PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Murcia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 64-85
11-22 20-18 17-26 16-19
Position#10
Record3-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#1
Record3-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game78.4
SpainACBRound 6· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Murcia v Real Madrid
31 Jan 2027
MUR v MAD
upcoming
30 Dec 2025
MUR80
MAD91
03 Nov 2024
MUR64
MAD85
12 Jun 2024
MUR73
MAD84
14 Jan 2024
MUR73
MAD61
12 Feb 2023
MUR80
MAD88
19 Dec 2021
MUR71
MAD80
07 Mar 2021
MUR58
MAD74
02 May 2019
MUR80
MAD82
12 May 2018
MUR61
MAD63
05 Feb 2017
MUR61
MAD89
29 May 2016
MUR91
MAD87
03 Apr 2016
MUR99
MAD104
22 Mar 2015
MUR86
MAD79
27 Oct 2013
MUR81
MAD88
04 Nov 2012
MUR64
MAD79
08 Jan 2012
MUR60
MAD91
07 Feb 2010
MUR67
MAD96
15 Mar 2009
MUR77
MAD88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
55avg 75
H12/06
ACB
Unicaja
#1
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 75
H21/09
Supercopa ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
76-91
76
91
-15
64avg 75
A28/09
ACB
Manisa
#25
L
97-103 OT
97
103
-6
91avg 75
H01/10
Champions League
Bilbao
#15
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
74avg 75
H05/10
ACB
Peristeri
#36
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 75
A08/10
Champions League
Baskonia
#7
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
85avg 75
A12/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
88-74
88
74
+14
80avg 75
H19/10
ACB
FMP Beograd
#39
W
86-50
86
50
+36
84avg 75
H22/10
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
82-75
82
75
+7
73avg 75
A26/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
21-15
16-34
17-18
21-20
16-17
24-23
17-24
16-28
27-22
18-17
15-24
21-22
21-22
24-19
19-22
22-16
20-22
13-23
22-16
24-22
18-13
16-20
23-21
20-20
24-20
17-20
23-24
11-19
20-15
25-16
32-24
27-10
16-14
28-13
15-13
21-20
19-13
20-17
22-25
165.7Avg total
84.2Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.483.6169.0+1.860%
Season at home (2)88.578.5167.0+10.0100%
Season away (3)83.387.0170.3-3.733%
Last 10 (10)84.281.5165.7+2.750%
Last 5 (5)85.874.0159.8+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.381.9159.2-4.633%
vs Similar (10)83.686.0169.6-2.440%
vs Weaker (10)84.075.0159.0+9.090%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
101-95
101
95
+6
95avg 85
H06/10
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
93-86
93
86
+7
91avg 85
H10/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#15
L
79-83
79
83
-4
74avg 85
A13/10
ACB
Baskonia
#14
L
72-76
72
76
-4
70avg 85
A15/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
90-86
90
86
+4
79avg 85
H17/10
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
95-67
95
67
+28
95avg 85
H20/10
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
95-72
95
72
+23
104avg 85
H24/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
86-61
86
61
+25
83avg 85
H27/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
69-79
69
79
-10
67avg 85
A29/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
78-79
78
79
-1
62avg 85
A31/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
24-26
28-23
26-26
24-24
26-23
18-17
25-22
18-22
16-24
25-14
20-23
18-16
17-20
17-12
20-28
28-19
15-19
27-20
20-28
23-18
22-16
31-15
19-18
22-10
24-19
25-25
24-18
22-13
25-8
16-19
23-21
21-17
13-19
25-20
10-23
23-21
20-15
21-19
14-24
164.2Avg total
85.8Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.278.4167.6+10.860%
Season at home (3)94.074.3168.3+19.7100%
Season away (2)82.084.5166.5-2.50%
Last 10 (10)85.878.4164.2+7.460%
Last 5 (5)84.671.6156.2+13.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.090.0170.0-10.00%
vs Similar (8)84.483.4167.8+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)91.081.4172.4+9.680%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.0-3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.0-3.0
MurciaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H12/06
ACB
Unicaja
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H21/09
Supercopa ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A28/09
ACB
Manisa
#25
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H01/10
Champions League
Bilbao
#15
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H05/10
ACB
Peristeri
#36
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A08/10
Champions League
Baskonia
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A12/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H19/10
ACB
FMP Beograd
#39
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H22/10
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A26/10
ACB
77.1Avg total
