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Baskonia vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 95-92 (OT)
20-20 20-24 20-17 24-23 11-8
Position#7
Record0-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game91.5
vs
Position#10
Record1-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game87.0
SpainACBRound 3· Conde A.
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Baskonia v Murcia
06 Dec 2026
BAS v MUR
upcoming
14 May 2026
BAS87
MUR80
12 Oct 2024
BAS95
MUR92
10 May 2024
BAS94
MUR79
04 Dec 2022
BAS102
MUR73
13 Apr 2022
BAS93
MUR83
04 Oct 2020
BAS75
MUR83
21 Oct 2018
BAS93
MUR49
29 Apr 2018
BAS87
MUR85
07 Oct 2016
BAS87
MUR75
15 Nov 2015
BAS90
MUR67
03 May 2015
BAS77
MUR85
01 Dec 2013
BAS98
MUR90
09 Dec 2012
BAS87
MUR83
21 Apr 2012
BAS71
MUR65
17 Jan 2010
BAS78
MUR64
23 Nov 2008
BAS105
MUR60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
90-101
90
101
-11
83avg 80
A25/04
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
101-94
101
94
+7
97avg 80
A27/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
98-102
98
102
-4
90avg 80
H01/05
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
L
92-96
92
96
-4
86avg 80
H05/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
94-79
94
79
+15
94avg 80
H10/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
100-106
100
106
-6
83avg 80
A12/05
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
80-88
80
88
-8
72avg 80
A29/09
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 80
H03/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
91-95
91
95
-4
84avg 80
H05/10
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
71-78
71
78
-7
66avg 80
A09/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
19-23
23-28
27-27
27-32
21-25
28-15
25-22
22-22
34-30
17-20
25-30
26-37
22-17
18-19
26-23
30-24
16-24
23-11
25-20
26-28
21-28
29-20
24-30
13-17
28-23
23-21
16-27
16-17
16-21
27-22
29-22
16-21
29-30
27-24
19-20
20-25
14-17
15-17
22-19
182.6Avg total
90.5Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.591.5177.0-6.00%
Season at home (1)91.095.0186.0-4.00%
Season away (1)80.088.0168.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)90.592.1182.6-1.630%
Last 5 (5)86.089.8175.8-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)93.499.0192.4-5.625%
vs Similar ◀ (16)86.289.9176.1-3.838%
vs Weaker (6)89.884.0173.8+5.867%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
L
79-88
79
88
-9
52avg 74
H03/06
ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
79-70
79
70
+9
72avg 74
A05/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
59avg 74
A08/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
63-79
63
79
-16
53avg 74
A10/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
55avg 74
H12/06
ACB
Unicaja
#1
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 74
H21/09
Supercopa ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
76-91
76
91
-15
64avg 74
A28/09
ACB
Manisa
#25
L
97-103 OT
97
103
-6
91avg 74
H01/10
Champions League
Bilbao
#15
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
74avg 74
H05/10
ACB
Peristeri
#36
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 74
A08/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
25-24
20-17
16-16
14-25
17-7
24-20
24-18
13-18
20-19
15-27
28-20
15-18
15-22
22-17
11-22
19-17
21-15
16-34
17-18
21-20
16-17
24-23
17-24
16-28
27-22
18-17
15-24
21-22
21-22
24-19
19-22
22-16
20-22
13-23
22-16
24-22
18-13
16-20
23-21
163.3Avg total
79.1Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.587.0169.5-4.550%
Season at home (1)89.083.0172.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)76.091.0167.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)79.184.2163.3-5.130%
Last 5 (5)84.287.4171.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.381.9159.2-4.633%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.786.0169.7-2.340%
vs Weaker (10)83.076.1159.1+6.980%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
BaskoniaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A25/04
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A27/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H01/05
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H05/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H10/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A12/05
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A29/09
ACB
Partizan
#12
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H03/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H05/10
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A09/10
Euroleague
92.1Avg total
