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Mega Basket vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 86-72
23-18 23-14 22-18 18-22
Position#4
Record8-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#11
Record5-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game86.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 16· Hala sportova Ranko
Domestic2023
Meetings · Mega Basket v FMP Beograd
28 Mar 2026
MEG79
FBE84
18 May 2025
MEG81
FBE86
29 Sep 2024
MEG83
FBE80
14 Jan 2024
MEG86
FBE72
04 Jun 2023
MEG72
FBE75
08 Jan 2023
MEG77
FBE72
24 Oct 2021
MEG82
FBE89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Zadar
#6
W
91-81
91
81
+10
97avg 81
H05/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
99-65
99
65
+34
92avg 81
A12/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
72-77
72
77
-5
60avg 81
H19/11
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
83-69
83
69
+14
71avg 81
A24/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
82-89
82
89
-7
65avg 81
A04/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
88-98
88
98
-10
81avg 81
H11/12
ABA League
Split
#8
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 81
A18/12
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
92-76
92
76
+16
98avg 81
H25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
97-86
97
86
+11
94avg 81
H31/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
94-78
94
78
+16
103avg 81
A08/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
25-18
15-26
25-20
23-16
23-24
23-6
30-19
21-13
21-19
19-27
11-18
15-18
20-11
23-20
25-20
17-17
19-29
24-13
22-30
27-22
13-26
30-20
18-30
20-24
27-21
10-17
16-26
19-24
22-13
30-16
21-23
14-23
24-18
27-21
32-24
30-18
13-20
25-21
26-19
167.8Avg total
87.1Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.981.2167.1+4.753%
Season at home (7)88.184.9173.0+3.357%
Season away (8)84.078.0162.0+6.050%
Last 10 (10)87.180.7167.8+6.460%
Last 5 (5)88.885.2174.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.586.2164.8-7.812%
vs Similar (9)85.284.1169.3+1.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.576.8163.2+9.769%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Igokea
#7
W
74-73
74
73
+1
69avg 74
A06/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
84-96
84
96
-12
66avg 74
H11/11
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
75-96
75
96
-21
56avg 74
A18/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
86-99
86
99
-13
74avg 74
H26/11
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
61-105
61
105
-44
38avg 74
H02/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 74
A09/12
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
77-92
77
92
-15
68avg 74
H15/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
77-75
77
75
+2
63avg 74
A23/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
73avg 74
A29/12
ABA League
Cibona
#12
L
72-77
72
77
-5
65avg 74
H05/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
18-20
20-21
23-16
25-26
17-32
27-22
15-16
16-24
17-25
17-22
25-25
16-16
28-25
23-29
19-29
10-23
9-30
14-26
28-26
15-16
20-23
17-22
24-21
26-23
22-21
14-26
15-22
19-19
22-22
20-11
16-23
17-18
21-16
15-27
28-20
18-24
18-20
17-16
19-17
165.3Avg total
77.1Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.386.8166.1-7.533%
Season at home (9)78.488.9167.3-10.411%
Season away (6)80.783.7164.3-3.067%
Last 10 (10)77.188.2165.3-11.130%
Last 5 (5)78.282.6160.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.389.9167.2-12.618%
vs Similar (10)82.782.3165.0+0.460%
vs Weaker (8)93.682.2175.9+11.475%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
Mega BasketFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#6
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H05/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A12/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H19/11
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A24/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A04/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H11/12
ABA League
Split
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A18/12
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H31/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A08/01
ABA League
81.0Avg total
41.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.682.4+1.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.539.382.8+4.373%-
Last 30 away (15)40.042.082.0-2.053%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.181.0+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.883.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.843.080.8-5.225%-
vs Similar (9)41.842.684.3-0.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.237.882.1+6.492%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#7
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A06/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H11/11
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A18/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H26/11
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
19-53
19
53
-34
H02/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A09/12
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H15/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A23/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A29/12
ABA League
Cibona
#12
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H05/01
ABA League
80.6Avg total
36.7Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.843.183.9-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.342.885.1-0.559%-
Last 30 away (13)38.843.582.3-4.831%-
Last 10 (10)36.743.980.6-7.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.480.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.345.383.5-7.036%-
vs Similar (10)38.843.282.0-4.430%-
vs Weaker (8)46.941.188.0+5.875%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.2
55.5%
54.3%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.4
35.4%
34.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.414.5
71.1%
73.8%14.5
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.618.9
47.7%
54.3%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.3
28.3%
34.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws23.716.4
69.2%
73.8%16.4
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
WWWLLLWLWW
FMP Beograd
LWWLLLLLLW
#4
League position
#11
+7.8
Net rating
-14.3
111.3
Offensive rating
96.2
103.5
Defensive rating
110.5
54.7%
Effective FG%
45.6%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
16.9%
Turnover %
16.7%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.4%
3-point %
28.3%
63.3%
Assist %
53.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 96.2Defence103.5 · 110.5Shooting54.7% · 45.6%3-point %35.4% · 28.3%Ball care16.9% · 16.7%Off. rebounds31.0% · 26.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Mega Basket   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mega Basket wins
4
FMP Beograd wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/24ABorac Mozzart94-78
31/12/23HCedevita Olimpija97-86
25/12/23HIgokea92-76
18/12/23ASplit73-88
11/12/23HCrvena zvezda88-98
04/12/23AStudentski Centar82-89
24/11/23ACibona83-69
19/11/23HKK Krka Novo mesto72-77
12/11/23AMornar Bar99-65
05/11/23HZadar91-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24HCibona72-77
29/12/23AKK Krka Novo mesto89-87 OT
23/12/23AMornar Bar77-75
15/12/23HZadar77-92
09/12/23ABuducnost76-82
02/12/23HPartizan61-105
26/11/23HStudentski Centar86-99
18/11/23ABorac Mozzart75-96
11/11/23HCedevita Olimpija84-96
06/11/23AIgokea74-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW53%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%57%50%
Points / game85.988.184.0
Allowed / game81.284.978.0
Point differential+4.7+3.3+6.0
Avg total167.1173.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%43%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
FMP Beograd
ABA League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeLLLLL11%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %33%11%67%
Points / game79.378.480.7
Allowed / game86.888.983.7
Point differential-7.5-10.4-3.0
Avg total166.1167.3164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)0% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %13%11%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1513287%88.573.7+14.8
2 Partizan1511473%93.775.1+18.5
3 Cedevita Olimpija1611569%86.084.9+1.1
4 Buducnost1510567%83.678.1+5.5
5 Igokea159660%81.280.5+0.7
6 Mega Basket158753%85.981.2+4.7
7 Zadar168850%81.178.6+2.5
8 Studentski Centar157847%85.785.9-0.2
9 Borac Mozzart157847%79.383.7-4.4
10 Split167944%76.380.6-4.2
11 Cibona156940%79.584.7-5.3
12 FMP Beograd1551033%79.386.8-7.5
13 KK Krka Novo mesto1531220%75.786.2-10.5
14 Mornar Bar1621412%74.789.4-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket2323221886
FMP Beograd1814182272
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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