161.7-8.230%
Season at home (10)78.486.4164.8-8.020%
Season away (10)75.083.5158.5-8.540%
Last 10 (10)73.480.8154.2-7.430%
Last 5 (5)69.478.2147.6-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.588.7162.2-15.28%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.278.2157.4+1.060%
vs Weaker (5)87.684.2171.8+3.460%
This opponent (Borac Mozzart) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Borac MozzartLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMozzart
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#13
W
79-71
79
71
+8
72avg 72
H16/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
80-89
80
89
-9
60avg 72
A24/12
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
101-97 OT
101
97
+4
99avg 72
A28/12
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
78-94
78
94
-16
60avg 72
H08/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
74-90
74
90
-16
65avg 72
A14/01
ABA League
Split
#8
W
93-83
93
83
+10
77avg 72
H19/01
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
62-78
62
78
-16
50avg 72
A27/01
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
65-74
65
74
-9
56avg 72
H03/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
84-86
84
86
-2
71avg 72
A11/02
ABA League
Cacak 94
#4
L
64-73
64
73
-9
52avg 72
H14/02
Korac cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
16-14
16-21
19-20
20-23
24-27
21-19
15-20
20-20
20-23
22-19
24-24
18-30
20-13
21-25
19-26
18-35
26-16
18-22
12-17
29-28
19-19
18-19
27-17
17-23
13-14
18-17
14-24
16-21
16-18
16-13
17-22
21-16
24-26
19-24
20-20
21-15
17-20
11-26
15-12
161.5Avg total
78.0Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.483.3161.8-4.940%
Season at home (10)80.280.1160.3+0.150%
Season away (10)76.686.6163.2-10.030%
Last 10 (10)78.083.5161.5-5.530%
Last 5 (5)73.678.8152.4-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.087.6162.6-12.622%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.781.2162.9+0.555%
vs Weaker (9)88.880.4169.2+8.367%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
FMP BeogradBorac Mozzart
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H15/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A23/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A29/12
ABA League
Cibona
#12
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H05/01
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A14/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A21/01
ABA League
Split
#8
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A29/01
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H04/02
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A10/02
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A14/02
Korac cup
77.7Avg total
37.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.942.480.2-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.242.381.5-3.146%-
Last 30 away (17)36.842.479.2-5.624%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.477.7-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.074.6-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.845.080.8-9.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.340.577.8-3.230%-
vs Weaker (5)44.641.285.8+3.460%-
This opponent (Borac Mozzart) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Borac MozzartLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#13
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H16/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A24/12
ABA League
Cibona
#12
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A28/12
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H08/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A14/01
ABA League
Split
#8
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H19/01
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A27/01
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H03/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A11/02
ABA League
Cacak 94
#4
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H14/02
Korac cup
82.0Avg total
40.3Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.382.7+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.638.880.4+2.856%-
Last 30 away (14)41.044.285.2-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)40.341.782.0-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.078.6-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.145.083.1-6.911%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.739.981.6+1.845%-
vs Weaker (9)44.440.184.6+4.367%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.3
49.4%
54.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.9
28.2%
34.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.213.5
70.3%
73.8%13.5
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Borac Mozzarttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Borac Mozzart: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.3
50.6%
54.3%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.1
33.8%
34.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.812.5
66.5%
73.8%12.5
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LLWLLLLWWL
Borac Mozzart
LLLLWLLWLW
#11
League position
#10
-10.6
Net rating
-6.6
96.2
Offensive rating
102.4
106.8
Defensive rating
109.1
46.6%
Effective FG%
50.6%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
16.7%
Turnover %
14.7%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.2%
3-point %
33.8%
55.0%
Assist %
52.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 102.4Defence106.8 · 109.1Shooting46.6% · 50.6%3-point %28.2% · 33.8%Ball care16.7% · 14.7%Off. rebounds26.4% · 22.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Borac Mozzart
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
FMP Beograd wins
4
Borac Mozzart wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/24ACrvena zvezda75-80
10/02/24ACedevita Olimpija74-82
04/02/24HIgokea78-64
29/01/24ASplit66-78
21/01/24ACrvena zvezda54-87
14/01/24AMega Basket72-86
05/01/24HCibona72-77
29/12/23AKK Krka Novo mesto89-87 OT
23/12/23AMornar Bar77-75
15/12/23HZadar77-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/24HCacak 9464-73
11/02/24AStudentski Centar84-86
03/02/24HCedevita Olimpija65-74
27/01/24AIgokea62-78
19/01/24HSplit93-83
14/01/24ACrvena zvezda74-90
08/01/24HMega Basket78-94
28/12/23ACibona101-97 OT
24/12/23AKK Krka Novo mesto80-89
16/12/23HMornar Bar79-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game76.778.475.0
Allowed / game85.086.483.5
Point differential-8.2-8.0-8.5
Avg total161.7164.8158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)0% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %10%10%10%
Borac Mozzart
ABA League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL40%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%50%30%
Points / game78.480.276.6
Allowed / game83.380.186.6
Point differential-5.0+0.1-10.0
Avg total161.8160.3163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)-60% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2017385%87.372.8+14.5
2 Buducnost2015575%84.876.1+8.7
3 Partizan2014670%92.874.8+18.0
4 Cedevita Olimpija2014670%85.882.7+3.1
5 Zadar2112957%79.176.5+2.6
6 Igokea2011955%78.881.6-2.8
7 Mega Basket20101050%85.082.8+2.2
8 Studentski Centar20101050%85.885.2+0.7
9 Split2191243%75.879.7-3.9
10 Borac Mozzart2081240%78.483.3-5.0
11 Cibona2071335%79.084.8-5.8
12 FMP Beograd2061430%76.785.0-8.2
13 KK Krka Novo mesto2041620%73.885.5-11.6
14 Mornar Bar2041620%76.789.1-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd2619281386
Borac Mozzart1922181372
← all games of the day
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