43.7Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.346.790.0-3.427%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.143.588.6+1.643%-
Last 30 away (16)41.749.691.2-7.912%-
Last 10 (10)43.748.492.1-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)39.845.485.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)47.549.496.9-1.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.246.087.2-4.819%-
vs Weaker (6)43.245.288.3-2.033%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H03/06
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A05/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A08/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A10/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H12/06
ACB
Unicaja
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H21/09
Supercopa ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A28/09
ACB
Manisa
#25
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H01/10
Champions League
Bilbao
#15
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H05/10
ACB
Peristeri
#36
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A08/10
Champions League
78.3Avg total
38.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.378.8+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.537.677.1+1.854%-
Last 30 away (17)39.540.680.2-1.141%-
Last 10 (10)38.340.078.3-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.882.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.840.376.1-4.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.142.884.9-0.750%-
vs Weaker (10)40.535.275.7+5.370%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.2
54.3%
54.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.312.8
40.9%
35.6%38.4
🏀 Free throws18.414.9
81.0%
76.4%14.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.217.5
45.8%
54.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.1
34.6%
35.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.115.8
74.9%
76.4%15.8
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LLWLLWLLWL
Murcia
WWLLLLLLWL
#7
League position
#10
-2.8
Net rating
-6.8
120.4
Offensive rating
104.4
123.2
Defensive rating
111.2
57.7%
Effective FG%
48.3%
58.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
16.4%
Turnover %
17.2%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
40.9%
3-point %
34.6%
57.7%
Assist %
58.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence120.4 · 104.4Defence123.2 · 111.2Shooting57.7% · 48.3%3-point %40.9% · 34.6%Ball care16.4% · 17.2%Off. rebounds30.1% · 31.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Baskonia   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Baskonia wins
4
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
10/05/24Baskonia v Murcia94-79
27/09/23Murcia v Baskonia88-76
29/01/23Murcia v Baskonia80-87
04/12/22Baskonia v Murcia102-73
13/04/22Baskonia v Murcia93-83
24/10/21Murcia v Baskonia80-79
11/04/21Murcia v Baskonia92-87 OT
04/10/20Baskonia v Murcia75-83
07/04/19Murcia v Baskonia75-86
21/10/18Baskonia v Murcia93-49
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/24ACrvena zvezda71-78
05/10/24HMoraBanc Andorra91-95
03/10/24HPartizan88-82
29/09/24ATenerife80-88
12/05/24AReal Madrid100-106
10/05/24HMurcia94-79
05/05/24HBasquet Girona92-96
01/05/24HReal Madrid98-102
27/04/24APalencia101-94
25/04/24AReal Madrid90-101
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/24APeristeri81-76
05/10/24HBilbao89-83 OT
01/10/24HManisa97-103 OT
28/09/24AJoventut Badalona76-91
21/09/24HUnicaja78-84
12/06/24HReal Madrid73-84
10/06/24AReal Madrid63-79
08/06/24AReal Madrid76-84
05/06/24AUnicaja79-70
03/06/24HUnicaja79-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game85.591.080.0
Allowed / game91.595.088.0
Point differential-6.0-4.0-8.0
Avg total177.0186.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game82.589.076.0
Allowed / game87.083.091.0
Point differential-4.5+6.0-15.0
Avg total169.5172.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja220100%87.070.5+16.5
2 Barcelona220100%84.569.5+15.0
3 Gran Canaria220100%85.571.5+14.0
4 Tenerife110100%88.080.0+8.0
5 Valencia21150%78.568.5+10.0
6 Bilbao21150%86.580.5+6.0
7 Real Madrid21150%93.090.5+2.5
8 Basket Zaragoza21150%98.096.0+2.0
9 Manresa21150%78.578.5+0.0
10 Leyma Coruna21150%79.082.5-3.5
11 Joventut Badalona21150%75.580.0-4.5
12 Murcia21150%82.587.0-4.5
13 Basquet Girona21150%78.585.0-6.5
14 MoraBanc Andorra21150%83.091.0-8.0
15 Baskonia2020%85.591.5-6.0
16 Forca Lleida2020%82.589.5-7.0
17 Breogan1010%72.090.0-18.0
18 Granada2020%66.587.5-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Baskonia202020241195
Murcia20241723892
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