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Mega Basket vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 83-80
17-24 21-21 19-17 26-18
Position#9
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#11
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game62.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 2· Hala sportova Ranko
Domestic2024
Meetings · Mega Basket v FMP Beograd
28 Mar 2026
MEG79
FBE84
18 May 2025
MEG81
FBE86
29 Sep 2024
MEG83
FBE80
14 Jan 2024
MEG86
FBE72
04 Jun 2023
MEG72
FBE75
08 Jan 2023
MEG77
FBE72
24 Oct 2021
MEG82
FBE89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Split
#8
W
92-78
92
78
+14
87avg 78
H31/03
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
92-78
92
78
+14
96avg 78
A06/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
119-98
119
98
+21
118avg 78
H15/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
85-71
85
71
+14
77avg 78
A21/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
73-103
73
103
-30
60avg 78
A03/05
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
69-94
69
94
-25
62avg 78
H07/05
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
72-82
72
82
-10
53avg 78
A24/05
Super League
Partizan
#4
W
92-88
92
88
+4
72avg 78
H27/05
Super League
Partizan
#4
L
68-96
68
96
-28
39avg 78
A30/05
Super League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
80-70
80
70
+10
72avg 78
A22/09
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
27-17
25-19
18-17
23-17
24-28
20-15
25-18
27-23
30-29
37-22
25-24
22-22
23-19
21-19
19-11
20-27
13-25
22-26
18-25
26-19
11-28
16-29
16-18
22-22
20-18
13-23
17-19
18-28
23-19
26-15
25-26
9-39
22-8
16-23
21-26
16-19
23-14
18-16
23-21
170.0Avg total
84.2Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.070.0150.0+10.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)80.070.0150.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.285.8170.0-1.660%
Last 5 (5)76.286.0162.2-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.194.2172.3-16.122%
vs Similar (5)92.682.0174.6+10.680%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.078.2166.2+9.880%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
W
84-76
84
76
+8
79avg 79
H21/03
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
75-72
75
72
+3
63avg 79
A28/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
111-94
111
94
+17
110avg 79
H06/04
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
77-68
77
68
+9
425avg 79
H20/04
Super League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
93-65
93
65
+28
71avg 79
A27/04
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#3
W
90-87
90
87
+3
63avg 79
A04/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#3
W
111-90
111
90
+21
98avg 79
H08/05
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
87-97
87
97
-10
58avg 79
A24/05
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
75-98
75
98
-23
52avg 79
H27/05
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
75-62
75
62
+13
63avg 79
H22/09
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
17-24
26-14
20-24
25-21
9-19
22-15
19-17
28-25
22-26
28-27
33-16
22-21
19-13
29-14
7-20
22-14
26-23
19-19
26-9
25-21
26-16
20-29
19-21
21-22
33-25
30-24
27-19
13-27
29-18
23-25
22-27
13-24
17-26
28-22
17-26
21-20
12-20
26-8
16-14
168.7Avg total
87.8Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.062.0137.0+13.0100%
Season at home (1)75.062.0137.0+13.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.880.9168.7+6.980%
Last 5 (5)87.686.8174.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.887.7162.5-12.920%
vs Similar (9)81.878.1159.9+3.767%
vs Weaker (5)89.477.8167.2+11.6100%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
Mega BasketFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H31/03
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A06/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H15/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A21/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A03/05
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H07/05
ABA League
Partizan
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A24/05
Super League
Partizan
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H27/05
Super League
Partizan
#4
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A30/05
Super League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A22/09
ABA League
86.7Avg total
42.1Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.743.785.4-2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.943.986.8-0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)40.543.583.9-3.060%-
Last 10 (10)42.144.686.7-2.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.880.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.648.786.2-11.111%-
vs Similar (5)44.441.886.2+2.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.540.483.9+3.187%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H21/03
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A28/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H06/04
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H20/04
Super League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A27/04
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#3
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A04/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#3
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H08/05
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A24/05
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H27/05
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H22/09
ABA League
84.0Avg total
42.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.880.3-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.943.584.4-2.650%-
Last 30 away (16)36.640.276.8-3.719%-
Last 10 (10)42.141.984.0+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.885.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.644.379.9-8.713%-
vs Similar (9)41.039.180.1+1.956%-
vs Weaker (5)43.639.483.0+4.260%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.9
57.2%
54.0%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.26.1
31.8%
35.7%18.3
🏀 Free throws22.215.5
69.8%
75.6%15.5
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.7
53.5%
54.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.9
34.6%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.515.9
70.7%
75.6%15.9
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
WLWLLLWWWW
FMP Beograd
WLLWWWWWWW
#9
League position
#11
-3.5
Net rating
+9.6
106.9
Offensive rating
114.2
110.4
Defensive rating
104.6
54.2%
Effective FG%
52.8%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
16.8%
Turnover %
13.6%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.8%
3-point %
34.6%
55.7%
Assist %
63.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 114.2Defence110.4 · 104.6Shooting54.2% · 52.8%3-point %31.8% · 34.6%Ball care16.8% · 13.6%Off. rebounds27.1% · 32.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Mega Basket   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mega Basket wins
4
FMP Beograd wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/24AKK Krka Novo mesto80-70
30/05/24APartizan68-96
27/05/24HPartizan92-88
24/05/24APartizan72-82
07/05/24HCrvena zvezda69-94
03/05/24ACrvena zvezda73-103
21/04/24ACedevita Olimpija85-71
15/04/24HCedevita Olimpija119-98
06/04/24AIgokea92-78
31/03/24HSplit92-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/24HCedevita Olimpija75-62
27/05/24HCrvena zvezda75-98
24/05/24ACrvena zvezda87-97
08/05/24HBorac Mozzart111-90
04/05/24ABorac Mozzart90-87
27/04/24AVojvodina Novi Sad93-65
20/04/24HVojvodina Novi Sad77-68
06/04/24HMornar Bar111-94
28/03/24AZadar75-72
21/03/24HBuducnost84-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game80.0-80.0
Allowed / game70.0-70.0
Point differential+10.0-+10.0
Avg total150.0-150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
FMP Beograd
ABA League 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game75.075.0-
Allowed / game62.062.0-
Point differential+13.0+13.0-
Avg total137.0137.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost220100%97.563.0+34.5
2 Partizan110100%96.066.0+30.0
3 FMP Beograd110100%75.062.0+13.0
4 Mega Basket110100%80.070.0+10.0
5 Studentski Centar110100%84.076.0+8.0
6 Igokea220100%79.075.0+4.0
7 Dubai110100%86.084.0+2.0
8 Crvena zvezda21150%87.579.0+8.5
9 Zadar21150%81.574.0+7.5
10 Spartak Subotica1010%76.084.0-8.0
11 KK Krka Novo mesto1010%70.080.0-10.0
12 Cedevita Olimpija1010%62.075.0-13.0
13 Split2020%74.588.0-13.5
14 Cibona1010%69.087.0-18.0
15 Borac Mozzart1010%66.096.0-30.0
16 Mornar Bar2020%61.594.5-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket1721192683
FMP Beograd2421171880
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