40.4Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.678.1+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.936.574.4+1.546%-
Last 30 away (17)40.740.280.9+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)40.436.777.1+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.033.273.2+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.840.376.1-4.622%-
vs Similar (10)41.541.382.8+0.250%-
vs Weaker (10)41.134.575.6+6.670%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H06/10
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H10/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#15
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A13/10
ACB
Baskonia
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A15/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H17/10
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H20/10
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H24/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H27/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A29/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A31/10
Euroleague
79.3Avg total
42.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.740.084.7+4.873%-
Last 30 at home (19)46.138.784.8+7.489%-
Last 30 away (11)42.442.284.5+0.245%-
Last 10 (10)42.436.979.3+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)43.031.274.2+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.049.094.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (8)46.140.586.6+5.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.439.283.6+5.185%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.8
50.4%
54.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.4
33.1%
35.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.815.6
71.6%
76.4%15.6
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.219.7
59.3%
54.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.8
34.1%
35.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.816.2
81.8%
76.4%16.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WWWLWWLLLL
Real Madrid
LLWWWWLLWW
#10
League position
#1
+4.0
Net rating
+10.1
107.2
Offensive rating
115.9
103.2
Defensive rating
105.8
50.1%
Effective FG%
55.6%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.4%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.1%
3-point %
34.1%
60.3%
Assist %
64.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 115.9Defence103.2 · 105.8Shooting50.1% · 55.6%3-point %33.1% · 34.1%Ball care17.4% · 16.4%Off. rebounds33.4% · 28.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Murcia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Murcia wins
9
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
12/06/24Murcia v Real Madrid73-84
10/06/24Real Madrid v Murcia79-63
08/06/24Real Madrid v Murcia84-76
15/02/24Real Madrid v Murcia84-79
14/01/24Murcia v Real Madrid73-61
15/10/23Real Madrid v Murcia106-92
12/02/23Murcia v Real Madrid80-88
20/11/22Real Madrid v Murcia93-57
11/05/22Real Madrid v Murcia90-69
19/12/21Murcia v Real Madrid71-80
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24ABasquet Girona82-75
22/10/24HFMP Beograd86-50
19/10/24HBasket Zaragoza88-74
12/10/24ABaskonia92-95 OT
08/10/24APeristeri81-76
05/10/24HBilbao89-83 OT
01/10/24HManisa97-103 OT
28/09/24AJoventut Badalona76-91
21/09/24HUnicaja78-84
12/06/24HReal Madrid73-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv78-79
29/10/24AOlympiacos69-79
27/10/24HManresa86-61
24/10/24HCrvena zvezda95-72
20/10/24HBasquet Girona95-67
17/10/24HPanathinaikos90-86
15/10/24ABaskonia72-76
13/10/24ABilbao79-83
10/10/24HPartizan93-86
06/10/24HBasket Zaragoza101-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game85.488.583.3
Allowed / game83.678.587.0
Point differential+1.8+10.0-3.7
Avg total169.0167.0170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %40%50%33%
Real Madrid
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game89.294.082.0
Allowed / game78.474.384.5
Point differential+10.8+19.7-2.5
Avg total167.6168.3166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja65183%89.582.0+7.5
2 Valencia54180%87.279.6+7.6
3 Tenerife43175%87.281.0+6.2
4 Barcelona64267%92.584.3+8.2
5 Gran Canaria64267%79.276.5+2.7
6 Real Madrid53260%89.278.4+10.8
7 Murcia53260%85.483.6+1.8
8 Manresa63350%81.275.5+5.7
9 Basket Zaragoza63350%93.889.7+4.2
10 MoraBanc Andorra63350%87.284.8+2.3
11 Bilbao63350%84.282.5+1.7
12 Joventut Badalona63350%80.279.8+0.3
13 Forca Lleida63350%78.784.7-6.0
14 Baskonia62433%87.389.7-2.3
15 Leyma Coruna62433%86.393.2-6.8
16 Breogan51420%70.687.8-17.2
17 Granada61517%72.280.7-8.5
18 Basquet Girona61517%69.885.3-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1120171664
Real Madrid2218261985
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.