PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Murcia vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 89-83 (OT)
22-16 20-22 13-23 22-16 12-6
Position#10
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game91.0
Murcia 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#15
Record1-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game72.0
SpainACBRound 2· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Murcia v Bilbao
28 Mar 2027
MUR v BIL
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
MUR100
BIL81
05 Oct 2024
MUR89
BIL83
03 Feb 2024
MUR96
BIL76
14 May 2023
MUR67
BIL55
31 Jan 2023
MUR90
BIL72
10 Oct 2021
MUR92
BIL87
28 Mar 2021
MUR82
BIL90
19 Nov 2017
MUR82
BIL71
17 Dec 2016
MUR97
BIL71
08 Nov 2015
MUR96
BIL68
08 Mar 2015
MUR91
BIL65
27 Dec 2013
MUR78
BIL77
07 Apr 2013
MUR77
BIL80
26 Feb 2012
MUR73
BIL69
06 Dec 2009
MUR75
BIL80
30 Nov 2008
MUR67
BIL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
W
101-83
101
83
+18
86avg 74
A30/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
66-74
66
74
-8
51avg 74
H01/06
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
79-88
79
88
-9
52avg 74
H03/06
ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
79-70
79
70
+9
72avg 74
A05/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
59avg 74
A08/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
63-79
63
79
-16
53avg 74
A10/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
55avg 74
H12/06
ACB
Unicaja
#1
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 74
H21/09
Supercopa ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
76-91
76
91
-15
64avg 74
A28/09
ACB
Manisa
#25
L
97-103 OT
97
103
-6
91avg 74
H01/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
19-24
30-16
27-22
9-25
15-14
20-26
22-9
18-31
25-24
20-17
16-16
14-25
17-7
24-20
24-18
13-18
20-19
15-27
28-20
15-18
15-22
22-17
11-22
19-17
21-15
16-34
17-18
21-20
16-17
24-23
17-24
16-28
27-22
18-17
15-24
21-22
21-22
24-19
19-22
162.8Avg total
78.8Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.091.0167.0-15.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)76.091.0167.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)78.884.0162.8-5.220%
Last 5 (5)77.488.2165.6-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.381.9159.2-4.633%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.186.3169.4-3.233%
vs Weaker (11)85.777.7163.5+8.082%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
W
81-71
81
71
+10
79avg 77
H06/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
84-101
84
101
-17
83avg 77
A13/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
72-75
72
75
-3
63avg 77
H21/04
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
68-81
68
81
-13
64avg 77
A27/04
ACB
Palencia
#18
L
80-97
80
97
-17
67avg 77
H04/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
81-90
81
90
-9
70avg 77
A09/05
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
68-72
68
72
-4
45avg 77
H12/05
ACB
Neptunas
#42
W
74-66
74
66
+8
74avg 77
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#42
W
95-59
95
59
+36
91avg 77
H27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#13
W
90-72
90
72
+18
89avg 77
H29/09
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
17-13
24-13
21-24
21-20
30-27
15-25
18-29
18-19
22-19
19-22
13-15
15-14
12-22
21-23
20-22
17-24
20-27
21-22
22-24
17-24
20-26
21-13
23-27
19-24
18-14
10-18
21-16
21-19
16-12
16-15
21-20
18-24
29-12
26-15
22-8
22-17
20-22
22-22
26-11
157.7Avg total
79.3Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)90.072.0162.0+18.0100%
Season at home (1)90.072.0162.0+18.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.378.4157.7+0.940%
Last 5 (5)81.671.8153.4+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.187.2167.3-7.133%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.176.0154.1+2.150%
vs Weaker (9)85.073.9158.9+11.167%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
MurciaBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A30/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H01/06
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H03/06
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A05/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A08/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A10/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H12/06
ACB
Unicaja
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H21/09
Supercopa ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A28/09
ACB
Manisa
#25
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H01/10
Champions League
77.8Avg total
36.7Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.479.5+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.937.578.4+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)39.441.080.4-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)36.741.177.8-4.410%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.679.0-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.840.376.1-4.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.143.385.4-1.244%-
vs Weaker (11)42.335.577.8+6.773%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H06/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A13/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H21/04
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A27/04
ACB
Palencia
#18
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H04/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A09/05
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H12/05
ACB
Neptunas
#42
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#42
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H29/09
ACB
79.1Avg total
39.1Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.479.1+0.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.237.779.9+4.580%-
Last 30 away (15)37.141.178.2-3.947%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.079.1-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.878.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.741.081.7-0.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.438.377.8+1.167%-
vs Weaker (9)39.039.278.2-0.256%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.117.4
46.9%
54.0%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.9
33.1%
35.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.216.3
80.7%
76.4%16.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.7
55.6%
54.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.5
29.6%
35.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.816.8
80.8%
76.4%16.8
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LLLLLLWLLW
Bilbao
WWWLLLLLLW
#10
League position
#15
-6.9
Net rating
+1.5
103.7
Offensive rating
106.7
110.6
Defensive rating
105.2
48.0%
Effective FG%
51.0%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
17.5%
Turnover %
18.0%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.1%
3-point %
29.6%
57.8%
Assist %
59.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 106.7Defence110.6 · 105.2Shooting48.0% · 51.0%3-point %33.1% · 29.6%Ball care17.5% · 18.0%Off. rebounds29.9% · 28.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Murcia   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Murcia wins
4
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
03/02/24Murcia v Bilbao96-76
08/10/23Bilbao v Murcia77-68
14/05/23Murcia v Bilbao67-55
21/03/23Bilbao v Murcia67-71
31/01/23Murcia v Bilbao90-72
08/01/23Bilbao v Murcia99-81
23/04/22Bilbao v Murcia78-77
10/10/21Murcia v Bilbao92-87
28/03/21Murcia v Bilbao82-90 OT
15/11/20Bilbao v Murcia63-73
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/24HManisa97-103 OT
28/09/24AJoventut Badalona76-91
21/09/24HUnicaja78-84
12/06/24HReal Madrid73-84
10/06/24AReal Madrid63-79
08/06/24AReal Madrid76-84
05/06/24AUnicaja79-70
03/06/24HUnicaja79-88
01/06/24HUnicaja66-74
30/05/24AUnicaja101-83
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/24HBreogan90-72
27/09/24HNeptunas95-59
24/09/24ANeptunas74-66
12/05/24HBarcelona68-72
09/05/24AManresa81-90
04/05/24HPalencia80-97
27/04/24ABasquet Girona68-81
21/04/24HObradoiro CAB72-75
13/04/24ATenerife84-101
06/04/24HGran Canaria81-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game76.0-76.0
Allowed / game91.0-91.0
Point differential-15.0--15.0
Avg total167.0-167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Bilbao
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game90.090.0-
Allowed / game72.072.0-
Point differential+18.0+18.0-
Avg total162.0162.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona110100%91.065.0+26.0
2 Gran Canaria110100%91.071.0+20.0
3 Bilbao110100%90.072.0+18.0
4 Unicaja110100%90.073.0+17.0
5 Joventut Badalona110100%91.076.0+15.0
6 Basket Zaragoza110100%101.091.0+10.0
7 Tenerife110100%88.080.0+8.0
8 Manresa110100%77.073.0+4.0
9 Leyma Coruna110100%86.085.0+1.0
10 MoraBanc Andorra21150%83.091.0-8.0
11 Real Madrid1010%85.086.0-1.0
12 Valencia1010%73.077.0-4.0
13 Baskonia2020%85.591.5-6.0
14 Forca Lleida1010%91.0101.0-10.0
15 Murcia1010%76.091.0-15.0
16 Basquet Girona1010%73.090.0-17.0
17 Breogan1010%72.090.0-18.0
18 Granada1010%65.091.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Murcia222013221289
Bilbao16222316683
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.